{"schema_version": 1, "id": "jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 278, "label": "Jackson, TN MSA", "slug": "jackson-tn-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:40:15.178805+00:00", "headline": "Jackson's jobless rate climbs as Tennessee's holds steady.", "headline_summary": "Madison County unemployment reached 4.3% in August against Tennessee's 3.4% statewide rate, while local wage gains stay concentrated in manufacturing and customer service rather than broad-based.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Madison County unemployment", "value": "4.3%", "context": "vs 3.4% Tennessee, 4.1% U.S. (August 2026)"}, {"label": "Jackson metro unemployment trend", "value": "3.9% \u2192 4.2%", "context": "July to September 2026, diverging from state"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "First real-wage shortfall in two years"}, {"label": "Tennessee WARN-affected workers (2026 YTD)", "value": "5,982+", "context": "Manufacturing, transport lead filings statewide"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Jackson's unemployment gap with Tennessee is widening, not closing.", "body": "Madison County's 4.3% August rate sits nearly a full point above the state's 3.4%, a divergence that has persisted since at least July. That gap is consistent with a metro economy more exposed to manufacturing and transportation softness than the state average, sectors that account for the largest share of Tennessee's 2026 WARN filings."}, {"headline": "Wage gains are concentrated, not broad-based, across the local basket.", "body": "Manufacturing production, construction labor, and customer service postings show moderate-to-significant pay increases locally, while home health aide, administrative, and HVAC technician pay have declined. That split suggests selective labor tightness in specific trades rather than a uniformly strengthening local wage environment."}, {"headline": "Transportation access, not just wages, is limiting labor force engagement.", "body": "Local reporting continues to flag transportation barriers as a structural constraint on steady employment for West Tennessee residents, separate from pay levels. For commerce and workforce-development leaders, that points to infrastructure and transit policy as a labor-supply lever alongside wage trends."}, {"headline": "Healthcare's local wage stability contrasts with statewide flattening.", "body": "Registered nurse pay in Jackson held stable while Tennessee's broader health and education employment growth flattened to 0.2% year-over-year, down from 3.3% in 2024. West Tennessee Healthcare's continued anchor role may be insulating the metro from a trend playing out more sharply elsewhere in the state."}], "local_conditions": "Jackson metro unemployment eased to 3.9% in July before edging toward 4.2% in September, a tighter trajectory than the national 4.2% rate but a notch above Tennessee's statewide 3.4%, with Madison County registering 4.3% in August \u2014 a sign the core county is loosening faster than the broader MSA. Wage movement across the metro's advertised-pay basket is mixed rather than uniformly strong: manufacturing and customer service postings are up moderately to significantly while home health, administrative, and HVAC roles are down, consistent with a labor market where sector-level demand, not broad-based tightness, is setting the pace.", "implications": "Divergence between a historically tight Tennessee labor market and a softening Jackson-specific trendline suggests the metro's economic momentum is more fragile than the statewide headline implies, a distinction that matters for how commerce leaders pitch the metro to prospective employers or investors. Public-sector and healthcare stability (West Tennessee Healthcare remains a core anchor) continues to offset softness in manufacturing and logistics, which nationally and in Tennessee have driven the bulk of 2026 WARN activity. Current conditions suggest local economic development messaging should lean on sector diversification and anchor-institution stability rather than aggregate unemployment figures alone, which currently mask uneven conditions underneath.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Jackson's unemployment rate has moved from 3.9% in July toward 4.2% by September \u2014 a faster rise than the state trend. Whether this stabilizes or continues climbing over the next two reporting cycles will clarify if the metro is decoupling from Tennessee's broader labor tightness."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Manufacturing and transportation account for the largest shares of Tennessee's 2026 WARN notices statewide. Any new filings affecting Jackson-area logistics or manufacturing operations would be an early signal worth tracking given the metro's industrial base."}, {"category": "Policy to monitor", "body": "Immigration enforcement activity and tariff policy continue to be cited nationally as factors affecting manufacturing and logistics labor supply and input costs. Local effects in Jackson's manufacturing base are not yet quantified and warrant neutral, fact-based tracking rather than assumption."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National job growth has slowed to 29,000 in September against a 12-month average of 45,000, with wage growth falling below inflation for the first time in two years. If that pattern reaches Tennessee's monthly releases, Jackson's already-softer local trajectory could compound rather than offset the national slowdown."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23225.0, "metro_p50": 27224.0, "metro_p75": 32760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23474.0, "metro_p50": 26500.0, "metro_p75": 27893.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30401.75, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 41080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57034.0, "metro_p50": 79687.6, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30774.0, "metro_p50": 34005.0, "metro_p75": 39827.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33410.0, "metro_p50": 41129.4, "metro_p75": 42172.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44743.0, "metro_p50": 60883.2, "metro_p75": 70720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30403.0, "metro_p50": 35624.4, "metro_p75": 38272.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30677.0, "metro_p50": 35404.0, "metro_p75": 37347.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 27148.0, "metro_p50": 30531.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27348.5, "metro_p50": 35447.0, "metro_p75": 41072.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60571.0, "metro_p50": 63441.4, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78875.0, "metro_p50": 99840.0, "metro_p75": 106604.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 108343.0, "metro_p50": 145080.0, "metro_p75": 162168.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 90330.0, "metro_p50": 129576.0, "metro_p75": 144120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52743.5, "metro_p50": 59051.2, "metro_p75": 64610.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 69568.0, "metro_p50": 88650.0, "metro_p75": 94664.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54810.0, "metro_p50": 66865.0, "metro_p75": 87320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45638.75, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 70562.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 63010.0, "metro_p50": 77938.4, "metro_p75": 85000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34902.5, "metro_p50": 54047.0, "metro_p75": 63632.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56500.0, "metro_p50": 88266.0, "metro_p75": 92548.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50835.0, "metro_p50": 66854.0, "metro_p75": 73610.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 76649.0, "metro_p50": 95461.6, "metro_p75": 106400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 65902.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 58977.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 32629.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 54829.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 55288.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 52514.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 55640.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 67293.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 80286.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:51:51.094851+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/jackson-tn-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}