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Labor Market Pulse

Great Falls, MT Metro Edition

Focus: FINANCE

Great Falls Finance pay splits sharply from national trends.

3.0%-3.4%

Cascade County unemployment

Range across May-July 2026; Montana statewide at 3.2%

5.4%

Montana 2025 wage growth

vs 3.4% national; Montana ranked #1 among states

129,000

National financial activities jobs lost

Since May 2025, concentrated in insurance carriers

3.0% y/y

National wage growth deceleration

September reading below 3.2% economist forecast

This Month's Takeaways

01

Controller pay is moving sharply locally while the national rate just drifts.

Advertised Controller pay in Great Falls is up significantly this month even as the national median moves only moderately, a divergence that may reflect a thin local bench for mid-career finance leadership rather than a broad market shift. Budget assumptions built on national Controller benchmarks risk understating what it takes to fill this role locally.

02

Senior Accountant pay in Great Falls now rivals the national rate.

Metro median advertised pay for Senior Accountant ($88,400) has moved up significantly and sits above the stable national figure ($87,731), an unusual inversion for a small metro. This is consistent with the CPA and accountant shortage flagged nationally (2026 Talent Shortage Index of 77%, up from a 2025 surplus) showing up acutely in a labor market this size.

03

FP&A Manager pay is softening locally against a flat national trend.

Metro median FP&A Manager pay is down moderately this month while the national figure holds stable, a divergence worth flagging before assuming local demand for analytical finance talent is cooling broadly. Could reflect a single large employer's hiring cycle completing rather than a structural shift in demand.

04

Automation is quietly reshaping what headcount growth actually buys.

National F&A leaders report aggressive permanent headcount plans (74% increasing headcount) alongside heavier reliance on automation and shared services to scale without proportional staffing growth. Great Falls Finance teams planning headcount should weigh whether incremental roles are better filled through automation investment given the area's limited talent supply.

Cascade County unemployment held near 3.0%-3.4% through mid-2026, consistent with a twelfth straight month of sub-3% readings statewide, even as Montana's broader labor force growth stalled and employment fell for the first year since 2020. Great Falls' economic base — anchored by Malmstrom Air Force Base, federal civilian employment, and a modest finance and insurance sector averaging $79,620 annually — leaves local Finance hiring more exposed to national financial-activities contraction (-129,000 jobs since May 2025) than to local demand softness.

National financial-activities job losses are concentrated in insurance carriers and related services, not core corporate finance functions, but Great Falls' thin local talent pool means any national pullback in hiring budgets translates quickly into fewer qualified local candidates willing to switch jobs. Montana's 5.4% statewide wage growth in 2025 — more than 2 points above the national rate — suggests local Finance teams are still competing against broader labor scarcity even as national average hourly earnings growth decelerates to 3.0% y/y, creating a gap between what national surveys imply and what local offers require. Consider reviewing whether current budget assumptions for Finance headcount costs reflect Montana's wage trajectory rather than the national deceleration story.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Controller $44,989 $61,855 $66,838 ↑ Significant increase $113,754 ↑ Moderate increase
Senior Accountant $65,852 $88,400 $94,380 ↑ Significant increase $87,731 → Stable
Financial Analyst $65,752 $78,976 $79,021 → Stable $94,782 → Stable
Billing Specialist $36,785 $51,805 $72,800 → Stable $49,512 ↑ Moderate increase
Tax Specialist $41,586 $58,588 $58,588 ↑ Significant increase $65,842 ↑ Significant increase
Credit Analyst $53,029 $65,000 $71,820 ↑ Moderate increase $71,758 ↑ Moderate increase
FP&A Manager $97,991 $125,784 $139,846 ↓ Moderate decline $128,139 → Stable

Some roles reflect state-level data where local metro sample size was insufficient.

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Expected release

BLS metro-level data for Great Falls MSA covering September is due October 20, 2026, and will clarify whether the county's modest unemployment uptick (2.9% to 3.4% across spring/summer) is stabilizing or trending upward.

Worth watching

National financial-activities job losses have run for sixteen straight months; watch whether any regional or remote-eligible roles tied to larger institutions start surfacing as local WARN filings, which currently show only 4 notices statewide affecting 173 workers.

Emerging pressure point

Montana's wage growth lead (5.4% statewide in 2025) against national deceleration (3.0% y/y in September) may widen the gap between locally advertised Finance pay and national salary planning assumptions, particularly for roles like Controller and Senior Accountant already showing sharp local movement.

Potential inflection point

Sibanye-Stillwater layoffs in eastern Montana mining operations could release finance and accounting talent into the broader state labor pool; watch whether any of that talent surfaces in Cascade County applicant flow over the next two months.

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