{"schema_version": 1, "id": "fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 173, "label": "FL NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "fl-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:38:57.792284+00:00", "headline": "Nonmetro Florida unemployment holds well above state average.", "headline_summary": "Wildwood/Villages unemployment sits at 7.9% against Florida's statewide 4.5%, while local advertised pay is softening in retail, delivery and construction even as skilled trades like electrician and HVAC post significant gains.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Nonmetro-adjacent unemployment peak", "value": "7.9%", "context": "Wildwood/Villages, vs Florida statewide 4.5%"}, {"label": "Florida statewide unemployment", "value": "4.5%", "context": "Down from 4.6% in July; 3rd straight monthly decline"}, {"label": "National unemployment rate", "value": "4.1%-4.2%", "context": "One-year low; BLS August/preliminary September readings"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs inflation", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Wage growth lowest since May 2021; real wages slipping"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Nonmetro Florida unemployment still running well above the state average.", "body": "Wildwood/Villages (7.9%), Sebring (6.8%) and Homosassa Springs (6.7%) remain well above the statewide 4.5% August rate, even as Florida's headline number improved for a third consecutive month. That gap signals uneven recovery \u2014 nonmetro labor slack has not closed at the same pace as urban Florida."}, {"headline": "Trades pay is pulling away from consumer-facing pay locally.", "body": "Electrician (+significant) and HVAC technician (+significant) advertised pay are rising locally while construction laborer, retail and food service pay are declining. The split points to tight skilled-trade capacity alongside softer demand for entry-level consumer roles \u2014 a relevant read for anyone gauging local project timelines or retail investment."}, {"headline": "Wage-vs-inflation gap looks less favorable here than nationally.", "body": "National wage growth has slowed to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, and several metro-level advertised pay figures here \u2014 retail associate, delivery driver, construction laborer, manufacturing worker \u2014 are moving down rather than holding flat. That combination is consistent with softer real purchasing power locally than the state's improving headline unemployment number alone would suggest."}, {"headline": "Florida's minimum wage step-up lands just as nonmetro pay is softening.", "body": "The move to $15.00 (then $16.00 after September 30) arrives while several nonmetro-adjacent advertised pay figures \u2014 retail, food service, delivery \u2014 are trending down. Worth watching whether the mandated floor and market-driven softness offset each other in coming months' postings data."}], "local_conditions": "Rural and nonmetro Florida counties continue running unemployment roughly a full point above the state's 4.5% August reading, with Wildwood/Villages at 7.9% and Sebring at 6.8% pointing to persistent slack even as the statewide rate improved for a third straight month. Advertised pay across the local basket is softening in several consumer-facing and goods-handling categories \u2014 retail, delivery, construction labor, manufacturing assembly \u2014 a pattern consistent with Florida's five-month run of annual job losses through April 2026 and a cooling that has been sharper outside the state's metro cores.", "implications": "Divergence between resilient trades pay (electrician, HVAC, CDL driver all up) and softening consumer-facing and production pay suggests a local economy where skilled-trade capacity remains constrained even as general consumer demand cools \u2014 a signal relevant to permitting, infrastructure timelines and site-selection conversations, not staffing strategy. Persistent nonmetro unemployment running 1-3 points above urban Florida metros implies labor supply is available for employers considering nonmetro expansion, but soft advertised pay in retail, food service and manufacturing may also reflect weaker local consumer spending capacity worth factoring into retail and commercial investment timing. Current conditions suggest local commerce leaders should evaluate whether nonmetro wage softness reflects genuine slack or reduced employer posting activity before drawing conclusions about business-climate readiness.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Florida's minimum wage rises to $15.00 per hour effective September 30, with tipped wages moving to $11.98, and ties to CPI thereafter. Watch nonmetro advertised pay in retail and food service for whether postings adjust upward in response or remain flat, which would suggest demand softness is outweighing the mandated floor."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Nonmetro unemployment outliers like Wildwood/Villages and Sebring warrant a second look once September county-level LAUS data publishes, to see whether the statewide three-month improvement is reaching rural counties or remaining concentrated in Tampa and Orlando."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National WARN filings remain elevated among large employers (Amazon, Meta, Verizon, Oracle); none currently show concentrated nonmetro Florida exposure, but any new filing naming a nonmetro Florida site would be a meaningful signal given the area's already-elevated unemployment base."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National payroll growth has slowed sharply (29,000 in September per preliminary reporting, with downward revisions to July and August). If that national deceleration persists, nonmetro Florida \u2014 already running above-average unemployment \u2014 is more exposed to a slower consumer spending rebound than Florida's urban metros."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25950.0, "metro_p50": 30325.6, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26466.0, "metro_p50": 30160.0, "metro_p75": 31431.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29907.0, "metro_p50": 34114.0, "metro_p75": 36092.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54600.0, "metro_p50": 79586.0, "metro_p75": 92690.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28017.0, "metro_p50": 31171.0, "metro_p75": 33237.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32713.5, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54080.0, "metro_p50": 63694.2, "metro_p75": 70248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31180.0, "metro_p50": 35556.0, "metro_p75": 38688.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31354.0, "metro_p50": 37609.0, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28818.0, "metro_p50": 32240.0, "metro_p75": 36074.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32017.75, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 38480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31201.0, "metro_p50": 39057.8, "metro_p75": 43570.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53469.0, "metro_p50": 63096.8, "metro_p75": 68783.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 76093.0, "metro_p50": 86274.0, "metro_p75": 94207.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 110600.0, "metro_p50": 152574.0, "metro_p75": 165630.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99194.0, "metro_p50": 143880.0, "metro_p75": 159194.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58837.25, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 78062.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 71895.0, "metro_p50": 91590.0, "metro_p75": 101623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53880.0, "metro_p50": 74370.0, "metro_p75": 83344.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43368.0, "metro_p50": 58140.4, "metro_p75": 70623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 70937.0, "metro_p75": 90070.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41211.0, "metro_p50": 55085.0, "metro_p75": 61453.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64800.0, "metro_p50": 95000.0, "metro_p75": 115050.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 61238.0, "metro_p50": 72000.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82524.0, "metro_p50": 99646.8, "metro_p75": 114585.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 58365.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 90480.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 38225.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 59982.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 119161.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 100315.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 79253.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 64624.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33280.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 65698.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:50:35.765073+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fl-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}