{"schema_version": 1, "id": "bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 101, "label": "Bremerton-Silverdale, WA MSA", "slug": "bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:37:51.658053+00:00", "headline": "Kitsap's jobless rate beats the state, but one sector carries it.", "headline_summary": "Kitsap County's preliminary 3.5% July unemployment rate undercuts Washington's 4.9% and the national 4.1%, but a 22.9% federal employment share -- the highest of any Washington county -- means the metro's resilience rests heavily on shipyard and federal payroll stability rather than broad-based private growth.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Kitsap County unemployment", "value": "3.5%", "context": "vs 4.9% Washington, 4.1% national (July 2026)"}, {"label": "Federal employment share", "value": "22.9%", "context": "Highest of any WA county, ties to shipyard presence"}, {"label": "Kitsap monthly payroll change", "value": "-300 jobs", "context": "500 fewer govt jobs, 100 more retail (July 2026)"}, {"label": "Real wage growth, Washington", "value": "-0.5%", "context": "3.1% wage growth vs 3.5% inflation statewide"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Federal payroll concentration is Kitsap's quiet vulnerability.", "body": "No other Washington county comes close to Kitsap's 22.9% federal employment share, a legacy of the naval shipyard presence. That concentration currently cushions the metro from the statewide slowdown, but it also means local economic health is tied more tightly to federal budget and defense-spending decisions than to private consumer demand."}, {"headline": "Kitsap's jobless rate is outrunning the state and nation.", "body": "July's preliminary 3.5% county rate compares favorably with Washington's 4.9% and the national 4.1%, a gap wide enough to be notable rather than noise. Whether this reflects genuine local strength or a smaller, federally-anchored labor force reacting less to national headwinds is worth watching before drawing broad conclusions about business conditions."}, {"headline": "Goods-movement wages are rising faster than the broader basket.", "body": "Warehouse/fulfillment advertised pay in the metro ($45,178) and construction labor ($46,882) both show significant upward movement against flat-to-stable national trends in those categories. That divergence is consistent with localized building and logistics activity outpacing white-collar and retail segments, mirroring the national split between hands-on and desk-based sectors."}, {"headline": "A 500-job government payroll dip bears watching, not alarm.", "body": "July's single-month decline in Kitsap government employment is modest against the county's roughly 98,800-job base, but it arrives alongside Washington's own public-sector softness and a national trend of 216,000 government jobs shed over the past year. One month of data isn't a trend, but a second consecutive decline would be."}], "local_conditions": "Kitsap County's unemployment rate fell to a preliminary 3.5% in July, outperforming both the state's 4.9% and the national 4.1% rate, even as total county payrolls slipped by 300 jobs on a 500-job government pullback partially offset by retail gains. Federal employment remains the defining structural feature of the local economy -- 22.9% of Kitsap's labor force works for the federal government, the highest share of any Washington county, anchoring the metro against the statewide hiring slowdown that cost Washington roughly 14,500 jobs in September.", "implications": "Bremerton's low headline unemployment masks a local economy still heavily dependent on a single structural pillar -- federal civilian and defense-related employment tied to Puget Sound Naval Shipyard -- which insulates the metro from Washington's broader private-sector cooling but also concentrates risk if federal budget or staffing decisions shift. Advertised wage gains in warehouse/fulfillment (+significant) and construction labor (+significant) point to localized demand in goods-movement and building trades even as statewide retail and information-sector employment contract, suggesting the metro's momentum is narrower and more sector-specific than the unemployment rate alone implies. Commerce leaders and economic development officials should consider tracking federal employment and shipyard-contract signals as a leading indicator for the broader local economy, given how disproportionately that single sector shapes Kitsap's labor force health.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Structural dependency", "body": "Federal budget negotiations and any shift in Navy or shipyard contracting activity carry outsized weight for Kitsap given its 22.9% federal employment share. Local economic development officials should monitor federal appropriations news as closely as any local indicator."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Kitsap's county-level government job losses (down 500 in July) extend into August and September figures, particularly against the backdrop of Washington's broader public-sector contraction and national government payroll declines."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Statewide WARN filings were heaviest in September, led in part by retail, manufacturing, and casino-sector notices; local chambers should track whether any regional employers in those categories file notices affecting Kitsap or neighboring counties."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Real wage growth is running negative statewide (3.1% wage growth against 3.5% inflation) and nationally (3.0% against 3.4%). If that gap persists into Q4, consumer spending at Bremerton-area retail and hospitality businesses may soften even where local employment holds steady."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35630.0, "metro_p50": 38795.0, "metro_p75": 46488.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35630.0, "metro_p50": 38615.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36479.5, "metro_p50": 45178.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61424.0, "metro_p50": 74235.0, "metro_p75": 83135.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35630.0, "metro_p50": 38997.0, "metro_p75": 52884.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42177.5, "metro_p50": 46882.0, "metro_p75": 51740.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65753.0, "metro_p50": 85098.4, "metro_p75": 98550.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38396.0, "metro_p50": 41808.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39520.0, "metro_p50": 41615.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41407.5, "metro_p50": 53664.0, "metro_p75": 53664.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41706.0, "metro_p50": 50368.0, "metro_p75": 52000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 38480.0, "metro_p50": 49897.2, "metro_p75": 54048.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63925.0, "metro_p50": 75777.0, "metro_p75": 81120.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 97881.0, "metro_p50": 117102.0, "metro_p75": 126744.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 95800.0, "metro_p50": 119099.0, "metro_p75": 120706.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99963.0, "metro_p50": 119187.2, "metro_p75": 129721.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62629.0, "metro_p50": 92532.8, "metro_p75": 105524.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 86500.0, "metro_p50": 105524.0, "metro_p75": 105524.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57834.0, "metro_p50": 64234.6, "metro_p75": 71361.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45742.0, "metro_p50": 62389.2, "metro_p75": 74241.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 79388.5, "metro_p50": 100489.0, "metro_p75": 105250.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41600.0, "metro_p50": 60084.0, "metro_p75": 71899.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40905.0, "metro_p50": 79423.0, "metro_p75": 82330.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 51506.0, "metro_p50": 75000.0, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 84257.0, "metro_p50": 102200.0, "metro_p75": 112400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 62400.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 93122.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 42290.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 55025.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 43372.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 55380.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 82826.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 70914.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 37440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 79713.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:48:53.378137+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/bremerton-silverdale-wa-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}