{"schema_version": 1, "id": "houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 219, "label": "Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, LA MSA", "slug": "houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:39:55.185901+00:00", "headline": "Houma holds steady as national job growth stalls.", "headline_summary": "Terrebonne and Lafourche unemployment near 4.1% and rising skilled-trades pay contrast with a national September payroll gain of just 29,000 and real wages falling behind 3.4% inflation.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Houma-area parish unemployment", "value": "4.1%", "context": "Terrebonne & Lafourche, May 2026, vs 4.2% national Sept"}, {"label": "National payroll growth", "value": "29,000 jobs", "context": "September 2026, below 45k 12-mo average"}, {"label": "Louisiana labor force participation", "value": "58.4%", "context": "Ranks 43rd nationally, vs 61.8% U.S. rate"}, {"label": "Louisiana WARN-affected workers", "value": "1,811 workers YTD", "context": "Down 63% from 2025, minimal Houma-area filings"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Houma's labor market is diverging from the national slowdown.", "body": "National payroll growth has decelerated to 29,000 jobs in September with downward revisions, while Terrebonne and Lafourche parishes sit near 4.1% unemployment, among Louisiana's lowest. Local economic momentum appears more resilient than the national headline suggests, though the metro's small labor base limits how much growth it can absorb."}, {"headline": "Participation, not demand, looks like the real constraint.", "body": "The Houma RLMA logged 1,542 advertised openings against 13,310 active candidates in February, yet Louisiana's labor force participation rate ranks 43rd nationally at 58.4%. A large nominal candidate pool alongside a structurally low participation rate suggests many working-age residents remain outside the labor force entirely, not simply between jobs."}, {"headline": "Wage gains are real, but their reach is uneven.", "body": "CDL truck driver and construction laborer pay rose significantly locally, tracking Louisiana's mega-project pipeline in LNG, petrochemical, and advanced manufacturing, while cashier, delivery driver, and administrative pay fell. Momentum is concentrated in trades tied to industrial construction rather than spread evenly across the metro's commercial base."}, {"headline": "Public-sector and healthcare wages are rising against a cooling national trend.", "body": "Registered nurse pay rose moderately in Houma even as national data show government and finance shedding workers. A metro anchored by healthcare and public employment may offer more payroll stability than the national sector divergence implies, a relevant data point for budget and revenue forecasting."}], "local_conditions": "Terrebonne and Lafourche parishes held unemployment near 4.1% through mid-2026, among the lowest in Louisiana, as offshore energy services, healthcare, and government payrolls provide a stable local base even as national job growth cools sharply. Parish-level average weekly wages ($1,255 in Terrebonne, $1,315 in Lafourche) continue rising, but the metro's labor force of under 88,000 and a statewide participation rate of 58.4% signal that growth is constrained more by available workers than by softening demand.", "implications": "Houma's labor market looks tighter than the national picture this month \u2014 a split that matters for commerce leaders weighing local expansion against a U.S. backdrop of 29,000 September job additions and downward payroll revisions. With roughly 6.7 active candidates per advertised opening in the Houma RLMA but labor force participation lagging the national rate, the binding constraint on local business activity may be worker availability rather than demand softness. Current conditions suggest civic and economic development leaders evaluate whether workforce participation initiatives (childcare access, transportation, re-entry programs) offer more near-term economic lift than incentive packages aimed purely at attracting new employers.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Louisiana's October 20 unemployment release will show whether the state's record 2.01 million employed figure extends to parish-level data for Terrebonne and Lafourche, or whether the mild early-2026 uptick resumes."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National WARN filings remain elevated among large employers (Amazon, Meta, Oracle, Tyson), but Louisiana's 2026 WARN activity is down 63% year over year with no major Houma-area filings identified. Continued quiet on this front would reinforce the metro's relative stability narrative."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Mega-project construction statewide (Hyundai steel mill, SpaceX Vermilion complex, LNG terminals) is pulling skilled trades labor toward other parishes. Watch whether Houma's own advertised wages for electricians and HVAC technicians continue climbing as a signal of competition for the same regional labor pool."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has fallen to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage position since 2021. If that national erosion reaches Louisiana's currently inflation-beating wage trend (6%+ year-over-year), it would narrow the purchasing-power advantage local consumer spending has enjoyed."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20338.0, "metro_p50": 23920.0, "metro_p75": 27040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21408.5, "metro_p50": 22880.0, "metro_p75": 24084.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26616.5, "metro_p50": 32019.0, "metro_p75": 34195.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50000.0, "metro_p50": 79799.6, "metro_p75": 93173.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27440.5, "metro_p50": 29549.0, "metro_p75": 31619.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27067.0, "metro_p50": 32889.4, "metro_p75": 35906.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57507.0, "metro_p50": 67600.0, "metro_p75": 73079.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27399.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30160.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 24571.0, "metro_p50": 28574.0, "metro_p75": 32282.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28743.0, "metro_p50": 30057.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25874.5, "metro_p50": 32983.2, "metro_p75": 36000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 51315.5, "metro_p50": 61733.0, "metro_p75": 67550.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76436.5, "metro_p50": 88515.0, "metro_p75": 98441.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 117186.0, "metro_p50": 153544.0, "metro_p75": 170000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 99248.0, "metro_p50": 145000.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54917.0, "metro_p50": 66979.0, "metro_p75": 68948.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70785.25, "metro_p50": 81925.6, "metro_p75": 87022.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52500.0, "metro_p50": 78996.4, "metro_p75": 85378.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43369.0, "metro_p50": 58052.0, "metro_p75": 70334.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 57519.0, "metro_p50": 88000.0, "metro_p75": 90963.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 47432.2, "metro_p75": 50295.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60515.25, "metro_p50": 73341.0, "metro_p75": 88963.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 51506.0, "metro_p75": 59133.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 81870.0, "metro_p50": 97500.0, "metro_p75": 110101.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 54340.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 78476.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 33809.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 58934.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 53678.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 42500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 49676.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 34430.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29449.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66557.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:51:29.232827+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/houma-bayou-cane-thibodaux-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}