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Labor Market Pulse

Holland-Grand Haven, MI Metro Edition

Focus: HR

Holland's tight labor market is shrinking, not growing.

2.5%

Holland unemployment rate

vs 5.0% Michigan, 4.1% national

-3,100 jobs

Ottawa County employment change

Year ending Sept 2025, despite low jobless rate

$1,157

Ottawa County avg weekly wage

+3.7% year-over-year, Q3 2025

33 notices / 5,120 workers

Michigan WARN notices YTD 2026

Manufacturing leads at 3,720 workers affected

This Month's Takeaways

01

Holland's low unemployment masks a shrinking labor pool, not strong hiring.

A 2.5% jobless rate looks like strength, but Ottawa County lost roughly 3,100 workers year-over-year — consistent with people exiting the labor force, not employers adding headcount. Treat this as a supply problem: recruiting timelines and candidate flow may not improve even as job postings hold steady.

02

Wage growth here is outpacing the state average, not just inflation.

Ottawa County's 3.7% average weekly wage increase exceeds Michigan's reported 80-of-83-county wage gains, suggesting local employers are bidding up pay specifically to retain scarce talent. Compensation benchmarking cycles may need to run more frequently than an annual review given this pace.

03

Payroll Specialist pay dropped sharply even as the role's national pay rose.

Metro advertised pay for Payroll Specialist fell to $52,000 against a rising $59,855 national median — a gap that may reflect local employers under-pricing a role with rising compliance complexity (ESTA sick leave, minimum wage phase-up to $15 by 2027). Reassess this role's pay positioning before it becomes a retention liability.

04

Recruiter pay is climbing fastest of any local role tracked this month.

Metro Recruiter pay rose significantly to $66,571, outpacing even the national gain to $68,167 — a signal that employers are investing in internal talent acquisition capacity precisely when the candidate pool is thinning. Expect this to be one of the more volatile roles to benchmark through year-end.

Holland's 2.5% unemployment rate sits well below both Michigan's 5.0% and the national 4.1% rate, even as Ottawa County shed roughly 3,100 jobs over the year ending September 2025 — a divergence that signals a labor market tightening through attrition and worker exits rather than employer-driven job growth. Manufacturing softness across West Michigan, paired with a 3.7% year-over-year rise in Ottawa County's average weekly wage to $1,157, suggests employers are paying more for a shrinking, more selective pool of available workers.

Low unemployment combined with a contracting labor force means Holland employers are competing for fewer active candidates, shifting the center of gravity from volume recruiting toward retention and internal mobility. Manufacturing-heavy employers face a particular squeeze: state data shows manufacturing driving Michigan's job losses, yet local wage growth suggests employers are still raising pay to hold onto scarce skilled talent rather than letting attrition run its course. Consider reviewing retention-focused compensation levers — spot bonuses, skills-based pay differentials, internal promotion pathways — before defaulting to external hiring budgets that may face a thinner, costlier candidate pool.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Compensation Analyst — — — — No data $101,727 → Stable
HR Business Partner $61,173 $79,745 $92,580 ↓ Moderate decline $83,766 ↑ Significant increase
Benefits Manager — — — — No data $117,888 ↑ Moderate increase
HRIS Analyst $78,946 $97,578 $102,500 ↑ Moderate increase $97,555 ↑ Moderate increase
HR Coordinator $41,880 $50,000 $52,884 ↑ Moderate increase $50,000 ↑ Moderate increase
Recruiter $51,866 $66,571 $77,485 ↑ Significant increase $68,167 ↑ Moderate increase
Payroll Specialist $51,241 $52,000 $61,127 ↓ Significant decline $59,855 ↑ Moderate increase

Some roles reflect state-level data where local metro sample size was insufficient.

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Worth watching

Michigan's minimum wage climbs to $15.00 on January 1, 2027, up from $13.73 today — Holland employers with entry-level and hourly workforces should model the compounding effect on pay compression up the wage ladder before Q1 budgeting closes.

Emerging pressure point

Manufacturing continues to account for the largest share of Michigan WARN notices (33 filings, 3,720 workers statewide) even as Ottawa County's manufacturing-reliant employers report tight labor supply. Watch whether released manufacturing talent enters the Holland candidate pool or relocates out of the metro entirely.

Potential inflection point

National information-sector layoffs (23,000 jobs lost in August) and a cooling technical job market could push displaced tech and analytics talent toward West Michigan metros with lower cost of living. Monitor applicant pools for HRIS Analyst and similar technical roles for signs of inbound migration.

Expected

ESTA paid sick leave compliance now applies to employers with even one employee, raising administrative burden heading into year-end benefits planning. Smaller Holland-area employers without dedicated HR compliance staff face the steepest adjustment curve.

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