{"schema_version": 1, "id": "fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 197, "label": "Fort Wayne, IN MSA", "slug": "fort-wayne-in-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:39:18.059366+00:00", "headline": "Fort Wayne's tight labor market signals scarcity, not growth.", "headline_summary": "Fort Wayne held a 3.3% unemployment rate even after losing 600 jobs in June, while Indiana's labor force participation slipped to 63% \u2014 a combination that points to a labor-constrained economy rather than an expanding one.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Fort Wayne MSA unemployment", "value": "3.3%", "context": "vs 4.2% national, down from 3.8% year-ago"}, {"label": "Metro job change, June 2026", "value": "-600 jobs", "context": "Reversal from +100 jobs in May 2026"}, {"label": "Indiana labor force participation", "value": "63.0%", "context": "Down from 63.8% a year ago; still above 61.8% national"}, {"label": "Fort Wayne metro average hourly wage", "value": "$28.66", "context": "2025 figure; median $22.93"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Fort Wayne's tight labor market is a supply story, not a demand story.", "body": "June's 600-job loss alongside a 3.3% unemployment rate indicates the metro isn't adding jobs faster than workers can fill them \u2014 it's running low on available labor. Economic development plans premised on abundant local labor supply warrant a second look."}, {"headline": "Blue-collar and white-collar wages are diverging locally.", "body": "Electrician and HVAC technician pay rose significantly while operations manager and financial analyst pay fell significantly in the same period. This mirrors the national split between hands-on and administrative sectors, but the gap looks wider in Fort Wayne than nationally."}, {"headline": "Indiana's manufacturing momentum is doing heavy lifting for the metro.", "body": "Statewide manufacturing added 3,500 jobs in August against a 16,100 net payroll loss over the past year, meaning Fort Wayne's industrial base is offsetting weakness elsewhere in the state economy. Commerce leaders tracking regional competitiveness should watch whether this concentration becomes a vulnerability if manufacturing cools nationally."}, {"headline": "Labor force participation softening deserves more attention than the headline rate.", "body": "Indiana's participation rate slipped to 63% from 63.1%, continuing a 12-month decline of 0.8 points even as unemployment stays historically low. A falling participation rate alongside stable unemployment can mask a shrinking available workforce rather than signal strength."}], "local_conditions": "Fort Wayne's unemployment rate held near 3.3% through summer 2026, outperforming the national 4.2% reading even as the metro lost 600 jobs in June and labor force growth slowed, a pattern consistent with a tight but not expanding local labor pool. Manufacturing and health care remain the metro's structural anchors, with statewide manufacturing gains (3,500 jobs added in August) and Indiana's 103,000 open postings suggesting Fort Wayne employers are competing for a shrinking pool of available workers rather than riding a hiring boom.", "implications": "Low unemployment paired with job losses and a declining labor force participation trend points to a capacity-constrained local economy rather than a growing one \u2014 commerce leaders evaluating expansion or relocation decisions should weigh labor availability, not just wage levels, since Fort Wayne's advertised median wage ($28.66/hour) sits below national benchmarks while its labor pool is tightening. Public-sector and manufacturing stability offer a buffer against the national slowdown in government and finance employment, but softening wages in roles like financial analysis and operations management (both down significantly locally) suggest white-collar segments of the local economy are not keeping pace with blue-collar demand. Consider monitoring county-level variation (Whitley at 3% unemployment, Wells at 2.8%) when evaluating where in the metro expansion capacity actually exists.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "September metro-level unemployment data has not yet been released; watch for whether Fort Wayne holds its 3.3% rate or drifts toward the national 4.2% trend when state data posts in October."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Owens Corning's WARN notice affecting 130 Walkerton workers and broader statewide manufacturing WARN activity (2,984 workers affected in 2026) bear watching for whether displaced manufacturing talent surfaces in the Fort Wayne labor pool."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "County-level divergence (Whitley 3%, Wells 2.8%, Allen higher) may sharpen as IEDC-announced projects in advanced manufacturing and agbioscience come online, potentially redistributing labor demand across the three-county metro."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has fallen to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the first sustained real-wage decline since 2021; local wage data lagging this trend will be a key signal for whether Fort Wayne consumer spending power is eroding."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23526.0, "metro_p50": 30373.0, "metro_p75": 35000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24785.0, "metro_p50": 27310.0, "metro_p75": 29859.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31551.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57109.0, "metro_p50": 77142.0, "metro_p75": 88979.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27953.0, "metro_p50": 33745.0, "metro_p75": 39455.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34280.25, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43633.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 75342.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31742.25, "metro_p50": 37669.4, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37622.0, "metro_p75": 41763.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29516.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 36920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33959.0, "metro_p50": 39383.0, "metro_p75": 42120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30783.0, "metro_p50": 38480.0, "metro_p75": 42570.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59280.0, "metro_p50": 74443.2, "metro_p75": 78000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 81432.0, "metro_p50": 96000.0, "metro_p75": 107352.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95042.0, "metro_p50": 126000.0, "metro_p75": 135989.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77934.0, "metro_p50": 95138.0, "metro_p75": 106179.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56332.0, "metro_p50": 67876.0, "metro_p75": 70000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65845.0, "metro_p50": 73661.0, "metro_p75": 82372.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52429.0, "metro_p50": 61510.8, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45786.75, "metro_p50": 49285.6, "metro_p75": 64403.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57616.0, "metro_p50": 60486.0, "metro_p75": 75413.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 50000.0, "metro_p75": 50897.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60785.0, "metro_p50": 85000.0, "metro_p75": 118000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 63750.0, "metro_p50": 65401.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76255.0, "metro_p50": 83317.2, "metro_p75": 98869.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 60717.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 63386.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 37449.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 59127.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 87500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 58454.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 67463.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 60000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 64794.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:50:47.883297+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fort-wayne-in-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}