{"schema_version": 1, "id": "duluth-mn-wi-msa/information-technology/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 224, "label": "Duluth, MN-WI MSA", "slug": "duluth-mn-wi-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "information_technology", "slug": "information-technology", "label": "Information Technology"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T03:05:24.153909+00:00", "headline": "Duluth IT pay splits sharply as metro unemployment climbs.", "headline_summary": "Systems Administrator pay rose significantly to a $80,986 metro median even as Duluth-area unemployment hit 5.2%, while Help Desk pay fell significantly to $44,043 \u2014 evidence of a labor market rewarding scarce infrastructure skills while support roles soften.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Duluth MSA unemployment", "value": "5.2%", "context": "Up 0.6 pts YoY, above 4.1% national rate"}, {"label": "Metro nonfarm employment change", "value": "-0.9%", "context": "Year-over-year as of May 2026"}, {"label": "St. Louis County avg weekly wage", "value": "$1,257", "context": "Up 3.2% in Q1 2026"}, {"label": "Minnesota real wage growth", "value": "0.0%", "context": "Flat vs 3.7% CPI inflation, vs 2.9% US wage growth"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Infrastructure pay is tightening even as the metro labor market loosens.", "body": "Systems Administrator advertised pay rose significantly to a $80,986 metro median and Network Engineer pay rose significantly to $99,414, both closing the gap with national figures despite 5.2% metro unemployment. Scarcity in these specific skill sets is not being resolved by broader labor slack \u2014 a sign that generalist hiring won't solve infrastructure staffing gaps."}, {"headline": "Support and project management roles are repricing downward.", "body": "Help Desk/IT Support pay fell significantly to $44,043 and IT Project Manager pay dropped significantly to $111,261, both diverging from flat-to-stable national trends. Current conditions suggest these functions carry less local wage leverage, making them stronger near-term candidates for outsourcing or regional consolidation."}, {"headline": "Real wage compression statewide is eroding retention leverage.", "body": "Minnesota wages were flat year-over-year against 3.7% inflation, compared with 2.9% national wage growth, meaning Duluth IT staff are losing purchasing power even where advertised rates for specific roles are rising. Retention conversations may need to address total rewards beyond base pay, particularly for roles not seeing advertised pay gains."}, {"headline": "Cybersecurity pay strength signals where budget priority is shifting.", "body": "Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay rose moderately to $116,948 locally, now exceeding the $107,327 national median \u2014 a rare metro premium. This likely reflects regional investment in cloud security and threat management capability that organizations are unable to source through internal reskilling alone."}], "local_conditions": "Duluth MSA unemployment climbed to 5.2% in August, nearly a full point above the national rate and up 0.6 points year-over-year, even as St. Louis County wages rose 3.2% to a $1,257 average weekly wage. Total nonfarm employment in the metro contracted 0.9% year-over-year, a structural softening that coexists with pockets of real wage pressure \u2014 a split labor market that complicates any blanket read on local IT hiring conditions.", "implications": "Metro-level weakness masks sharp divergence by role: Systems Administrator and Network Engineer advertised pay both moved up significantly this month while Help Desk/IT Support pay fell significantly and IT Project Manager pay dropped as well \u2014 a signal that infrastructure and network talent remain scarce locally even as support and PM functions soften. This bifurcation favors build-in-house strategies for infrastructure and security roles where Duluth pay is closing on national levels, while support and project management roles look increasingly suited to consolidation or outsourcing given falling advertised rates. Consider reviewing headcount allocation across infrastructure versus support functions before the next hiring cycle to avoid overpaying for roles where local labor supply has loosened.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Minnesota's Black unemployment rate reached 10.5% in August versus 4.2% for white workers, a widening gap worth tracking for pay equity and sourcing implications as IT leaders expand entry-level pipelines in the Duluth metro."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "3M's October WARN filing and broader Minnesota manufacturing layoffs may release adjacent technical and infrastructure talent into the regional pool; watch whether displaced workers show up in Duluth-area network and systems administration applicant flow over the next 60 days."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Metro nonfarm employment has contracted for several consecutive readings; a continued decline alongside rising Systems Administrator and Network Engineer pay would confirm a skills shortage that persists independent of cyclical softness, reinforcing the case for premium offers in those roles."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National data center and infrastructure hiring is accelerating in secondary markets while coastal tech hubs pull back; watch whether this pattern extends to Duluth-area infrastructure postings, which would strengthen the case for building on-prem and hybrid capacity locally to serve talent needs that would otherwise require competing for cloud-native talent in larger metros."}], "roles": [{"role": "Data Scientist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 101299.0, "metro_p50": 126396.0, "metro_p75": 144106.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 145881.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Systems Administrator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70275.0, "metro_p50": 80986.0, "metro_p75": 92702.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102503.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Network Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78856.25, "metro_p50": 99414.0, "metro_p75": 106860.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 115757.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 106397.75, "metro_p50": 126477.8, "metro_p75": 134131.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Help Desk/IT Support Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40991.0, "metro_p50": 44043.0, "metro_p75": 48631.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 53129.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Cybersecurity Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 91523.0, "metro_p50": 116948.0, "metro_p75": 130685.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 107327.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "IT Project Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 92480.5, "metro_p50": 111261.0, "metro_p75": 136900.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 118149.8, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "USA Facts / Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Duluth MSA unemployment reached 5.2% in August 2026, up 0.6 points year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "St. Louis County average weekly wage rose 3.2% to $1,257 in Q1 2026"}, {"source_name": "BLS federal data via local reporting", "source_url": null, "statement": "Total nonfarm employment in Duluth metro declined 0.9% year-over-year as of May 2026"}, {"source_name": "Minnesota DEED / Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Minnesota wages flat year-over-year against 3.7% inflation, vs 2.9% national wage growth"}, {"source_name": "Minnesota DEED", "source_url": null, "statement": "Minnesota Black unemployment reached 10.5% in August 2026, up from 7.7% a year earlier"}, {"source_name": "Minnesota DEED WARN Notice tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "3M Company filed a WARN notice on October 19, 2026"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "duluth-mn-wi-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "pdf": "duluth-mn-wi-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:21:14.481593+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/duluth-mn-wi-msa/information-technology/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/duluth-mn-wi-msa/information-technology/2026-10.pdf"}