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Labor Market Pulse

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Metro Edition

Focus: IT

Quad Cities IT talent tightens as overall payrolls shrink.

3.9%

Metro unemployment (IL side)

Down from 5.3% a year earlier, Aug 2026

-2,100 jobs

Metro nonfarm payroll change

Largest % decline among IL metros, YoY

$123,689

IT Project Manager advertised pay

vs $117,530 national median

4.1%

National unemployment rate

One-year low, steady since July 2026

This Month's Takeaways

01

Local labor supply is shrinking faster than demand.

Metro nonfarm payrolls fell 2,100 jobs year-over-year even as unemployment dropped to 3.9%, the largest rate decline of any Illinois metro. That combination typically signals workers leaving the labor force rather than genuine hiring strength — a scarcity dynamic that raises retention stakes for specialized IT talent already in short supply.

02

Project management pay is outrunning technical pay locally.

IT Project Manager advertised pay rose significantly to $123,689 locally, surpassing the $117,530 national median, while Systems Administrator and Network Engineer pay moved only modestly. Employers appear to be paying for coordination and delivery capability as cloud/hybrid complexity grows, not for additional hands-on infrastructure headcount.

03

Cybersecurity pay parity with national rates is notable.

Local Cybersecurity Analyst pay at $108,160 now exceeds the $106,790 national median, an unusual inversion for this metro. Combined with national reports of 10-15% mid-level cybersecurity salary increases, this may suggest Quad Cities employers are competing directly against larger markets for a thin specialist pool rather than relying on geographic pay discounts.

04

Commodity IT roles face structural compression, not a local anomaly.

Help Desk/IT Support pay remains flat at $48,491 locally against a national backdrop where AI is reducing lower-level technical positions and 1.4 million US computing roles are projected unfilled by 2027. Local stability here likely reflects national skill deprecation trends rather than metro-specific demand, reinforcing the case for shifting support headcount toward higher-value tiers.

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island's Illinois-side unemployment rate fell to 3.9% in August 2026, down from 5.3% a year earlier, even as metro-wide nonfarm employment dropped 2,100 jobs year-over-year — a labor-tightening signal driven more by shrinking labor supply than by hiring expansion. Information-sector job losses at both the state and national level, paired with Illinois' new salary-range disclosure requirement, are compressing employer flexibility just as mid-level AI and cybersecurity talent nationally commands 8-9% annual pay gains.

Falling unemployment alongside shrinking payrolls points to a metro where available talent is scarcer, not more abundant — a dynamic that raises the cost of local hiring for specialized infrastructure and security roles even as commodity IT functions face continued margin pressure from outsourcing economics ($35-60/hour global sourcing versus $130-180K domestic developer salaries). IT Project Manager pay climbing to $123,689 locally, now exceeding the national median, suggests Quad Cities employers are paying a premium to manage increasingly complex cloud/hybrid transitions with leaner internal teams. Consider reviewing whether current build-vs-buy allocations still match this metro's tightening supply of specialized talent, particularly where premium local pay for coordination roles is outpacing commodity technical roles.

Advertised Pay Indicators

Role P25 Median P75 Local Trend National Nat. Trend
Data Scientist $113,377 $138,800 $156,628 ↓ Moderate decline $148,250 ↑ Moderate increase
Systems Administrator $79,537 $82,889 $92,500 ↑ Moderate increase $101,168 ↑ Moderate increase
Network Engineer $58,166 $99,680 $110,917 → Stable $114,400 ↑ Moderate increase
Software Engineer $87,210 $120,000 $141,216 ↑ Moderate increase $153,652 → Stable
Help Desk/IT Support Specialist $41,648 $48,491 $49,920 → Stable $53,644 → Stable
Cybersecurity Analyst $85,504 $108,160 $112,362 → Stable $106,790 ↑ Moderate increase
IT Project Manager $108,491 $123,689 $134,395 ↑ Significant increase $117,530 ↑ Moderate increase

Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days

Expected

October 28 brings the first official September 2026 BLS metro release, which should clarify whether August's unemployment drop reflects genuine tightening or labor-force exit. IT leaders benchmarking fourth-quarter headcount plans should treat current August figures as provisional.

Emerging pressure point

Illinois' 91 year-to-date WARN notices, including T-Mobile and GoHealth cuts affecting nearly 1,000 workers combined, have been concentrated outside the Quad Cities so far. Watch whether displaced tech and telecom talent from Chicago-area filings begins appearing in the local candidate pool.

Worth watching

Illinois' salary-range disclosure mandate is now fully in effect for Quad Cities postings, reducing negotiation room on both sides. Expect advertised pay ranges to compress toward posted medians as employers calibrate to avoid candidate pushback on wide bands.

Potential inflection point

National information-sector job losses in August, paired with local nonfarm payroll contraction, raise the question of whether Quad Cities IT headcount reductions are still ahead rather than behind. Monitor local WARN filings and information-sector employment in the October release for early signs.

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