{"schema_version": 1, "id": "fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 163, "label": "Fort Walton Beach-Crestview-Destin, FL MSA", "slug": "fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:36:26.107788+00:00", "headline": "Fort Walton Beach joblessness climbs above the national rate.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment reached 4.4% in June against a national 4.1%, even as HVAC technician pay jumped significantly and Business Analyst pay hit $130,441 locally.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.4%", "context": "vs 4.1% national, June 2026"}, {"label": "Civilian labor force", "value": "144.8K", "context": "June 2026, up from prior months"}, {"label": "Florida unemployment rate", "value": "4.4%", "context": "Fourth straight monthly decline, Sept. 2026"}, {"label": "HVAC Technician advertised pay", "value": "$62,144", "context": "Up significantly locally vs moderate national gain"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Metro unemployment sits above the national rate for the first time in years.", "body": "4.4% locally compares with 4.1% nationally and 4.4% statewide, a reversal of the historical pattern where Fort Walton Beach outperformed national benchmarks. Civilian labor force growth to 144.8 thousand suggests more residents are searching for work, with the gap reflecting that trend more than a wave of layoffs."}, {"headline": "Skilled-trades pay is moving in opposite directions locally and nationally.", "body": "HVAC technician pay rose significantly in the metro while electrician and construction laborer pay softened or barely moved \u2014 a split from national trends showing broad-based gains in both trades. That divergence is consistent with uneven project pipelines across the metro's building sector more than a uniform skills shortage."}, {"headline": "Professional and business-services pay strength stands out against a flat state picture.", "body": "Business Analyst advertised pay rose significantly to $130,441, well above the national median, while Accountant pay rose significantly too \u2014 both outpacing Florida's largely flat professional-services employment growth. That local strength may reflect defense-sector and contracting demand tied to the region's military installations."}, {"headline": "Administrative and marketing pay compression may flag softening office-sector demand.", "body": "Administrative Assistant and Marketing Specialist advertised pay both fell significantly locally while national figures for the same roles rose, a gap wide enough to suggest localized softness in office-support hiring demand distinct from any national trend reaching Northwest Florida."}], "local_conditions": "Fort Walton Beach-Crestview-Destin's unemployment rate sat at 4.4% in June 2026, tracking above the national 4.1% and consistent with a labor force that grew to 144.8 thousand but has not fully absorbed new entrants. Local leaders point to new manufacturing capacity, technical training pipelines, and military talent flow as long-run growth drivers, even as construction labor and electrician wages have softened locally against a national backdrop of upward pressure in those same trades.", "implications": "Diverging local and national wage signals in skilled trades \u2014 Fort Walton Beach electricians down moderately while national pay for the same role rises, HVAC technicians up sharply locally while construction laborer pay only edges higher \u2014 suggest the metro's building and infrastructure capacity may be constrained by the available technical workforce more than by demand. For commerce leaders weighing expansion or facility investment, uneven trade-labor pricing locally is a signal to watch before committing to projects dependent on electrical, HVAC, or construction capacity. Government economists tracking workforce participation should consider whether CareerSource Okaloosa Walton's technical training pipelines are translating into measurable gains in trades labor supply over the next two quarters.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected data release", "body": "BLS October 2026 figures for the Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin MSA are due in early November; watch whether the unemployment rate holds near 4.4% or continues the gradual climb seen since spring."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Florida's statewide WARN filings reached 215 notices affecting 15,749 workers through October 23 \u2014 none concentrated in this metro so far, but commerce leaders should monitor whether that activity spreads to Okaloosa or Walton County employers."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Construction trades face a structural constraint statewide, with only 6% of young adults expressing interest in the field and 41% of the workforce expected to retire by 2031; local softening in electrician and laborer pay may mask a supply problem that resurfaces once building activity picks up."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Minimum wage rose to $15.00 statewide on September 30; watch metro retail and food-service advertised pay over the next two months for signs of pass-through effects on entry-level wage floors."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26357.0, "metro_p50": 31720.0, "metro_p75": 33728.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26937.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 32641.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34195.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37681.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44103.0, "metro_p50": 72541.0, "metro_p75": 86000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30815.0, "metro_p50": 33232.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49920.0, "metro_p50": 63440.0, "metro_p75": 69075.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34604.0, "metro_p50": 37814.0, "metro_p75": 40876.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 38885.0, "metro_p75": 42500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29460.0, "metro_p50": 39611.6, "metro_p75": 41080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 36294.4, "metro_p75": 40040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 49140.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57720.0, "metro_p50": 62144.0, "metro_p75": 66290.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74307.0, "metro_p50": 84604.0, "metro_p75": 93605.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 104628.0, "metro_p50": 129447.8, "metro_p75": 136104.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 97657.0, "metro_p50": 107150.0, "metro_p75": 128243.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59010.0, "metro_p50": 70811.6, "metro_p75": 77650.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77273.5, "metro_p50": 93480.0, "metro_p75": 95665.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45840.0, "metro_p50": 57601.8, "metro_p75": 60400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36797.25, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 44569.75, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 71115.4, "metro_p75": 87000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 40000.0, "metro_p75": 48638.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65000.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 56465.0, "metro_p50": 69940.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 124267.75, "metro_p50": 130441.0, "metro_p75": 143285.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 50588.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 83318.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 34320.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 44847.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 78181.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 47521.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 76278.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 80101.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33280.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63433.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin MSA unemployment rate 4.4% in June 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics Southeast Information Office", "source_url": null, "statement": "MSA civilian labor force reached 144.8 thousand in June 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "National unemployment rate stable at 4.1% in October 2026"}, {"source_name": "Florida WARN Act tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "Florida WARN filings reached 215 notices affecting 15,749 employees through Oct. 23, 2026"}, {"source_name": "Florida construction industry workforce research", "source_url": null, "statement": "41% of construction workforce expected to retire by 2031; 6% of young adults interested in trades"}, {"source_name": "State of Florida", "source_url": null, "statement": "Florida minimum wage increased to $15.00 per hour effective September 30, 2026"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:22:08.615041+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fort-walton-beach-crestview-destin-fl-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}