{"schema_version": 1, "id": "columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 159, "label": "Columbia, SC MSA", "slug": "columbia-sc-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:31:43.763940+00:00", "headline": "Columbia's 3.6% unemployment and new leases signal broad-based growth.", "headline_summary": "Columbia metro unemployment dropped to 3.6% in September against South Carolina's 4.0% and the national 4.1%, while fresh commercial leases from DSV, Winland Foods and Lularose totaling over 700,000 square feet point to investment extending beyond the metro's traditional public-sector base.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Columbia MSA unemployment rate", "value": "3.6%", "context": "vs 4.0% SC, 4.1% U.S., Sept 2026"}, {"label": "Columbia payroll employment", "value": "440,000", "context": "up 4,400 jobs year-over-year"}, {"label": "Richland County wage growth", "value": "3.8%", "context": "vs 4.1% U.S. avg hourly earnings growth"}, {"label": "New commercial leases, metro", "value": "711,000 sq ft", "context": "Lularose, Winland Foods, DSV combined"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Columbia's labor market is tighter than the state and national averages.", "body": "At 3.6% unemployment versus South Carolina's 4.0% and the national 4.1%, Columbia has less slack than most comparable metros, which is consistent with the metro's reliance on stable state-government and university employment. Tight labor markets of this kind tend to support steady consumer spending but limit how quickly new large employers can staff up locally."}, {"headline": "Large commercial leases point to real estate and logistics investment alongside hiring activity.", "body": "Leases by Lularose (325,000 sq ft), Winland Foods (200,000 sq ft) and DSV (186,000 sq ft) represent concrete capital commitments to the metro, a stronger signal of business confidence than job ads alone, which signal hiring demand but often cover several openings each. Economic development leaders can treat these as evidence the metro is competitive for logistics and food-sector site selection, reinforcing incremental local hiring demand."}, {"headline": "Wage growth is outpacing the metro's own recent history, but inflation context matters.", "body": "Richland County's 3.8% year-over-year wage growth tracks close to the national 4.1% average hourly earnings gain, yet national data shows median earnings growth (1.5%) trailing CPI (3.5%) this quarter. Local wage gains may be providing a buffer against the real-wage erosion playing out nationally, worth confirming against the next CPI release."}, {"headline": "Public-sector concentration is a stabilizer in this cycle, with private leasing driving growth.", "body": "State government and USC employment anchor Columbia's below-average volatility, but statewide job gains this year were led by leisure/hospitality and education/health services, while government employment grew more modestly. Commerce leaders should read the metro's low unemployment as a floor provided by public-sector durability, with private-sector leasing activity carrying the upside case."}], "local_conditions": "Columbia metro unemployment fell to 3.6% in September, the lowest level in recent memory and third-lowest among South Carolina's metros behind Charleston (3.2%) and Greenville-Anderson (3.3%), as payroll employment rose to 440,000, up 1,400 jobs month-over-month and 4,400 year-over-year. Momentum appears tied to the metro's outsized public-sector base (40% above the national average, anchored by state government and the University of South Carolina) alongside commercial expansion signaled by large recent leases from Lularose, Winland Foods and DSV totaling more than 700,000 square feet of space.", "implications": "Richland County's 3.8% year-over-year wage growth and a tight 3.6% unemployment rate point to a metro operating near full employment, a condition that typically signals confidence for commercial investment but also tighter local labor availability for firms expanding operations. Public-sector stability and the DSV/Winland Foods logistics and food-manufacturing leases suggest the metro's current growth is broad-based, spanning multiple sectors, a favorable signal for diversification-minded investors and site-selection decisions. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider monitoring whether the pace of commercial leasing translates into sustained payroll growth over the next two quarters before treating it as a structural shift.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Watch whether the Lularose, Winland Foods and DSV lease commitments convert into measurable payroll gains in Columbia's November and December employment reports. A gap between leased square footage and actual job growth would suggest longer ramp-up timelines for the local economic lift."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "South Carolina's labor force hit a record 2,679,964 in September and is growing faster than any state in the nation; track whether Columbia's share of that growth keeps pace with Charleston and Greenville, which currently post lower unemployment rates."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National information-sector job losses (-23,000 in September) and South Carolina's own information-sector contraction (-2,300 jobs over the year) bear watching locally, given Columbia's growing software and data-engineering wage base; a slowdown there could diverge from the metro's otherwise broad-based momentum."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Federal WARN filings remain active nationally (3,860 notices through late October) though South Carolina's 51 notices affecting 7,206 workers are concentrated in manufacturing, food/hospitality and logistics elsewhere in the state. Local economic development offices should monitor whether any Richland- or Lexington-County-based employers appear on upcoming state WARN lists."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22371.0, "metro_p50": 28080.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22142.0, "metro_p50": 26000.0, "metro_p75": 27883.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29317.25, "metro_p50": 34407.6, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55120.5, "metro_p50": 78650.0, "metro_p75": 89800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26934.75, "metro_p50": 32945.0, "metro_p75": 38038.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 38904.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55917.0, "metro_p50": 67205.0, "metro_p75": 72991.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30183.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 37480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37273.0, "metro_p75": 39627.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26518.0, "metro_p50": 29407.2, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 35374.4, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32156.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 42750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52041.25, "metro_p50": 67600.0, "metro_p75": 77500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80834.0, "metro_p50": 94863.4, "metro_p75": 103897.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 122502.5, "metro_p50": 155000.0, "metro_p75": 172500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99212.0, "metro_p50": 141050.0, "metro_p75": 158914.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54708.0, "metro_p50": 66306.0, "metro_p75": 74453.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70455.75, "metro_p50": 89964.0, "metro_p75": 102790.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49994.25, "metro_p50": 73263.0, "metro_p75": 82143.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43702.75, "metro_p50": 58874.0, "metro_p75": 71044.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77358.0, "metro_p50": 82540.0, "metro_p75": 82540.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42359.0, "metro_p50": 60567.2, "metro_p75": 66281.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65697.0, "metro_p50": 97970.4, "metro_p75": 118704.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60072.0, "metro_p50": 78053.0, "metro_p75": 78053.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72492.0, "metro_p50": 88879.2, "metro_p75": 103467.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 67665.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 100415.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42640.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 60860.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 134206.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 94917.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 88368.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 72800.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 32588.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 59733.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:20:22.451826+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/columbia-sc-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}