{"schema_version": 1, "id": "champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 135, "label": "Champaign-Urbana, IL MSA", "slug": "champaign-urbana-il-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:37:57.681310+00:00", "headline": "Champaign-Urbana holds steady while Chicago and the nation cool.", "headline_summary": "Champaign-Urbana's 3.6% unemployment rate beat both the national 4.1% and Illinois' 4.7% in August, even as metro payrolls grew just 0.3% year over year \u2014 a tight-but-flat labor market insulated so far from Chicago's jump to 5.6% unemployment.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "3.6%", "context": "vs 4.7% Illinois, 4.1% national (Aug 2026)"}, {"label": "Metro payroll growth, YoY", "value": "+0.3%", "context": "+400 jobs through June 2026"}, {"label": "Chicago MSA unemployment", "value": "5.6%", "context": "up 1.1 pts YoY, contrasts with metro stability"}, {"label": "Illinois labor force", "value": "6.477M", "context": "down from 6.571M in March 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Low unemployment masks a labor market that isn't actually growing.", "body": "A 3.6% jobless rate looks like strength, but metro nonfarm payrolls grew only 0.3% year over year through June \u2014 consistent with a stable-but-static economy rather than one adding meaningful new capacity. For commerce leaders, this argues for caution in reading the headline rate alone as a growth signal."}, {"headline": "Champaign-Urbana is decoupling from Chicago's cooling trend.", "body": "While Chicago's unemployment rate rose 1.1 percentage points year over year to 5.6%, Champaign-Urbana improved over the same period \u2014 a divergence that may reflect the university and health-care anchor's insulation from the financial-services and information-sector contraction hitting the state's largest metro."}, {"headline": "Registered Nurse pay surge signals where real local demand concentrates.", "body": "Metro Registered Nurse advertised pay sits at $117,036, up significantly and well above the $102,581 national median \u2014 a sharper local premium than most other tracked roles show. That gap is consistent with sustained health-care sector demand locally, a pattern worth watching as a bellwether for broader services momentum."}, {"headline": "Statewide labor force contraction is a yellow flag for the region.", "body": "Illinois' labor force shrank from 6.571 million in March to 6.477 million in August, with Moody's attributing the falling jobless rate more to people leaving the workforce than to stronger hiring. If that dynamic reaches Champaign-Urbana, a low local unemployment rate could increasingly reflect fewer job-seekers rather than a tighter, more competitive economy."}], "local_conditions": "Champaign-Urbana's unemployment rate held at 3.6% in August, well below both the national 4.1% and Illinois' 4.7%, even as metro nonfarm employment grew just 0.3% year over year through June \u2014 a tight rate paired with near-flat job creation that points to a labor market anchored more by demographic stability than expansion. University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign and the surrounding education-and-health-services cluster continue to anchor the base, while statewide softness in financial activities and information industries has registered less locally than in Chicago or downstate peer metros.", "implications": "Economic development leaders weighing site-selection pitches or infrastructure investment can point to a sub-4% jobless rate and relative sector stability as evidence Champaign-Urbana is insulated from the volatility hitting Chicago (unemployment up 1.1 points to 5.6%) and national white-collar sectors like finance and information. Commerce leaders should treat the metro's flat payroll growth as a signal that near-term expansion will depend more on attracting new capital investment \u2014 as Illinois saw with EDGE-backed projects elsewhere in the state \u2014 than on organic local hiring momentum; current conditions suggest monitoring whether any announced state-level EDGE commitments or university-affiliated research investment materialize locally in coming months.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "September Illinois unemployment and payroll data (IDES release) will show whether Champaign-Urbana's August tightening holds or reverts toward the statewide 4.7% rate \u2014 a key read on whether local insulation from Chicago's slowdown is durable."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National nonfarm payrolls grew just 29,000 in September with July-August revised down a combined 60,000; any pull-through to downstate Illinois hiring, particularly in professional and business services, would be an early sign the metro's momentum is losing ground to national cooling."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Illinois WARN notices affecting over 16,700 workers year-to-date have concentrated in Chicago-area telecom and health-tech firms (Uber, T-Mobile, Norvax/GoHealth); watch whether any displaced talent migrates downstate or whether similar notices begin appearing in the Champaign-Urbana filing record."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Real wage growth nationally has turned negative (3.0% wage growth against 3.4% inflation), the weakest pairing since 2021. If that gap persists, local consumer spending capacity \u2014 a core input for retail and commercial investment decisions \u2014 may soften even where local employment stays stable."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30847.0, "metro_p50": 34299.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28910.0, "metro_p50": 32743.4, "metro_p75": 34320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33742.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57200.0, "metro_p50": 81008.0, "metro_p75": 91884.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30235.0, "metro_p50": 32865.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37440.0, "metro_p50": 45843.0, "metro_p75": 46321.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60003.0, "metro_p50": 71569.2, "metro_p75": 79944.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32395.0, "metro_p50": 38334.4, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24931.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 40507.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31418.0, "metro_p50": 37326.0, "metro_p75": 41932.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36400.0, "metro_p50": 44720.0, "metro_p75": 49920.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 44022.4, "metro_p75": 48880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56020.0, "metro_p50": 58431.0, "metro_p75": 61304.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95660.0, "metro_p50": 117036.0, "metro_p75": 124392.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 94749.0, "metro_p50": 170000.0, "metro_p75": 173630.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 87077.0, "metro_p50": 89194.8, "metro_p75": 102872.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59450.0, "metro_p50": 71813.0, "metro_p75": 83328.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 75491.0, "metro_p50": 98293.8, "metro_p75": 124446.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 66600.0, "metro_p75": 76749.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52713.0, "metro_p50": 58500.0, "metro_p75": 66000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 74505.5, "metro_p50": 98612.4, "metro_p75": 105250.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37436.0, "metro_p50": 56734.0, "metro_p75": 62376.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52500.0, "metro_p50": 67380.6, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 65000.0, "metro_p50": 87500.0, "metro_p75": 91350.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 81117.5, "metro_p50": 95388.0, "metro_p75": 99259.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 58370.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 69919.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42329.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 58000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 154545.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 61400.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 88539.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 73198.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 33280.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66763.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:49:13.153787+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/champaign-urbana-il-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}