{"schema_version": 1, "id": "fairbanks-ak-msa/information-technology/2026-09", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 162, "label": "Fairbanks, AK MSA", "slug": "fairbanks-ak-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "information_technology", "slug": "information-technology", "label": "Information Technology"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:15:00.880857+00:00", "headline": "Fairbanks IT pay splits: security climbs, software engineering slides.", "headline_summary": "Metro Software Engineer advertised pay fell significantly to $121,716 against a national $153,652, while Cybersecurity Analyst pay rose to $109,661 amid a statewide 9.4% job openings rate.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Fairbanks MSA unemployment rate", "value": "3.1%", "context": "vs 4.1% national, 3.8% Alaska statewide"}, {"label": "Alaska job openings rate", "value": "9.4%", "context": "Roughly double the 4.5% national rate (Oct 2025)"}, {"label": "Software Engineer advertised pay, metro", "value": "$121,716", "context": "Down significantly vs $153,652 national median"}, {"label": "Alaska federal job losses, 2025", "value": "-4.5%", "context": "Shrinks technical/cleared talent pool statewide"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Software engineering pay is dropping while security pay climbs.", "body": "Metro Software Engineer advertised pay fell significantly to $121,716, well below the $153,652 national median, while Cybersecurity Analyst pay rose significantly to $109,661 \u2014 a reversal of historical role hierarchy that may signal employers are deprioritizing general development work in favor of security hardening."}, {"headline": "Help desk pay surge suggests support roles are getting harder to fill.", "body": "Help Desk/IT Support advertised pay jumped significantly to $53,495 against a flat national rate of $53,644, closing a gap that typically favors national averages. Paired with Alaska's near 1:1 ratio of job openings to available workers, this looks like local scarcity pressure rather than a strategic pay shift."}, {"headline": "Network Engineer and Systems Administrator pay are diverging sharply from national trends.", "body": "Network Engineer pay rose to $98,943 (still $15K below national), while Systems Administrator pay sits flat at $91,737 versus a rising $101,168 nationally. Flat local administrator pay amid regional labor scarcity may indicate employers are substituting automation or outsourced managed services rather than competing for scarce local talent."}, {"headline": "Federal contraction is quietly narrowing the technical talent bench.", "body": "Alaska's 4.5% federal job loss in 2025 removed a meaningful pool of cleared and technical workers from a market already running a 9.4% job openings rate. IT leaders dependent on federal or university-adjacent contracts should treat local hiring timelines as structurally longer than in prior years, not a temporary blip."}], "local_conditions": "Fairbanks-College MSA unemployment held at a tight 3.1-3.3% through mid-2026 as the metro added 300 jobs in August, with University of Alaska Fairbanks and Fort Wainwright continuing to anchor demand for administrative, technical, and construction-adjacent labor in a market with almost no slack.  Statewide job openings ran at 9.4% as of late 2025 \u2014 roughly double the national rate \u2014 while Alaska's 4.5% federal job contraction in 2025 is reshaping where technical talent is available, particularly for IT leaders tied to federal or university contracting.", "implications": "Advertised pay for Software Engineer roles fell sharply this month (down significant, to $121,716) even as Cybersecurity Analyst and Help Desk pay rose sharply \u2014 a divergence that is consistent with Fairbanks employers reallocating budget toward security and frontline support rather than general development capacity, echoing the national pattern of commodity IT roles losing ground to specialized ones. With local job openings running near double the national rate and federal employment contracting, build-vs-buy calculus shifts further toward contract or remote-sourced engineering talent while cybersecurity and support headcount stay local and permanent. Consider reviewing whether current software engineering requisitions are better filled through contract or distributed arrangements rather than competing for a shrinking local candidate pool at falling advertised rates.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether Software Engineer advertised pay continues falling or stabilizes will clarify if this is a genuine demand shift toward security/support or a temporary pullback tied to hiring freezes reported nationally by Addison Group."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Alaska's 9.4% job openings rate alongside continued federal job contraction suggests local technical candidate pools may tighten further before loosening \u2014 watch whether released federal or university IT staff absorb into private-sector postings."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National cybersecurity salary growth (senior roles reaching $400K per Lorien Global) has not yet fully reached Fairbanks advertised rates; a continued climb toward that gap could accelerate local retention risk for security staff."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "University of Alaska Fairbanks staffing decisions, following 2025's 400-job statewide reduction tied largely to the university system, remain a bellwether for whether public-sector IT demand stabilizes or continues contracting."}], "roles": [{"role": "Data Scientist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 121876.0, "metro_p50": 153323.6, "metro_p75": 164448.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 148250.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Systems Administrator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78482.0, "metro_p50": 91737.0, "metro_p75": 95984.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 101168.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Network Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 91274.0, "metro_p50": 98943.0, "metro_p75": 111481.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 114400.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 110691.5, "metro_p50": 121716.0, "metro_p75": 125150.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Help Desk/IT Support Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45976.5, "metro_p50": 53495.2, "metro_p75": 54335.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 53644.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Cybersecurity Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 85099.0, "metro_p50": 109660.6, "metro_p75": 132889.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 106790.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "IT Project Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 80516.0, "metro_p50": 113366.0, "metro_p75": 126279.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 117530.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "fairbanks-ak-msa/information-technology/2026-09.html", "pdf": "fairbanks-ak-msa/information-technology/2026-09.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:50:27.729016+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fairbanks-ak-msa/information-technology/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/fairbanks-ak-msa/information-technology/2026-09.pdf"}