{"schema_version": 1, "id": "detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 145, "label": "Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI MSA", "slug": "detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:32:32.733004+00:00", "headline": "Detroit jobless rate climbs as workforce shrinks.", "headline_summary": "Detroit-Warren-Dearborn unemployment rose to 5.5% in September as the labor force fell 6,000 and Trinity Health filed a WARN notice for 557 Livonia workers.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Detroit MSA unemployment rate", "value": "5.5%", "context": "Up from 4.8% a year earlier"}, {"label": "Metro labor force change", "value": "-6,000", "context": "September month-over-month decline"}, {"label": "Michigan labor force, year-over-year", "value": "-158,000", "context": "State participation rate now 58.5%"}, {"label": "US unemployment rate", "value": "4.1%", "context": "vs 5.5% Detroit MSA"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Detroit's jobless rate rise reflects a shrinking labor force.", "body": "Employment fell 7,000 and the labor force fell 6,000 in a single month, a combination consistent with discouraged-worker exits. That distinction matters for anyone citing the unemployment rate as a proxy for business conditions."}, {"headline": "Healthcare's national strength has not reached Detroit evenly.", "body": "Physicians, surgeons, and therapists lead national hiring demand, yet Trinity Health's 557-worker WARN notice in Livonia shows the metro's largest health system absorbing cuts even as the sector grows elsewhere. Local healthcare employment trends appear to be diverging from the national pattern."}, {"headline": "Wage gains in skilled trades outpace flat retail and manufacturing pay.", "body": "Electrician ($71,568) and HVAC technician ($68,515) advertised pay both moved up moderately this month, while manufacturing production worker pay held flat at $36,920 \u2014 a gap that tracks the metro's long manufacturing contraction against steadier construction-linked trades demand."}, {"headline": "Michigan's labor force has shrunk 158,000 in a year, a structural signal.", "body": "State participation sits at 58.5%, below the national 61.8% rate, and the decline spans nearly every regional labor market area. That gap predates this month's data and points to a durable constraint on available workers."}], "local_conditions": "Detroit-Warren-Dearborn's unemployment rate climbed to 5.5% in September, up seven-tenths of a point from a year earlier, as the metro shed 7,000 jobs and its labor force contracted by 6,000 over the month. Trinity Health's WARN filing for 557 Livonia workers, effective late October, adds to a pattern of healthcare and manufacturing softness that contrasts with the sector's national role as the leading source of job growth.", "implications": "Rising unemployment alongside a shrinking labor force points to workers exiting the job search, a dynamic that masks real softening in local demand and complicates any straightforward reading of the headline rate for economic development planning. Commerce leaders weighing expansion or investment timing should treat the metro's labor supply as tighter than the unemployment figure implies, given Michigan's statewide participation rate has fallen to 58.5%; current conditions suggest benchmarking local announcements against labor force trends before drawing conclusions about business climate.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Trinity Health's Livonia layoffs take effect October 25; watch whether displaced healthcare workers reappear in the regional labor force count or contribute to further participation decline."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Wayne County's 6.9% unemployment rate sits well above the metro average; a widening gap between Wayne County and surrounding counties would point to softening concentrated in that county."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National manufacturing added 9,000 jobs in September, yet Detroit's manufacturing base continues its long decline. A reversal or further divergence here will shape how commerce leaders read the metro's industrial outlook relative to the national trend."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Michigan's 10-year projection anticipates only 18,320 net new jobs statewide, with manufacturing shedding the most. Early 2027 state budget and economic development discussions are likely to reference this outlook directly."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26337.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 34500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26413.0, "metro_p50": 30092.8, "metro_p75": 31486.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32016.0, "metro_p50": 37329.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 80000.0, "metro_p75": 91000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31187.0, "metro_p50": 36436.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33660.0, "metro_p50": 38238.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59472.0, "metro_p50": 71568.0, "metro_p75": 78246.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32213.0, "metro_p50": 36920.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33592.0, "metro_p50": 39440.0, "metro_p75": 45000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28976.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31871.0, "metro_p50": 37796.0, "metro_p75": 41080.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 42881.4, "metro_p75": 47949.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60210.5, "metro_p50": 68515.2, "metro_p75": 76960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80953.0, "metro_p50": 96149.0, "metro_p75": 105245.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 100800.0, "metro_p50": 145453.2, "metro_p75": 156914.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 98399.0, "metro_p50": 132826.0, "metro_p75": 152258.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59565.0, "metro_p50": 70765.2, "metro_p75": 79899.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74957.0, "metro_p50": 93814.4, "metro_p75": 99913.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57500.0, "metro_p50": 69992.0, "metro_p75": 79732.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 60067.8, "metro_p75": 70042.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61988.0, "metro_p50": 86579.0, "metro_p75": 96629.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37994.0, "metro_p50": 55115.0, "metro_p75": 61970.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63927.0, "metro_p50": 93879.0, "metro_p75": 114812.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43753.0, "metro_p50": 65000.0, "metro_p75": 65000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77218.0, "metro_p50": 93393.0, "metro_p75": 105446.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 73867.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 104756.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 41756.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 110081.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 79355.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 77070.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 57911.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34189.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 68434.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:21:05.870189+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/detroit-warren-livonia-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}