{"schema_version": 1, "id": "canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 108, "label": "Canton-Massillon, OH MSA", "slug": "canton-massillon-oh-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:38:08.291469+00:00", "headline": "Canton's falling jobless rate hides a shrinking workforce.", "headline_summary": "Stark County unemployment eased to 4.80% from 5.20%, but the drop tracks Ohio's broader pattern of workers exiting the labor force rather than new hiring, with Canton-area employment down 0.5% through June.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Stark County unemployment rate", "value": "4.80%", "context": "Down from 5.20% in July; 4.20% a year earlier"}, {"label": "Canton-Massillon MSA unemployment", "value": "3.8%", "context": "July 2026 preliminary, vs. 4.1% national rate"}, {"label": "Canton employment change, H1 2026", "value": "-0.5%", "context": "Underperformed neighboring Akron metro"}, {"label": "Ohio labor force change", "value": "-95,000 YoY", "context": "10th-largest state decrease nationally"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Falling unemployment here masks a shrinking workforce, not strength.", "body": "Stark County's rate dropped a full point month over month, mirroring a statewide pattern where Ohio lost 95,000 workers from its labor force over the past year. A lower jobless rate driven by people leaving the workforce, rather than more people finding jobs, points to a tightening labor supply that complicates any expansion planning premised on local hiring capacity."}, {"headline": "Canton is lagging its own region, not just the nation.", "body": "Employment fell 0.5% through June 2026, a weaker showing than neighboring Akron, even as Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Dayton led Ohio's metro growth. Localized underperformance within a state already growing slower than the nation suggests metro-specific headwinds worth distinguishing from broader Ohio or national narratives in public commentary."}, {"headline": "White-collar pay in Canton is diverging sharply from national trends.", "body": "Advertised pay for accountants, financial analysts, and account managers is down locally while rising nationally, even as registered nurse and software engineer pay climb at or above national rates. Pay divergence concentrated in professional services, paired with strength in healthcare and technical occupations, is consistent with a local economy bifurcating along the same blue-collar/white-collar lines visible nationally."}, {"headline": "Manufacturing and logistics remain the metro's stabilizing force.", "body": "Manufacturing and healthcare are Stark County's two largest employment sectors, and both categories are holding or gaining ground in advertised pay even as Ohio's statewide job growth slowed to 2,200 in August. Continued strength here, even modest, offers the clearest counterpoint to softer white-collar and overall job-growth figures."}], "local_conditions": "Stark County's unemployment rate eased to 4.80% in August from 5.20% in July, but the Canton-Massillon MSA's civilian labor force and employment base remain narrower than a year ago, consistent with Ohio's statewide pattern of falling joblessness driven by workforce contraction rather than hiring strength. Canton-area employment fell 0.5% through the first half of 2026, underperforming Akron and other Ohio metros, even as manufacturing, healthcare, and logistics continue to anchor the local economic base.", "implications": "Declining local unemployment paired with a shrinking labor force is a signal to interpret cautiously: it does not reflect expanding business activity, and commerce leaders should treat it as a workforce-availability constraint rather than a sign of accelerating demand. Public-sector and healthcare stability offer a counterweight to softness in white-collar categories like accounting and financial analysis, where advertised pay is falling locally even as national figures rise. Current conditions suggest monitoring labor force participation trends alongside unemployment data before drawing conclusions about the strength of the local business climate.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Ohio's labor force shrank by 10,000 between July and August alone; watch whether Stark County's labor force shows a similar decline in the next data release, which would reinforce the participation story over the headline unemployment improvement."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "National WARN filings have surfaced at Amazon, Meta, and other large employers, while Ohio has logged 18 notices in 90 days concentrated in manufacturing. Given manufacturing's weight in Stark County's economy, any new statewide WARN activity in that sector warrants close tracking for local spillover."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has slipped to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest pace since 2021. If that national erosion in real purchasing power persists, expect softer local consumer-facing sectors such as retail and food service, where Canton's advertised pay is already flat or declining."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Data center and infrastructure investment is cited as a driver of Ohio's construction and manufacturing gains statewide. Commerce leaders should watch for any announced data center or industrial siting activity in Stark County that could extend this trend locally."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23469.0, "metro_p50": 28452.0, "metro_p75": 32550.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24209.0, "metro_p50": 27605.6, "metro_p75": 30160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 34334.0, "metro_p75": 38690.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57000.0, "metro_p50": 79792.0, "metro_p75": 93600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30205.0, "metro_p50": 40560.0, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31599.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59218.0, "metro_p50": 70122.4, "metro_p75": 73861.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31357.0, "metro_p50": 36901.0, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 36743.0, "metro_p75": 37960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27733.0, "metro_p50": 28587.0, "metro_p75": 28665.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32467.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 38642.0, "metro_p75": 44945.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56611.5, "metro_p50": 61520.0, "metro_p75": 81120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82076.0, "metro_p50": 102960.0, "metro_p75": 111080.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 105000.0, "metro_p50": 160536.8, "metro_p75": 170498.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 98957.0, "metro_p50": 133120.0, "metro_p75": 150800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56180.0, "metro_p50": 62500.0, "metro_p75": 65429.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62920.0, "metro_p50": 82277.2, "metro_p75": 88537.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52883.0, "metro_p50": 60000.0, "metro_p75": 67625.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 46453.0, "metro_p50": 56659.4, "metro_p75": 66112.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 70928.5, "metro_p50": 82546.4, "metro_p75": 92484.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30160.0, "metro_p50": 39489.0, "metro_p75": 45750.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 54317.0, "metro_p50": 72500.0, "metro_p75": 87500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 52327.0, "metro_p50": 67000.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 79340.0, "metro_p50": 96332.0, "metro_p75": 107719.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 56160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 51688.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 33451.5, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 56580.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 64022.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 49745.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 55000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 47840.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 31200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66075.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:49:04.985673+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/canton-massillon-oh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}