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Labor Market Pulse
Dayton, OH Metro Edition
Focus: IT
3.0%
Dayton MSA unemployment rate
vs 4.1% national, 3.3% Ohio statewide
100 jobs/month avg
Dayton job growth pace, 2026
Down from 117/month in 2025, weakest since 2020
$111,269
Data Scientist advertised pay, metro
Down significantly vs $148,250 national, rising moderately
3,134 workers
Ohio WARN activity, trailing 90 days
18 notices, led by manufacturing (23 notices statewide)
This Month's Takeaways
Metro median of $111,269 trails the $148,250 national figure by a widening margin, with local pay moving down significantly even as national demand accelerates. This divergence suggests Dayton employers are either substituting contract analytics talent or losing specialized roles to Columbus and remote-first employers.
Metro median climbed to $106,443, a significant local gain outpacing even the national trend. Consistent with Columbus's data center expansion drawing infrastructure talent regionally, forcing Dayton employers to bid up pay to retain networking and infrastructure staff rather than lose them to a 20-minute commute shift.
Metro median down significantly to $111,615 against a national figure rising moderately to $117,530 may reflect fewer standalone PM roles as organizations fold project oversight into senior technical positions. Reevaluate whether this role should be benchmarked against a shrinking local market or a stronger national one before the next req is posted.
Both roles show stable metro and national trends, but CompTIA's 2026 data placing cybersecurity skill growth at 346% above national average suggests this calm is temporary. Flat advertised pay alongside surging demand signals is the kind of gap that typically closes fast once hiring managers start competing for the same candidates.
Local Labor Conditions
Dayton's 3.0% unemployment rate — among the tightest of any major metro nationally — sits against a regional job growth pace averaging just 100 jobs per month in 2026, the slowest since 2020, suggesting labor scarcity rather than hiring momentum is driving the tight reading. Manufacturing and construction firms report active hiring constrained by skilled-trades shortages, a dynamic increasingly bleeding into infrastructure and network roles that compete for the same technically-skilled labor pool.
Leadership & Talent Implications
Metro Data Scientist pay down significantly against a national figure moving up moderately signals Dayton employers losing pricing power for advanced analytics talent precisely as Columbus's data center boom — 1,100+ jobs added regionally since 2021 — pulls cloud and infrastructure specialists northward. IT Project Manager pay falling locally while rising nationally points toward either a cooling in project-based hiring or a quiet reclassification of project oversight into senior engineering roles, a pattern worth distinguishing before budgeting next cycle's headcount. Organizations should evaluate whether build-vs-buy tradeoffs for specialized cloud and data roles now favor regional contracting partners over direct hires, given Dayton's shrinking wage premium relative to Columbus-adjacent markets.
Advertised Pay Indicators
| Role | P25 | Median | P75 | Local Trend | National | Nat. Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Scientist | $95,848 | $111,269 | $122,500 | ↓ Significant decline | $148,250 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Systems Administrator | $81,615 | $103,642 | $113,391 | → Stable | $101,168 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Network Engineer | $77,530 | $106,443 | $121,551 | ↑ Significant increase | $114,400 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Software Engineer | $100,555 | $120,007 | $132,500 | → Stable | $153,652 | → Stable |
| Help Desk/IT Support Specialist | $42,024 | $50,393 | $58,525 | → Stable | $53,644 | → Stable |
| Cybersecurity Analyst | $91,247 | $110,222 | $121,342 | → Stable | $106,790 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| IT Project Manager | $106,140 | $111,615 | $116,673 | ↓ Significant decline | $117,530 | ↑ Moderate increase |
Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days
Worth watching
Columbus's data center employment growth has outpaced Dayton's infrastructure hiring for three straight years. Watch whether Dayton employers begin advertising remote-eligible infrastructure and network roles at Columbus-competitive rates to stop talent leakage up I-70.
Emerging pressure point
Ohio WARN activity shows 18 notices and 3,134 affected workers in 90 days, concentrated in manufacturing and transportation — sectors adjacent to Dayton's industrial base. Monitor whether displaced technical and operations staff with transferable skills enter the local IT support and infrastructure candidate pool.
Early indicator
Regional job growth slowing to 100 jobs per month, Dayton's weakest pace since 2020, may constrain the broader hiring environment even as IT-specific roles stay tight. Watch whether this translates into longer time-to-fill for specialized cloud and security positions as competition concentrates on a shrinking labor pool.
Potential inflection point
Data Scientist pay has now moved down significantly for a second consecutive reporting period locally while national pay climbs. If the gap keeps widening, expect increased attrition risk among analytics staff with remote-work options, and consider whether retention budgets need front-loading before Q4 reviews.
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