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Labor Market Pulse

Durham, NC Metro Edition

Focus: IT

Durham's IT pay is splitting: admins up, security and PMs down.

3.4%

Durham-Chapel Hill unemployment

vs 4.1% national, 3.5% NC statewide

-$16,248

Cybersecurity Analyst pay gap

Metro $90,542 vs national $106,790, diverging

-$26,390

IT Project Manager pay gap

Metro $91,140 vs national $117,530

61 notices

NC WARN notices, 2026 YTD

5,753 workers; concentrated in mfg, logistics, healthcare

This Month's Takeaways

01

Cybersecurity pay is falling locally while rising nationally.

Metro median cybersecurity analyst pay dropped significantly even as the national median climbed to $106,790, a divergence that puts Durham employers at risk of losing mid-career analysts to remote or out-of-market offers. Given NC's elevated WARN activity in healthcare and manufacturing — sectors with real compliance exposure — this looks like a mispricing problem, not a demand problem.

02

Systems administrators are commanding a local premium.

Metro median pay for Systems Administrator roles ($107,819) now exceeds the national figure ($101,168), consistent with employers paying up to retain hybrid infrastructure staff rather than risk transition disruption. This strengthens the case for build-over-buy on core environments even as support-tier roles remain commoditized.

03

IT Project Manager pay is the sharpest outlier this month.

Metro median PM pay fell significantly to $91,140 against a national median of $117,530 — a roughly 22% gap that is difficult to explain by role mix alone. Consider whether this reflects genuine local demand softness or a benchmarking lag that risks losing delivery leadership talent to remote-first employers.

04

Entry-level easing frees budget for senior retention.

Only a third of NC employers report difficulty filling entry-level technical roles in 2026, consistent with help desk pay holding flat at $48,620 locally. Redirecting savings from Tier 1 hiring toward senior infrastructure and security retention may be the more defensible allocation this quarter.

Durham-Chapel Hill's 3.4% unemployment rate continues to run roughly 70 basis points below the national 4.1%, but the metro's knowledge-economy concentration — computer and mathematical occupations run more than double the national share — means local tech hiring tracks national AI-driven stratification rather than broad-based labor slack. Statewide information-sector job losses and a contracting North Carolina labor force are tightening the senior technical bench even as entry-level IT hiring eases, producing a bifurcated market where Tier 1 roles soften and specialized infrastructure, security, and cloud talent stays scarce.

Falling advertised pay for Cybersecurity Analyst and IT Project Manager roles locally, against rising national medians for both, suggests Durham employers may be under-pricing specialized risk and delivery talent relative to where the national market is heading — a gap that invites poaching from better-funded Triangle competitors and out-of-market remote employers. Meanwhile strength in Systems Administrator pay (up significantly, now exceeding the national median) signals employers are paying a premium to retain hybrid infrastructure expertise rather than risk outsourcing core environments during a period of immigrant-workforce attrition risk in NC's development pipeline. Consider reviewing cybersecurity and project management compensation against national trendlines now, before the local-national gap widens further and forces reactive counteroffers.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Data Scientist $108,032 $129,009 $140,119 ↑ Significant increase $148,250 ↑ Moderate increase
Systems Administrator $83,156 $107,819 $117,489 ↑ Significant increase $101,168 ↑ Moderate increase
Network Engineer $87,412 $115,716 $125,596 ↓ Significant decline $114,400 ↑ Moderate increase
Software Engineer $125,319 $160,125 $178,035 → Stable $153,652 → Stable
Help Desk/IT Support Specialist $41,079 $48,620 $52,443 → Stable $53,644 → Stable
Cybersecurity Analyst $82,366 $90,542 $119,174 ↓ Significant decline $106,790 ↑ Moderate increase
IT Project Manager $78,466 $91,140 $119,971 ↓ Significant decline $117,530 ↑ Moderate increase

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Potential inflection point

Watch whether Cybersecurity Analyst and IT Project Manager advertised pay in Durham begins correcting toward national medians over the next two reporting cycles — a continued gap suggests structural underpricing, not noise.

Emerging pressure point

NC's software development workforce draws heavily on immigrant talent; any escalation in federal enforcement activity could accelerate attrition in Triangle engineering and infrastructure teams faster than current postings data reflects.

Worth watching

North Carolina's information sector logged job losses through 2025 and early 2026 while Durham's computer/mathematical employment share stays elevated — a divergence worth tracking for signs of relocation or remote-hiring substitution into the metro.

Early indicator

Statewide WARN filings remain concentrated in manufacturing, logistics, and healthcare rather than tech — monitor whether released talent from these sectors begins appearing in adjacent IT support and infrastructure candidate pools.

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