{"schema_version": 1, "id": "kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 204, "label": "Kingston, NY MSA", "slug": "kingston-ny-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:47:48.701480+00:00", "headline": "Kingston labor market cools gently while trades pay climbs", "headline_summary": "Ulster County unemployment rose to 4.1% in August from 3.7% in June \u2014 still below New York's 4.3% \u2014 even as Construction Laborer pay climbed to $42,640 and CDL Truck Driver pay fell to $90,000.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Ulster County unemployment rate", "value": "4.1%", "context": "Up from 3.7% in June; below NY's 4.3% and near US 4.1%"}, {"label": "Construction Laborer advertised pay", "value": "$42,640", "context": "Up significantly vs. $40,727 national median"}, {"label": "CDL Truck Driver advertised pay", "value": "$90,000", "context": "Down moderately vs. stable $78,872 national median"}, {"label": "NY statewide labor force participation", "value": "61.3%", "context": "Held steady in September 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Unemployment drift sits below state and national lines.", "body": "Ulster County's rise to 4.1% in August from 3.7% in June tracks a statewide pattern, yet the metro remains tighter than New York's 4.3% and roughly in line with the 4.1% national rate. Economic development officials can frame this as relative resilience."}, {"headline": "Construction pay gains outpace the metro and national basket.", "body": "Construction Laborer advertised pay rose significantly to $42,640, well ahead of the $40,727 national median, consistent with continued building and infrastructure activity in the Hudson Valley. Sustained momentum here is a leading indicator worth tracking against permitting and project announcement data."}, {"headline": "Freight and delivery pay softening may flag local demand cooling.", "body": "CDL Truck Driver pay fell with moderate magnitude to $90,000 and Delivery Driver pay dropped to $35,000, both moving against a stable national trend. Logistics and distribution pay often leads broader consumer and commercial activity, making this a signal worth monitoring."}, {"headline": "Labor force participation decline predates this month's story.", "body": "County-level data shows participation has eased since 2018, driven by retirements and aging demographics. Commerce and government leaders planning workforce development investment should treat this as a structural constraint."}], "local_conditions": "Ulster County unemployment edged up to 4.1% in August from 3.7% in June, a drift consistent with statewide softening but still well below New York's 4.3% rate and the national 4.1%. Labor force participation in the metro has trended down since 2018, a pattern tied to retirements and aging demographics that concentrates local gains in a narrow band of sectors \u2014 health care, public administration, education, food service and retail account for 81% of the county's top employers.", "implications": "Metro wage data shows real divergence by sector: Construction Laborer pay is up significantly ($42,640 median) and Customer Service Representative pay has climbed sharply ($46,303), while CDL Truck Driver and Delivery Driver advertised pay have both moved down with moderate magnitude, a signal that freight and local delivery demand may be softening even as skilled trades and administrative support tighten. Commerce leaders weighing local expansion should read the unemployment uptick alongside participation decline as a capacity story: available labor is thinning even where openings are not. Consider evaluating sector-specific postings trends before assuming metro-wide labor availability mirrors the modestly rising unemployment rate.\n\n", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "BLS metro-level unemployment data for October 2026 typically lags by a month; watch for the mid-November release from the New York State Department of Labor to confirm whether the August uptick to 4.1% continued or reversed."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Statewide, the minimum wage freeze triggered by job losses through July 2026 has drawn a pledge from Governor Hochul for workarounds \u2014 any state-level policy change would apply uniformly across Ulster County employers and is worth tracking for its local pass-through."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Construction Laborer pay momentum locally contrasts with flat Electrician and HVAC Technician trends; a widening gap between trades could indicate uneven project pipelines worth flagging to regional planning bodies."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Declining CDL and delivery driver pay locally, against stable national figures, may presage softer consumer or freight volume in the metro; local chambers should watch retail and warehouse job ads, a signal of hiring demand (one ad often covers several openings), for confirmation over the next two months."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32183.0, "metro_p50": 33571.0, "metro_p75": 36147.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29655.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32705.5, "metro_p50": 38339.6, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61165.25, "metro_p50": 90000.0, "metro_p75": 98800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33058.0, "metro_p50": 35000.0, "metro_p75": 39391.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38703.0, "metro_p50": 42640.0, "metro_p75": 53040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62024.0, "metro_p50": 72915.0, "metro_p75": 78000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33695.5, "metro_p50": 39962.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37725.0, "metro_p50": 46302.8, "metro_p75": 47840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30718.0, "metro_p50": 33280.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31425.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38964.5, "metro_p50": 45760.0, "metro_p75": 47659.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57145.0, "metro_p50": 64489.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84101.0, "metro_p50": 98800.0, "metro_p75": 109980.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 104033.0, "metro_p50": 128773.6, "metro_p75": 160680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 99179.0, "metro_p50": 141076.0, "metro_p75": 159241.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55340.0, "metro_p50": 71872.6, "metro_p75": 88540.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 72270.0, "metro_p50": 92221.2, "metro_p75": 101623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41419.0, "metro_p50": 67500.0, "metro_p75": 74500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45127.25, "metro_p50": 59170.0, "metro_p75": 70338.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 70618.0, "metro_p50": 88240.0, "metro_p75": 100600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36400.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 61077.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 69375.0, "metro_p50": 77045.0, "metro_p75": 89893.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 44912.75, "metro_p50": 72171.6, "metro_p75": 75063.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82291.0, "metro_p50": 83444.4, "metro_p75": 85614.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 48456.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 67600.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36900.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 39391.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 64761.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 56160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 57450.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 68455.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "New York State Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ulster County unemployment rate 4.1% August 2026, 3.7% June 2026"}, {"source_name": "Ulster County Economic Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Health care, public administration, education, food service, retail = 81% of top county employers"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "New York statewide unemployment rate 4.3% in September 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "National unemployment rate 4.1% in October 2026"}, {"source_name": "Washington Post", "source_url": null, "statement": "New York minimum wage increase frozen for January 2027 due to employment off-ramp trigger"}, {"source_name": "Ulster County Economic Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Ulster County labor force participation decline since 2018 linked to retirements"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:24:18.912876+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/kingston-ny-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}