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Labor Market Pulse
Billings, MT Metro Edition
Focus: IT
2.9%
Billings MSA unemployment
vs 4.1% national, 3.2% Montana statewide
4.2% YoY
Yellowstone County wage growth
Weekly wage $1,285, Q1 2026, outpaces national 3.2%
4 notices / 173 workers
Montana WARN activity
Through Sept 2026, minimal spillover vs national layoffs
Down (2025)
Montana annual employment change
First annual decline since 2020
This Month's Takeaways
Systems Administrator advertised pay rose significantly to a metro median of $81,938, even as Network Engineer pay dropped significantly to $90,854. This split is consistent with national signals that traditional network admin roles face demand compression while adjacent infrastructure roles tied to cloud and systems management hold value.
Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay climbed significantly to $104,064 locally, tracking national momentum (CompTIA reports cybersecurity job growth 346% above average). With Montana unemployment near historic lows, this role is becoming the clearest case for permanent investment over outsourcing.
Help Desk/IT Support advertised pay fell moderately to $46,528, well below the stable national figure of $53,644. National reporting ties lower-level IT role erosion to AI adoption absorbing routine support work — local employers may be testing whether support headcount can be reduced rather than repriced.
IT Project Manager pay rose significantly to $116,337, nearly matching the Data Scientist figure and exceeding most other local IT roles. Rising demand for this role amid softening state employment may signal organizations prioritizing delivery oversight over expanding build capacity.
Local Labor Conditions
Billings MSA unemployment held at 2.9% in August against a 4.1% national rate, underscoring a labor pool that remains structurally thin even as statewide employment edged down for the first time since 2020. Yellowstone County average weekly wages rose 4.2% year-over-year to $1,285, a pace that continues to outstrip national wage growth of 3.2% and signals wage pressure persists despite softer overall job creation.
Leadership & Talent Implications
Tight local labor supply combined with diverging role-level pay movements — Systems Administrator and Cybersecurity Analyst advertised pay both up significantly while Network Engineer and Help Desk pay compressed — suggests the metro market is actively repricing which IT functions carry strategic value versus which are commoditizing. This divergence strengthens the case for shifting commodity infrastructure and support work to contract or managed-service arrangements while reserving permanent headcount investment for cloud, security, and administration roles where local competition for talent is intensifying. Consider reviewing whether current infrastructure staffing mixes still match this repricing, particularly where Network Engineer roles may be over-resourced relative to shrinking local demand.
Advertised Pay Indicators
| Role | P25 | Median | P75 | Local Trend | National | Nat. Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Scientist | $86,135 | $113,895 | $116,594 | ↓ Moderate decline | $148,250 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Systems Administrator | $66,943 | $81,938 | $97,500 | ↑ Significant increase | $101,168 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Network Engineer | $80,516 | $90,854 | $91,626 | ↓ Significant decline | $114,400 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| Software Engineer | $84,872 | $141,347 | $164,665 | → Stable | $153,652 | → Stable |
| Help Desk/IT Support Specialist | $41,600 | $46,528 | $54,066 | ↓ Moderate decline | $53,644 | → Stable |
| Cybersecurity Analyst | $85,000 | $104,064 | $131,934 | ↑ Significant increase | $106,790 | ↑ Moderate increase |
| IT Project Manager | $106,066 | $116,337 | $119,400 | ↑ Significant increase | $117,530 | ↑ Moderate increase |
Looking Ahead · Next 30–60 Days
Worth watching
Montana's first annual employment decline since 2020 may ease hiring competition into Q4, particularly for infrastructure roles already seeing pay compression. Watch whether Network Engineer and Help Desk advertised pay stabilizes or continues falling as a signal of true demand softening versus temporary budget caution.
Emerging pressure point
National WARN filings from Amazon, Meta, Verizon, and Oracle have not yet produced meaningful Montana spillover (only 4 state WARN notices, 173 workers, through September). A larger regional tech layoff wave could unexpectedly deepen the local cybersecurity and cloud talent pool.
Potential inflection point
Cybersecurity and Systems Administrator pay gains locally outpace national moderate growth, suggesting Billings employers are bidding aggressively for a thin specialist pool. Sustained divergence from national trend lines over the next two cycles would support building retention premiums into 2027 budget planning now rather than reactively.
Early indicator
Montana's apprenticeship pipeline is training workers across 65 high-demand occupations including computer programmers, but output remains limited relative to demand. Track whether this pipeline meaningfully affects entry-level IT advertised pay before committing to build-over-buy strategies for junior technical roles.
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