{"schema_version": 1, "id": "cleveland-tn-msa/finance/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 129, "label": "Cleveland, TN MSA", "slug": "cleveland-tn-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "finance", "slug": "finance", "label": "Finance"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T05:09:23.428556+00:00", "headline": "Cleveland finance pay splits sharply from national market", "headline_summary": "Cleveland's FP&A Manager pay sits near $102,239 against a national median of $130,000, while Bradley County unemployment tightened to 3.6% in September, squeezing an already thin local finance talent pool.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Bradley County unemployment", "value": "3.6%", "context": "Down from 4.0% in August 2026"}, {"label": "FP&A Manager pay gap", "value": "$102,239 vs $130,000", "context": "Metro vs. national median, national trending up"}, {"label": "TN financial activities jobs", "value": "-4,100", "context": "Year-over-year loss despite statewide job growth"}, {"label": "CFO turnover rate", "value": "18.3%", "context": "Highest since the pandemic, per Crist|Kolder"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "FP&A Manager pay gap with national market keeps widening.", "body": "Metro median sits at $102,239 against a national figure near $130,000 and trending up \u2014 a 21%+ spread that was not this pronounced in prior cycles. Remote-capable FP&A talent has little incentive to stay local at current advertised rates."}, {"headline": "Tax Specialist pay is moving in opposite directions locally and nationally.", "body": "National median advertised pay rose significantly to $69,556 while Cleveland's fell moderately to $56,466, a divergence that may reflect either weaker local tax-function demand or employers testing lower offers in a market still showing 3.6% unemployment. Either way, the spread complicates retention for any finance team trying to hold tax staff through close and filing cycles."}, {"headline": "Statewide financial activities job losses point to a thinner local bench.", "body": "Tennessee financial activities employment fell by 4,100 jobs over the past year even as the state added jobs overall, consistent with national data showing financial activities payrolls down 7,000 in September. Cleveland finance leaders competing for the same shrinking talent pool as Chattanooga and Nashville employers should expect longer time-to-fill for specialized roles."}, {"headline": "Controller compensation is the one bright spot tracking the national market.", "body": "Metro Controller pay rose moderately to $116,353, essentially matching the national median of $115,420 \u2014 a signal that senior finance leadership roles remain competitively priced locally even as mid-level analyst and specialist roles lag. This asymmetry may concentrate attrition risk at the analyst and specialist tiers above the top of the finance org chart."}], "local_conditions": "Bradley County's unemployment rate fell to 3.6% in September from 4% in August, consistent with the statewide pattern of tightening labor markets, while Cleveland metro wages remain structurally compressed at a $24.36 mean hourly wage versus $33.54 nationally. Finance-specific labor supply pressure is compounding this tightness, as statewide financial activities employment lost 4,100 jobs over the year even as competing sectors like healthcare and professional/technical services post the strongest gains, pulling candidates away from accounting and finance career tracks.", "implications": "Metro-level declines in advertised pay for Controller-adjacent and analyst roles \u2014 FP&A Manager down significantly to $102,239 against a national median of $130,000, Credit Analyst and Tax Specialist both down moderately \u2014 suggest Cleveland employers are either under-pricing finance talent relative to national demand or quietly substituting contract and remote arrangements for local FTE hires. That gap creates real headcount cost planning risk heading into FY2027 budget cycles, particularly if local finance teams lose candidates to Nashville-area or remote postings offering national-median pay. Consider reviewing whether current Cleveland-area finance compensation bands reflect the local labor pool accurately or rest on an outdated assumption that talent won't look beyond the metro.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "CFO turnover nationally is projected at 18.3% for 2026, the highest since the pandemic, with external hiring rates climbing to 37.5%. Cleveland finance leaders should track whether any local or regional CFO transitions surface during Q4 close season, a period when vacancy risk is most disruptive."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "70% of finance and accounting leaders nationally report increasing use of contract talent in H2 2026. If that shift reaches Cleveland's smaller finance departments, audit readiness and control documentation may need review ahead of year-end close."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Bradley County's unemployment drop to 3.6% tightens the local hiring pool further; watch whether advertised pay for Senior Accountant and Billing Specialist roles responds in November postings, particularly given Billing Specialist already shows a significant upward move this month."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "TNTalent's $5 million workforce development funding targets AI infrastructure and advanced manufacturing skills; any local employer using automation to offset finance headcount shortages should factor retraining costs into FY2027 planning now."}], "roles": [{"role": "Controller", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 94417.0, "metro_p50": 116353.0, "metro_p75": 126408.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 115420.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Senior Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55635.0, "metro_p50": 55635.0, "metro_p75": 65449.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 87731.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 68990.0, "metro_p50": 88650.0, "metro_p75": 95190.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Billing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38818.75, "metro_p50": 42697.0, "metro_p75": 43118.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 49000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Tax Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 56466.0, "metro_p75": 70679.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 69556.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Credit Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52826.0, "metro_p50": 60770.4, "metro_p75": 65537.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71397.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "FP&A Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 83283.0, "metro_p50": 102239.0, "metro_p75": 125210.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 130000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "Cleveland Banner / TDLWD", "source_url": null, "statement": "Bradley County unemployment fell to 3.6% in September from 4% in August"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Cleveland MSA mean hourly wage of $24.36 vs national $33.54"}, {"source_name": "Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Tennessee financial activities employment fell 4,100 jobs year-over-year"}, {"source_name": "Crist|Kolder Associates", "source_url": null, "statement": "CFO turnover projected at 18.3% in 2026, highest since pandemic"}, {"source_name": "AFP FP&A Forum", "source_url": null, "statement": "70% of finance leaders increasing contract talent use in H2 2026"}, {"source_name": "Tennessee Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "TNTalent program provides $5 million for workforce development"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "cleveland-tn-msa/finance/2026-10.html", "pdf": "cleveland-tn-msa/finance/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:20:07.329451+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/cleveland-tn-msa/finance/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/cleveland-tn-msa/finance/2026-10.pdf"}