{"schema_version": 1, "id": "erie-pa-msa/human-resources/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 161, "label": "Erie, PA MSA", "slug": "erie-pa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T02:14:09.973378+00:00", "headline": "Erie unemployment rises as Pennsylvania's falls to a three-year low.", "headline_summary": "Erie MSA unemployment climbed to 4.2% in September while statewide joblessness fell to 3.6%, even as advertised pay for HR Coordinator and Payroll Specialist roles jumped sharply in the metro.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Erie MSA unemployment", "value": "4.2%", "context": "Up from 3.9% in August 2026"}, {"label": "Pennsylvania unemployment", "value": "3.6%", "context": "Lowest since Sept. 2023; Erie diverges"}, {"label": "Erie avg. weekly wage", "value": "$1,109", "context": "Up 0.8% YoY, Q1 2026"}, {"label": "PA manufacturing WARN impact", "value": "2,934 workers", "context": "Across 23 filings, past 24 months"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Erie's unemployment uptick breaks from Pennsylvania's tightening trend.", "body": "Erie MSA unemployment rose to 4.2% in September while the state fell to 3.6%, its lowest since 2023. Divergence of this size may signal localized softening tied to manufacturing exposure \u2014 treat Erie as its own labor market with dynamics distinct from Pennsylvania conditions overall."}, {"headline": "HR Coordinator and Payroll Specialist pay jumped sharply in a metro with rising unemployment.", "body": "HR Coordinator advertised pay rose significantly to $47,530 and Payroll Specialist to $59,452, both outpacing their national medians even as local joblessness increased. Advertised pay gains persisting through a softening labor market suggest employers are competing hard for administrative HR talent specifically, independent of broader slack."}, {"headline": "Benefits Manager pay growth in Erie is outrunning the national rate.", "body": "Metro median advertised pay for Benefits Manager reached $121,500, above the $118,618 national figure, with significant local growth versus moderate growth nationally. Erie employers appear to be pricing in compliance complexity \u2014 Pittsburgh's Paid Sick Days Act changes and the CROWN Act \u2014 that raises the value of in-house benefits expertise."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing exposure makes Erie's next WARN filings worth tracking closely.", "body": "Statewide, manufacturing led WARN filings over the past 24 months with 2,934 affected workers, and Erie's economy still anchors over 10% of national plastics production. Any new filing locally would carry outsized signal value given the sector's concentration in the regional employment base."}], "local_conditions": "Erie MSA unemployment climbed to 4.2% in September 2026 from 3.9% in August, moving against the statewide trend as Pennsylvania's rate fell to 3.6% \u2014 a divergence that points to Erie-specific softening in manufacturing and plastics production.", "implications": "Rising local unemployment alongside tight statewide conditions creates a bifurcated hiring environment: Erie employers may see modestly deeper applicant pools for production and operations roles even as specialized professional and skilled-trades talent remains scarce and expensive to retain. HR leaders managing multi-site Pennsylvania operations should expect uneven leverage by location and role type when setting offer strategy. Consider reviewing whether Erie-based compensation structures still track regional peer markets or have started lagging as local labor supply loosens relative to the rest of the commonwealth.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "October's Erie unemployment print, due around late November, will clarify whether September's rise to 4.2% is a one-month fluctuation or the start of a trend diverging from Pennsylvania's 3.6% statewide rate."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide WARN activity in manufacturing and transportation & logistics has been elevated over the past 24 months; Erie's plastics-heavy manufacturing base makes it a logical candidate for spillover if orders soften further."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Comcast Technology Center's 634-worker layoff effective December 31 and other Pennsylvania WARN filings may release administrative and technical talent into regional candidate pools, including commuter-distance markets near Erie."}, {"category": "Compliance deadline", "body": "Pittsburgh's expanded Paid Sick Days Act accrual and Pennsylvania's CROWN Act, effective January 26, add documentation and benefits administration burden \u2014 Erie employers with Pittsburgh-area operations should budget HR capacity now."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 70654.0, "metro_p50": 95484.0, "metro_p75": 111191.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 100798.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70398.0, "metro_p50": 83377.8, "metro_p75": 88812.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 83900.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 78064.0, "metro_p50": 121500.0, "metro_p75": 125604.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 118618.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 77809.0, "metro_p50": 97578.0, "metro_p75": 109359.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 95000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37440.0, "metro_p50": 47530.0, "metro_p75": 50000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50460.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45761.0, "metro_p50": 67216.8, "metro_p75": 84000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 67234.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 48659.75, "metro_p50": 59452.2, "metro_p75": 69720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 61103.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Erie MSA unemployment rate reached 4.2% in September 2026"}, {"source_name": "Pennsylvania Department of Labor & Industry", "source_url": null, "statement": "Pennsylvania unemployment fell to 3.6% in September 2026"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Erie County average weekly wages were $1,109 in Q1 2026, up 0.8% YoY"}, {"source_name": "Pennsylvania WARN Act tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "Manufacturing led Pennsylvania WARN filings with 2,934 affected workers"}, {"source_name": "Pennsylvania WARN Act notices", "source_url": null, "statement": "Comcast Technology Center WARN filing for 634 workers effective Dec. 31, 2026"}, {"source_name": "Regional economic development research", "source_url": null, "statement": "Erie-based plants manufacture or finish over 10% of U.S. plastics output"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "erie-pa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "pdf": "erie-pa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:21:32.022689+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/erie-pa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/erie-pa-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}