{"schema_version": 1, "id": "boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 74, "label": "Boston-Cambridge-Quincy, MA-NH MSA", "slug": "boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:29:44.782995+00:00", "headline": "Boston's steady jobless rate hides a shrinking labor pool.", "headline_summary": "Massachusetts unemployment held at 4.3% in September, but the state's labor force has contracted by about 81,000 people since March 2025, even as New England posted the nation's weakest regional wage growth at 2.3%.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "MA labor force change since peak", "value": "-81,000", "context": "Since March 2025 peak, per BLS/Pioneer Institute"}, {"label": "Boston metro unemployment", "value": "4.1%", "context": "August 2026, matches national rate of 4.1%"}, {"label": "New England real wage change", "value": "-1.9%", "context": "Slowest nominal wage growth of 9 census divisions"}, {"label": "MA labor force participation", "value": "65.4%", "context": "3.6 points above national rate, Sept. 2026"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Stable unemployment is masking a shrinking labor force.", "body": "Massachusetts has lost about 81,000 people from its labor force since March 2025, even as the unemployment rate improved to 4.3%. That combination points to workers exiting the labor force, a distinction economic development officials should factor into any growth-dependent tax incentive modeling."}, {"headline": "Real wages are falling fastest in New England of any region.", "body": "Nominal wage growth of 2.3% against elevated inflation translated into a 1.9% real wage decline in New England through Q2 2026, per the Boston Fed. Consumer-facing advertised pay softness, including a measurable pullback for Food Service Worker roles (job ads, a signal of hiring demand, with one ad often covering several openings), is consistent with household spending power under pressure across the metro."}, {"headline": "Skilled trades and healthcare pay are diverging from the broader slowdown.", "body": "Electrician ($84,905) and HVAC Technician ($82,000) advertised pay both moved up at a moderate pace locally, alongside Registered Nurse ($115,770, up moderately) \u2014 all outpacing the metro's broader wage stagnation. This suggests sector-specific tightness tied to construction activity and healthcare demand distinct from the broader labor market pattern."}, {"headline": "Massachusetts trails the nation on private employment growth despite incentive activity.", "body": "The Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation ranks the state bottom-five nationally on private employment growth and cost-of-living even as the state approved $11.5M in tax credits for 674 projected jobs in October. Commerce leaders should watch whether these targeted investments translate into measurable payroll growth or remain concentrated in a handful of projects."}], "local_conditions": "Boston-Cambridge-Newton unemployment sat at 4.1% in August against a national rate of 4.1%, but the headline stability obscures a state labor force that has contracted by roughly 81,000 people since peaking in March 2025 \u2014 a structural supply story. New England wages grew just 2.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, the slowest of any census division, while Massachusetts inflation-adjusted earnings fell, a divergence that is beginning to show up in softer consumer-facing advertised pay such as Food Service Worker (down, moderate) even as skilled trades and healthcare roles post solid gains.", "implications": "Labor force contraction alongside stable unemployment signals a tightening supply pool with demand holding steady, a distinction that matters for commerce leaders weighing local expansion versus relocation and for economic development officials assessing whether incentive packages (such as the EACC's recent $11.5M in credits tied to 674 projected jobs) will find enough workers locally to execute. Wage softness in consumer-facing sectors alongside real wage erosion statewide points to constrained household purchasing power that could dampen retail and services activity even as professional and technical wages hold firm. Current conditions suggest commerce leaders evaluate expansion plans against local labor force trends by occupation, alongside headline unemployment, before assuming workforce availability will match ambition.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "BLS will publish October metro-level unemployment and payroll data around November 18-20, the first read on whether September's labor force rebound (8,400 more state residents in the labor force) extended into fall. Commerce leaders should treat September's gain as preliminary until confirmed."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Massachusetts WARN filings tied to healthcare (Community Healthlink, 639 workers; Blueprint Medicines, 229 workers) continued into October. Watch whether released biotech and behavioral health talent shows up as increased advertised labor supply in the Boston area over the next two months."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Education and health services remain New England's top employment driver while manufacturing added 10,500 regional jobs \u2014 a pairing worth tracking locally given Massachusetts's traditional reliance on life sciences and healthcare employment concentration."}, {"category": "Policy signal", "body": "Federal labor force growth continues to slow amid immigration policy changes and baby boom retirements, a structural dynamic layered on top of Massachusetts's own labor force contraction. Government economists should monitor whether state-level participation gains (65.4%, still 3.6 points above the national rate) are resilient enough to offset both pressures."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31720.0, "metro_p50": 36400.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 35880.0, "metro_p75": 37960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55018.0, "metro_p50": 72800.0, "metro_p75": 82753.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34432.0, "metro_p50": 37098.0, "metro_p75": 43375.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 39520.0, "metro_p50": 47840.0, "metro_p75": 50960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63765.25, "metro_p50": 84905.0, "metro_p75": 93600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 37232.0, "metro_p50": 43680.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36400.0, "metro_p50": 44324.0, "metro_p75": 49715.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33166.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 40560.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40560.0, "metro_p50": 44720.0, "metro_p75": 46800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40560.0, "metro_p50": 50960.0, "metro_p75": 56982.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68988.0, "metro_p50": 82000.0, "metro_p75": 87500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 96221.0, "metro_p50": 115770.0, "metro_p75": 127764.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 122500.0, "metro_p50": 156938.0, "metro_p75": 173879.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99469.75, "metro_p50": 143026.2, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63440.0, "metro_p50": 78826.0, "metro_p75": 87507.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78294.0, "metro_p50": 100204.0, "metro_p75": 108918.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62192.0, "metro_p50": 77500.0, "metro_p75": 85000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 51525.5, "metro_p50": 70656.0, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 77500.0, "metro_p50": 93181.0, "metro_p75": 130500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44720.0, "metro_p50": 64620.0, "metro_p75": 73217.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68193.75, "metro_p50": 97500.0, "metro_p75": 116281.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43753.0, "metro_p50": 76246.6, "metro_p75": 79006.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 84397.0, "metro_p50": 103362.0, "metro_p75": 115675.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 83200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 117500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 43680.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47840.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 135102.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 100813.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 92608.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "stable", "postings_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 69106.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 40560.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 71883.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:19:02.418229+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/boston-cambridge-quincy-ma-nh-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}