{"schema_version": 1, "id": "chattanooga-tn-ga-msa/human-resources/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 124, "label": "Chattanooga, TN-GA MSA", "slug": "chattanooga-tn-ga-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T02:09:03.891307+00:00", "headline": "Chattanooga HR pay climbs as metro job growth stalls.", "headline_summary": "UTC cut its 2026 metro job growth forecast to 1,100 net jobs, yet advertised pay for Compensation Analyst ($91,636) and HRIS Analyst ($90,420) roles rose sharply, signaling a scramble for scarce specialized talent even as broader hiring cools.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro job growth forecast (2026)", "value": "1,100 net jobs", "context": "Down sharply from earlier 2026 UTC projections"}, {"label": "Chattanooga MSA unemployment", "value": "3.3%", "context": "vs 4.1% national rate; down 0.3pp year-over-year"}, {"label": "Manufacturing job losses (metro)", "value": "~2,200 jobs", "context": "Largest sectoral loss driving 2026 forecast cut"}, {"label": "HR Coordinator advertised pay (metro)", "value": "$44,480", "context": "Down significantly vs national median of $50,460"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Local pay is rising faster than national pay for core HR roles.", "body": "Compensation Analyst, HRIS Analyst and Benefits Manager advertised pay all moved up significantly in Chattanooga this month while their national counterparts stayed stable or saw only moderate gains. This divergence suggests metro employers are competing hard for a thin local bench of specialized talent, a dynamic distinct from any national trend."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing softness is reshaping where hiring dollars go.", "body": "UTC's downward revision to 1,100 net jobs for 2026, driven largely by manufacturing losses near 2,200 positions, points toward continued wage and hiring pressure shifting toward healthcare and education, which added roughly 1,700 jobs. Workforce planning and compensation benchmarking should weight these growth sectors more heavily than legacy manufacturing roles."}, {"headline": "HR Coordinator pay is diverging sharply from the rest of the field.", "body": "Metro HR Coordinator advertised pay fell significantly to $44,480 even as the national median rose to $50,460 \u2014 an unusual split worth investigating before assuming it reflects declining demand. It may instead reflect a shift toward hiring less-experienced coordinators locally, or employers substituting coordinator duties into HRIS or HR Business Partner roles."}, {"headline": "T-Mobile's layoff is a small but useful stress test for candidate flow.", "body": "The 200-worker cut announced in October is modest relative to the metro's size, but it offers an early read on whether displaced talent moves into adjacent roles or exits the market entirely. Watching local applicant volume over the next job cycle may reveal whether the labor pool is actually loosening or staying structurally tight."}], "local_conditions": "Chattanooga's labor market cooled meaningfully this fall: UTC's Center for Regional Economic Research cut its 2026 net job growth forecast to just 1,100 positions, down sharply from earlier estimates, with manufacturing shedding roughly 2,200 jobs and professional and business services down about 1,200 amid tariff uncertainty and elevated interest rates. T-Mobile's October layoff of 200 Chattanooga workers adds to the signal, even as the metro's 3.3% July unemployment rate (the most recent available) remained below the 4.1% national figure, pointing to a market that is tightening in labor supply while simultaneously losing momentum in job creation.", "implications": "Metro employers face a dual reality: a shallow applicant pool consistent with 3.3% unemployment, paired with softening demand in manufacturing and professional services that makes aggressive external hiring riskier and costlier to justify. Advertised pay for HR-adjacent roles like Compensation Analyst ($91,636) and HRIS Analyst ($90,420) is up significantly locally even as national medians hold stable, suggesting Chattanooga employers are bidding up scarce specialized talent to fill a narrow local bench. Consider reviewing retention budgets for data and compensation expertise before reinvesting in open-market recruiting for roles where national postings remain flat.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "UTC's Center for Regional Economic Research forecast of just 1,100 net new jobs for 2026 implies most 2026 growth is already behind us. Watch whether Q4 postings data confirms a continued slowdown or a modest rebound tied to holiday hiring in leisure and hospitality."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Manufacturing job losses of roughly 2,200 positions metro-wide, combined with tariff and interest-rate headwinds cited by UTC researchers, may push more displaced manufacturing workers toward healthcare, logistics or skilled trades retraining. Compensation teams benchmarking production and plant roles should expect continued softness in advertised pay growth for those functions."}, {"category": "Policy deadline", "body": "Tennessee's new ban on non-competes for employees earning under $70,000, effective July 1, now fully in force, intersects directly with several HR support roles \u2014 including HR Coordinator and Recruiter \u2014 whose advertised pay sits below that threshold. Organizations should confirm offer letters and handbooks for these roles reflect the updated restriction."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "City of Chattanooga's new 'One Chattanooga Works' initiative targets adults 25-54 for job placement and training, a potential new pipeline for entry- and mid-level roles. Track whether this program meaningfully expands the local candidate pool for hourly and frontline positions over the next two months."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 69033.0, "metro_p50": 91636.4, "metro_p75": 107349.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 100798.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 49920.0, "metro_p50": 76696.4, "metro_p75": 88651.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 83900.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 82189.5, "metro_p50": 110595.6, "metro_p75": 115015.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 118618.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 76822.75, "metro_p50": 90419.8, "metro_p75": 99148.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 95000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33138.0, "metro_p50": 44480.0, "metro_p75": 47368.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50460.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41600.0, "metro_p50": 53040.0, "metro_p75": 57500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 67234.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47048.75, "metro_p50": 52500.0, "metro_p75": 53365.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 61103.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "chattanooga-tn-ga-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "pdf": "chattanooga-tn-ga-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:19:50.794375+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/chattanooga-tn-ga-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/chattanooga-tn-ga-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}