{"schema_version": 1, "id": "joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 194, "label": "Joplin, MO MSA", "slug": "joplin-mo-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:14.966622+00:00", "headline": "Joplin's labor market stays tight while national hiring cools sharply.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment near 3.3-3.4% and significant local wage gains in manufacturing and nursing stand apart from a national picture where September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs and real wages fell behind 3.4% inflation.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Joplin MSA unemployment rate", "value": "3.4%", "context": "vs 4.2% national, May 2026 reading"}, {"label": "Missouri unemployment rate", "value": "3.2%", "context": "Lowest since January 2000, September 2026"}, {"label": "Missouri job postings, YoY", "value": "-11.7%", "context": "70,510 vs 79,830 in July 2025"}, {"label": "National nonfarm payroll growth", "value": "29,000", "context": "Sept 2026, below 45k 12-mo average"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Joplin's unemployment edge over the nation is widening, not narrowing.", "body": "Metro unemployment near 3.3-3.4% compares to a 4.1-4.2% national rate, and Missouri's own 3.2% September reading marks its lowest since January 2000. That gap suggests local economic resilience is outpacing the national cooling trend described in August-September payroll revisions."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing pay gains outpace the national picture by a wide margin.", "body": "Metro manufacturing production worker pay posted significant upward movement versus a stable national trend, mirroring Missouri's statewide durable-goods job gains of 2,200 in September. That divergence is consistent with genuine labor supply tightness in the metro's industrial base rather than a one-off pay adjustment."}, {"headline": "Health care wage momentum signals a structurally tight local market.", "body": "Registered nurse pay rose significantly both locally and nationally, tracking Missouri's year-over-year health care job growth of 9,800 positions statewide. Freeman Health System's regional footprint makes this a sector to monitor for broader signals about local wage-setting pressure beyond health care itself."}, {"headline": "Truck driver pay is softening locally even as freight demand firms nationally.", "body": "CDL truck driver advertised pay moved down moderately in the metro while holding stable nationally, a contrast worth flagging given Missouri's statewide 104% jump in heavy truck driver postings. The local divergence may suggest Joplin's freight and logistics corridor is adjusting differently than the broader state market."}], "local_conditions": "Joplin-area unemployment held near 3.3-3.4% through spring 2026, well below both the Missouri and national rates, while metro employment grew nearly 2% year-over-year, consistent with manufacturing (Ducommun, Ajinomoto, General Mills) and health care activity (Freeman Health System) anchoring a labor market tighter than most peer metros. Statewide job-posting volume fell 11.7% year-over-year even as sub-3.5% unemployment persisted, a pattern consistent with a metro where available workers, not open positions, are the binding constraint on local business activity.", "implications": "Tight labor supply alongside low unemployment points to a business climate where expansion plans hinge less on demand and more on whether firms can staff new capacity locally, particularly in manufacturing and construction where Missouri postings for skilled trades remain resilient even as broader postings soften. Wage data showing significant local gains for electricians, manufacturing production workers, and registered nurses suggests employers are already competing on pay in sectors tied to the region's industrial and health care base, a signal worth watching for commerce leaders assessing site-selection or expansion pitches. Consider evaluating how local labor force participation and net migration trends factor into any economic development messaging aimed at attracting new employers to the metro.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "BLS metro-level data for July through September 2026 is due with a multi-month lag; October 20 state LAUS release for Missouri will offer the first fresher read on whether Joplin's sub-3.5% unemployment trend held through summer."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Missouri's statewide job postings fell 11.7% year-over-year even as unemployment hit a 25-year low, a combination that commerce leaders should watch locally for signs of whether Joplin employers are quietly slowing expansion plans despite tight labor supply."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National WARN filings have touched large employers (Amazon, Meta, Tyson Foods) with no comparable notices identified for the Joplin metro to date; any regional WARN activity tied to manufacturing or logistics would be a meaningful inflection point given the metro's industrial concentration."}, {"category": "Policy watch", "body": "Missouri's repeal of scheduled 2027 inflation-indexed minimum wage increases (HB 567) removes a planned wage floor adjustment; commerce leaders should track whether this affects entry-level advertised pay trends in retail and food service locally, where metro wages already trail national medians."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26668.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 34195.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26101.0, "metro_p50": 28771.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30636.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 36747.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58338.0, "metro_p50": 78600.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30042.0, "metro_p50": 32254.0, "metro_p75": 36410.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33234.0, "metro_p50": 38686.4, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58814.75, "metro_p50": 69944.8, "metro_p75": 74172.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31967.0, "metro_p50": 37821.2, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31615.0, "metro_p50": 36224.0, "metro_p75": 38435.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28351.25, "metro_p50": 28575.0, "metro_p75": 29654.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32644.0, "metro_p50": 36302.0, "metro_p75": 38867.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30456.75, "metro_p50": 38046.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57796.0, "metro_p50": 66276.0, "metro_p75": 74970.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82500.0, "metro_p50": 97760.0, "metro_p75": 108670.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 111633.75, "metro_p50": 145994.0, "metro_p75": 163668.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 89170.0, "metro_p50": 134054.2, "metro_p75": 145135.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54365.0, "metro_p50": 63943.0, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73706.25, "metro_p50": 93959.0, "metro_p75": 106361.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55805.5, "metro_p50": 60231.0, "metro_p75": 65030.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56020.0, "metro_p50": 66588.4, "metro_p75": 77148.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 66901.25, "metro_p50": 72348.0, "metro_p75": 84395.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34250.0, "metro_p50": 49776.2, "metro_p75": 54403.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59922.5, "metro_p50": 97900.0, "metro_p75": 120219.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 75000.0, "metro_p50": 87991.2, "metro_p75": 103119.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78473.0, "metro_p50": 95720.2, "metro_p75": 104820.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 64826.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 101662.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 38917.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 61917.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 132779.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 93980.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 72800.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 62072.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32240.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63688.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:52:01.738172+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/joplin-mo-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}