{"schema_version": 1, "id": "de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 150, "label": "DE NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "de-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:31:58.428135+00:00", "headline": "Nonmetro Delaware's falling jobless rate hides a shrinking workforce.", "headline_summary": "Delaware's unemployment rate fell to 4.6% for a sixth straight month, but nonfarm payrolls dropped to 495,800 and Sussex County wages grew just 1.2% versus 3.1% statewide \u2014 signs nonmetro labor supply, not demand, is driving the headline number.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Delaware unemployment rate", "value": "4.6%", "context": "Sixth straight monthly decline, vs. 4.2% national"}, {"label": "Statewide nonfarm payrolls", "value": "495,800", "context": "Down from 496,600 in August"}, {"label": "Sussex County avg. weekly wage growth", "value": "+1.2%", "context": "vs. 3.1% statewide, 3.7% national CPI"}, {"label": "Government sector job losses", "value": "-500 jobs", "context": "400 in state government, Sept. month-over-month"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Falling unemployment is masking a shrinking workforce, not new jobs.", "body": "Delaware's unemployment rate dropped for a sixth straight month while nonfarm payrolls fell by 800 statewide, a pattern consistent with workers exiting the labor force rather than finding employment. Economic development messaging built solely around the unemployment headline risks overstating underlying momentum in nonmetro counties."}, {"headline": "Government job losses hit close to home for rural Delaware.", "body": "State government shed 400 jobs and total government employment fell 500 statewide, a meaningful signal for nonmetro counties where public-sector payrolls (schools, county administration, state agencies) often anchor local consumer spending. Public-sector stability, long a buffer against private-sector volatility in rural areas, is showing cracks."}, {"headline": "Sussex County wages are falling behind the statewide pace.", "body": "Sussex's average weekly wage rose just 1.2% to $1,127 in Q1 2026, well below Delaware's 3.1% statewide wage growth and further behind the 3.7% national CPI pace tracked this year. Real purchasing power in nonmetro Delaware is likely eroding faster than state-level averages suggest."}, {"headline": "Trade and transportation gains offer a rare bright spot.", "body": "Trade, Transportation and Utilities added 500 jobs statewide in September, the month's single largest sectoral gain, potentially reflecting nonmetro Delaware's logistics and distribution exposure along the I-95/coastal corridor. Whether this holds into Q4 will matter for assessing whether nonmetro job ad activity, a signal of hiring demand rather than a count of openings, is translating into real local job growth."}], "local_conditions": "Delaware's statewide unemployment rate fell to 4.6% in September \u2014 the sixth straight monthly decline \u2014 even as nonfarm employment edged down to 495,800 from 496,600, a divergence consistent with a shrinking labor force rather than robust job creation. Downstate and nonmetro Delaware, which lean more heavily on trade, hospitality, and government employment than the Wilmington corridor, appear to be absorbing the 600-job Leisure and Hospitality decline and 500-job Government pullback (400 in state government) more directly than the state's urban north.", "implications": "Falling unemployment paired with flat-to-declining payrolls points to a tightening labor pool rather than expanding economic activity \u2014 a distinction that matters for commerce leaders weighing whether current conditions reflect genuine growth capacity or a shrinking available workforce. Government sector contraction and Sussex County's modest 1.2% wage gain (to $1,127 weekly) versus statewide wage growth of 3.1% suggest nonmetro Delaware's public-sector stability, a traditional anchor for rural county economies, is softening faster than the state average. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider evaluating whether local business climate messaging reflects this labor-supply constraint directly, rather than citing the headline unemployment decline alone as evidence of economic strength.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether October's labor force participation figures (due with the delayed BLS release) show continued labor force shrinkage or a rebound \u2014 the gap between falling unemployment and flat payrolls is the single most important number to resolve for nonmetro Delaware this quarter."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "State government's 400-job loss in September could extend if budget pressures continue; a second consecutive month of public-sector contraction would be notable for nonmetro counties where government employment is proportionally larger than in Wilmington."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Initial unemployment claims fell to 416 for the week ending October 24 from 437 the prior week \u2014 a modest improvement worth tracking for confirmation that nonmetro layoff activity isn't accelerating heading into the holiday hiring season for trade and hospitality employers."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "October's full state and nonmetro employment data, delayed until late November, will be the first read on whether September's trade-sector gain (+500 jobs) was a one-month blip or the start of a sustained nonmetro recovery."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25967.5, "metro_p50": 33146.4, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27988.0, "metro_p50": 32760.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61122.0, "metro_p50": 80000.0, "metro_p75": 86000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31733.5, "metro_p50": 33576.0, "metro_p75": 35596.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32683.5, "metro_p50": 36423.0, "metro_p75": 40415.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61500.0, "metro_p50": 69019.0, "metro_p75": 80600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34320.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39853.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 36190.0, "metro_p75": 38679.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29468.0, "metro_p50": 30058.2, "metro_p75": 30984.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33988.0, "metro_p50": 36186.0, "metro_p75": 37500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34222.0, "metro_p50": 40128.0, "metro_p75": 42689.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58240.0, "metro_p50": 62667.0, "metro_p75": 76908.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 83826.0, "metro_p50": 93600.0, "metro_p75": 102294.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 125193.0, "metro_p50": 142597.0, "metro_p75": 149713.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 109826.25, "metro_p50": 140864.2, "metro_p75": 152955.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58759.0, "metro_p50": 65520.0, "metro_p75": 73552.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 72660.5, "metro_p50": 96767.8, "metro_p75": 106035.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60350.0, "metro_p50": 62400.0, "metro_p75": 63554.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 50403.0, "metro_p50": 79489.0, "metro_p75": 97820.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 67500.0, "metro_p50": 67500.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": null, "metro_trend_magnitude": null, "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34320.0, "metro_p50": 45661.4, "metro_p75": 53834.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51356.75, "metro_p50": 79126.0, "metro_p75": 92542.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": null, "metro_p25": null, "metro_p50": null, "metro_p75": null, "metro_trend_direction": null, "metro_trend_magnitude": null, "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84217.0, "metro_p50": 86565.0, "metro_p75": 86565.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 51346.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 74000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 35796.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47035.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 74714.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 55608.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 57386.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32805.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 61268.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Delaware Public / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Delaware unemployment rate fell to 4.6% in September, sixth straight decline"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Nonfarm employment fell to 495,800 from 496,600 in August"}, {"source_name": "BLS Mid-Atlantic Region", "source_url": null, "statement": "Sussex County average weekly wage rose 1.2% to $1,127 in Q1 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Government sector lost 500 jobs, 400 in state government"}, {"source_name": "U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Program", "source_url": null, "statement": "Initial unemployment claims fell to 416 for week ending October 24"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Delaware average weekly wage $1,606, ranked 15th nationally"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:20:52.644455+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/de-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}