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Labor Market Pulse
Burlington-South Burlington, VT Metro Edition
Focus: FINANCE
2.3%
Chittenden County unemployment
vs 2.6% statewide, among tightest in U.S.
-1.8%
Chittenden County employment change
YoY through March 2026, 345th of 371 large counties
$107,568 vs $113,754
Controller advertised pay, metro vs national
Metro down significantly, national up moderately
$1,521
Average weekly wage, Chittenden County
Up 3.4% YoY, Q1 2026, ranks 121st nationally
This Month's Takeaways
Controller, Tax Specialist, and Credit Analyst advertised pay all declined locally even as national medians moved up, a divergence that is hard to justify given 2.3% county unemployment. Budget-driven pay suppression in a labor-scarce market is a retention risk, not a cost saving.
Nationally, 74% of finance and accounting leaders plan to add permanent headcount and the sector's Hiring Index hit 134%, yet metro advertised pay for core finance roles is flat-to-down. Local organizations may be underpricing roles relative to a national market now actively recruiting the same CPA and accounting talent pool.
FP&A Manager advertised pay sits at $136,754 locally versus $128,139 nationally, stable in both directions — a signal that planning and forecasting expertise is being protected even as transactional finance roles see cuts. Expect this premium to widen if close-cycle and audit-readiness demands increase headcount reliance on fewer, higher-skilled FP&A hires.
Chittenden County's housing shortage, with no meaningful supply relief expected before 2027-28, is compounding labor force decline rather than just suppressing population growth. Total rewards packages may need to account for relocation and housing-cost realities directly, not just base pay, to close candidate gaps.
Local Labor Conditions
Chittenden County unemployment held at an exceptionally tight 2.3% in September while the broader metro economy contracted, with county employment down 1.8% year-over-year through March — a combination driven by retirements, shrinking labor force participation, and a Vermont-wide housing shortage that is constraining worker inflows into the Burlington core. Financial activities nationally shed 7,000 jobs in September and have lost 129,000 since May 2025, a contraction pattern that appears consistent with Burlington's own advertised pay softening across Controller, Tax Specialist, and Credit Analyst roles even as talent scarcity persists.
Leadership & Talent Implications
Metro pay data showing declines in Controller ($107,568), Tax Specialist ($59,713), and Credit Analyst ($63,712) advertised rates against rising national medians suggests Burlington employers are either compressing finance budgets amid sector-wide headwinds or losing competitiveness in a labor pool too thin to notice — neither is a sustainable position given 2.3% unemployment. Headcount cost planning should account for the gap between local wage deceleration and the national F&A hiring surge (74% of finance leaders planning headcount increases, per recent industry surveys), since Burlington employers competing only against local comparables risk losing scarce accounting and analyst talent to remote-eligible roles paying national rates. Consider reviewing whether Controller and Tax Specialist postings are priced against outdated local comparables rather than the national labor market increasingly accessible to Vermont candidates.
Advertised Pay Indicators
| Role | P25 | Median | P75 | Local Trend | National | Nat. Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Controller | $88,985 | $107,568 | $128,750 | ↓ Significant decline | $113,754 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Senior Accountant | $77,111 | $85,020 | $92,625 | ↓ Moderate decline | $87,731 | → Stable |
| Financial Analyst | $72,500 | $83,357 | $92,500 | → Stable | $94,782 | → Stable |
| Billing Specialist | $46,646 | $53,666 | $63,314 | ↓ Moderate decline | $49,512 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Tax Specialist | $55,984 | $59,713 | $59,713 | ↓ Significant decline | $65,842 | ↑ Significant increase |
| Credit Analyst | $48,448 | $63,712 | $67,500 | ↓ Moderate decline | $71,758 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| FP&A Manager | $111,799 | $136,754 | $136,754 | → Stable | $128,139 | → Stable |
Some roles reflect state-level data where local metro sample size was insufficient.
Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days
Expected
UVM Health Network's WARN-related layoffs, already on file, will not be felt until October — watch whether released clinical and finance-adjacent administrative staff enter the Burlington candidate pool and soften pay pressure in support roles.
Emerging pressure point
Vermont's collective bargaining amendment goes to vote November 3 with 65% support in September polling; a change in bargaining structure could reshape labor cost exposure for public-sector-adjacent finance functions well before year-end budget cycles close.
Worth watching
National financial activities sector has now shed 129,000 jobs since May 2025, concentrated in insurance carriers; monitor whether this contraction begins pulling experienced finance talent into the tight Burlington market, a dynamic that could ease some role-specific scarcity by Q1.
Potential inflection point
Average hourly earnings growth nationally decelerated to 3.0% year-over-year in September, below forecast — if this moderation reaches Vermont's wage data, it may validate current metro pay softening rather than signal a local competitiveness problem.
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