{"schema_version": 1, "id": "indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 254, "label": "Indianapolis-Carmel, IN MSA", "slug": "indianapolis-carmel-in-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:39:51.213582+00:00", "headline": "Indianapolis unemployment climbs while Indiana's stays historically low.", "headline_summary": "Metro joblessness rose to 3.4% in June even as Indiana held at 3.3% statewide, its lowest since 2023, while Marion County wages grew 4.6% year-over-year \u2014 a split worth watching as new manufacturing and agbioscience investment continues to land.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "3.4%", "context": "June 2026, up from 2.5% in April"}, {"label": "Indiana unemployment rate", "value": "3.3%", "context": "Lowest since May 2023; vs 4.1% national"}, {"label": "Marion County wage growth", "value": "4.6%", "context": "YoY, Q3 2025, vs 3.0% national"}, {"label": "Statewide job postings", "value": "~103,000", "context": "As of Aug 30, 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Metro unemployment is drifting away from the state's trend line.", "body": "Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson's 3.4% June rate sits above Indiana's 3.3% statewide figure and has climbed from 2.5% in April, a divergence worth tracking as a possible early signal of localized softening even as the state posts its lowest jobless rate since 2023."}, {"headline": "Wage growth locally is outrunning the national slowdown.", "body": "Marion County's 4.6% annual wage growth and Indiana's 3.8% statewide figure both exceed the national 3.0% reading reported for September, suggesting local purchasing power is holding up better than the national wage-inflation squeeze would imply."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing and agbioscience investment are the metro's steadiest pillars.", "body": "State-announced projects in advanced manufacturing, agbioscience and defense, plus Givaudan's $215 million Dearborn County build, reinforce Indiana's industrial base as the most durable source of sector momentum even as national manufacturing growth is modest."}, {"headline": "Elevated job postings sit uneasily beside rising metro joblessness.", "body": "Roughly 103,000 open postings statewide alongside a climbing metro unemployment rate implies a mismatch between available labor and the specific skills employers are seeking, rather than a simple shortage or surplus story."}], "local_conditions": "Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson unemployment rose to 3.4% in June, the most recent metro-level reading available, up from 2.5% in April, even as Indiana's statewide rate held at 3.3% in August \u2014 its lowest since May 2023 \u2014 pointing to a metro that is cooling modestly relative to a resilient state picture. Marion County wages grew 4.6% year-over-year through Q3 2025, outpacing the 3.0% national wage growth logged in September, while statewide manufacturing added 3,500 jobs in August and new agbioscience, defense and advanced-manufacturing investment commitments (including Givaudan's $215 million Dearborn County facility) suggest the region's industrial base remains a counterweight to softer white-collar hiring signals nationally.", "implications": "Metro unemployment ticking upward while state-level job openings stay near 103,000 suggests Indianapolis labor supply is loosening at the margins even as demand for skilled trades, manufacturing and healthcare roles remains structurally tight \u2014 a bifurcation that mirrors the national split between hands-on and white-collar sectors. For commerce leaders assessing expansion or investment timing, above-average wage growth paired with a rising local jobless rate points to a market absorbing labor more easily than a year ago, without yet signaling broad-based slack. Consider monitoring whether the metro's June unemployment uptick persists into Q3 data before treating it as a trend rather than a seasonal or reporting artifact.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Watch whether the Indianapolis metro's unemployment rate, last at 3.4% in June, continues climbing in forthcoming BLS releases or reverts toward the state's 3.3% level \u2014 the next few data points will clarify if this is a genuine cooling trend."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs with downward revisions to July and August; watch for a similar deceleration echo in Indiana's monthly employment reports over the next two cycles."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "WARN filings tied to PMG Indiana (150 workers, Columbus) and Packaging Corporation of America (72 workers, Gas City) warrant tracking for whether displaced manufacturing and logistics workers reenter the regional labor pool."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Indiana's labor force participation rate has slipped to 63% from 63.1%, an eighth consecutive month of gradual decline; continued erosion would bear watching as a constraint on the metro's capacity to staff announced manufacturing and agbioscience expansions."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24097.0, "metro_p50": 30925.4, "metro_p75": 34195.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24363.25, "metro_p50": 28810.0, "metro_p75": 30420.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59517.0, "metro_p50": 78155.0, "metro_p75": 89490.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28898.0, "metro_p50": 34138.0, "metro_p75": 38728.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35641.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63570.0, "metro_p50": 72800.0, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34110.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33549.5, "metro_p50": 38391.8, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27788.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 32578.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34147.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 45400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58240.0, "metro_p50": 72294.6, "metro_p75": 78000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82753.0, "metro_p50": 101692.8, "metro_p75": 112009.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 109825.0, "metro_p50": 144910.8, "metro_p75": 160944.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95168.0, "metro_p50": 127500.0, "metro_p75": 143404.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55684.0, "metro_p50": 67450.0, "metro_p75": 73840.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 67600.0, "metro_p50": 83630.2, "metro_p75": 94164.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55358.0, "metro_p50": 72363.0, "metro_p75": 77285.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 48105.25, "metro_p50": 58591.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72499.75, "metro_p50": 83165.6, "metro_p75": 91000.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 50722.0, "metro_p75": 54729.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62889.0, "metro_p50": 93749.0, "metro_p75": 115537.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65401.0, "metro_p50": 65401.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75884.0, "metro_p50": 98275.0, "metro_p75": 107640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 66560.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 95970.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 40000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 65277.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 135675.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 69609.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 68741.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 60000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32341.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 69003.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:51:44.261637+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/indianapolis-carmel-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}