{"schema_version": 1, "id": "coeur-d-alene-id-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 200, "label": "Coeur d'Alene, ID MSA", "slug": "coeur-d-alene-id-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-08", "public_after": "2026-08-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T16:28:25.709666+00:00", "headline": "Coeur d'Alene management pay falls as front-line wages hold firm.", "headline_summary": "Restaurant Manager pay in Coeur d'Alene dropped to a $63,036 median even as metro unemployment improved to 4.3%, while Server and Crew wages held stable against a national backdrop of falling restaurant job openings.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.3%", "context": "Down 0.3 pts from July, above Idaho's 3.6%"}, {"label": "Metro nonfarm payrolls", "value": "-0.3%", "context": "Monthly decline despite falling unemployment"}, {"label": "Idaho tipped minimum wage", "value": "$3.35/hr", "context": "vs $17.13 WA, $15.55 OR minimums"}, {"label": "National restaurant job openings", "value": "673,000", "context": "Down 27% from 916,000 in January"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Management pay is falling faster locally than nationally.", "body": "Restaurant Manager/GM advertised pay in Coeur d'Alene dropped significantly to a $63,036 median, still above the national $59,762 figure but closing that gap fast. Operators appear to be recalibrating what they'll pay for supervisory talent even as the metro unemployment rate ticked down, suggesting softer competition for these roles than the labor market headline implies."}, {"headline": "Front-line pay is holding while leadership pay erodes.", "body": "Server, Crew, and Line Cook advertised wages are all stable, contrasting sharply with significant declines for Assistant Manager, Catering Manager, and Shift Manager roles. This divergence is consistent with national data showing operators leaning on staff efficiency and speed-of-service gains rather than headcount changes to manage labor cost as a share of revenue."}, {"headline": "Idaho's static minimum wage is exporting labor to neighboring states.", "body": "Idaho's $7.25 base and $3.35 tipped cash wage remain unchanged while Washington sits at $17.13 and Oregon at $15.55, a gap that has widened further in 2026. For Kootenai County operators near the Washington border, this makes front-of-house recruiting a structural, not cyclical, challenge that advertised pay increases alone may not fully offset."}, {"headline": "A shrinking payroll count may be masking a tighter candidate pool.", "body": "Nonfarm employment fell 0.3% in the metro even as unemployment improved, a combination more consistent with labor force contraction than robust hiring. Restaurant leaders should treat the improved unemployment rate cautiously \u2014 fewer available workers, not more open jobs filled, may be the better read on current market tightness."}], "local_conditions": "Coeur d'Alene's unemployment rate improved to 4.3% in August, down 0.3 points from July, even as nonfarm payrolls contracted 0.3% \u2014 a split signal in which fewer people are counted as job-seeking rather than more people finding work. Against this backdrop, statewide restaurant advertised pay softened across management tiers, echoing national data showing job openings down 27% since January and quits down sharply, both consistent with an industry pivoting from hiring to retention.", "implications": "Falling advertised pay for management roles alongside stable line-level pay suggests operators are compressing supervisory cost structures while holding the line on hourly staffing budgets \u2014 a sign that labor-cost-per-revenue discipline is now concentrated at the management layer rather than across the workforce. With Washington's $17.13 minimum wage and Oregon's $15.55 sitting well above Idaho's $7.25 base and $3.35 tipped wage, border-adjacent Kootenai County operators face a widening recruitment gap for front-of-house talent that pure wage-matching may not solve. Consider reviewing management compensation structures against the metro's declining advertised rates before assuming national retention gains apply locally.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether Coeur d'Alene's declining labor force participation continues into fall, which would tighten the front-of-house candidate pool further heading into the holiday staffing season."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Border-state minimum wage divergence with Washington and Oregon is unlikely to narrow, and Idaho ballot measures to raise the state wage floor have not qualified \u2014 expect continued outmigration pressure on hourly talent in northern Kootenai County."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Management-tier advertised pay declines in Coeur d'Alene, if sustained through September, would suggest operators are recalibrating supervisory compensation structures ahead of typical fourth-quarter hiring pushes."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National full-service restaurant employment remains 3.6% below pre-pandemic levels; watch whether Idaho's stagnating full-service segment begins to show similar back-of-house staffing gaps as seasonal demand shifts."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33367.75, "metro_p50": 43846.0, "metro_p75": 48263.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 44045.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 51585.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29676.0, "metro_p50": 34320.0, "metro_p75": 36400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 29791.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34817.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 36702.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49273.0, "metro_p50": 63036.2, "metro_p75": 72500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 59762.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30255.0, "metro_p50": 34387.8, "metro_p75": 37356.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34915.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30949.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 32649.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "September 2026", "files": {"html": "coeur-d-alene-id-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.html", "pdf": "coeur-d-alene-id-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:33:36.479833+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/coeur-d-alene-id-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/coeur-d-alene-id-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.pdf"}