{"schema_version": 1, "id": "billings-mt-msa/human-resources/2026-10", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 128, "label": "Billings, MT MSA", "slug": "billings-mt-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "human_resources", "slug": "human-resources", "label": "Human Resources"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T02:05:57.848520+00:00", "headline": "Billings pay diverges sharply by role as hiring stays frozen.", "headline_summary": "Yellowstone County unemployment sits at 3.1% against a national 4.2%, yet advertised pay for Recruiters fell significantly even as Benefits Manager pay climbed with moderate momentum.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Yellowstone County unemployment", "value": "3.1%", "context": "vs. 4.2% national, 3.1% Montana statewide"}, {"label": "Yellowstone average weekly wage", "value": "$1,355", "context": "up 3.3% YoY, vs. $1,569 national (+4.2%)"}, {"label": "Yellowstone 2025 job growth", "value": "0.8%", "context": "one of four MT urban counties to post gains"}, {"label": "Montana minimum wage (Jan 2027)", "value": "$11.20", "context": "up from $10.85, second straight annual rise"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Recruiter pay is falling even as the talent market stays tight.", "body": "Metro Recruiter advertised pay dropped significantly while national Recruiter pay held flat, a divergence consistent with Billings employers scaling back recruiting investment during a low-hire period, with demand for recruiting skill holding steady underneath. Expect this to reverse quickly once hiring volume picks up, creating a compensation benchmarking gap for anyone recruiting recruiters later."}, {"headline": "Benefits Manager pay signals a shift toward plan management expertise.", "body": "Metro Benefits Manager advertised pay rose with moderate momentum, tracking the national pattern and aligning with rising benefit cost pressures flagged in IRS limit adjustments this month. Billings employers appear to be paying up for expertise to manage cost-shifting and plan design, with headcount expansion staying limited."}, {"headline": "HR Coordinator pay collapse may reflect role consolidation alongside steady demand.", "body": "Metro HR Coordinator pay fell significantly while the national figure rose moderately \u2014 an unusual local divergence that may suggest Billings employers are folding coordinator duties into broader HR generalist roles while keeping the function itself intact. Worth confirming before assuming this role is losing strategic value locally."}, {"headline": "Wage growth outpacing job growth tightens the retention math.", "body": "Yellowstone wages rose 3.3% year-over-year while employment grew just 0.8% in 2025, meaning existing staff are gaining leverage even as new hiring stays scarce. Current conditions suggest retention investment will outperform recruiting investment on a cost basis through year-end."}], "local_conditions": "Yellowstone County's 3.1% unemployment rate reflects a labor market tight on paper but effectively frozen, with hiring activity dampened by the same caution seen statewide since late 2024, while average weekly wages rose 3.3% year-over-year to $1,355 in Q4 2025 \u2014 still roughly $214 below the national weekly average of $1,569. Healthcare and tech continue to pull Montana's employment gains, while Yellowstone's broader job growth stayed near flat at 0.8% in 2025, suggesting Billings employers are competing for talent from a shallow, slow-moving pool.", "implications": "Advertised pay movements in Billings diverge sharply by function \u2014 Benefits Manager pay climbing with moderate momentum while Recruiter and HR Coordinator pay have fallen significantly, a pattern consistent with employers investing in roles tied to cost control and compliance while deprioritizing recruiting capacity amid depressed hiring volume. With statewide wage growth outpacing employment growth, retention economics now favor targeted pay adjustments over broad-based hiring investment. Consider reviewing compensation for roles tied to benefits administration and compliance, where demand signals look structural, before assuming recruiting headcount needs restoration.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "BLS metro-level unemployment data for Billings has lagged through October; the next Montana statewide release lands November 20 and should clarify whether Yellowstone County's 3.1% rate held or tightened further."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Montana's minimum wage rises to $11.20 on January 1, 2027, up from $10.85 \u2014 a second consecutive annual increase that will compress entry-level wage scales across retail, hospitality and frontline healthcare support roles in Billings."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Montana's childcare access gap, cited as a recruiting and retention barrier by 40% of businesses statewide, has no Billings-specific resolution signal yet; employers expanding benefits packages may want to track whether subsidy or partnership programs reach the metro."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National hiring remains low-hire, low-fire with mid-market firms lagging large and small employers in hiring speed; watch whether Billings' predominantly mid-market employer base continues losing ground on time-to-fill against larger regional competitors."}], "roles": [{"role": "Compensation Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 71049.5, "metro_p50": 105923.2, "metro_p75": 118326.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 100798.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Business Partner", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 44114.0, "metro_p50": 66748.2, "metro_p75": 78612.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 83900.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Benefits Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 79636.0, "metro_p50": 116048.0, "metro_p75": 122900.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 118618.2, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HRIS Analyst", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 81198.0, "metro_p50": 97578.0, "metro_p75": 112931.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 95000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Coordinator", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 32260.4, "metro_p75": 40359.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 50460.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Recruiter", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 67873.6, "metro_p75": 71213.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 67234.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Payroll Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47909.75, "metro_p50": 60320.0, "metro_p75": 60320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 61103.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [{"source_name": "USA Facts / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Yellowstone County unemployment rate of 3.1% in August 2026"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Yellowstone average weekly wage rose 3.3% to $1,355 in Q4 2025"}, {"source_name": "Missoula Current / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Yellowstone County job growth of 0.8% in 2025"}, {"source_name": "Montana Department of Labor and Industry", "source_url": null, "statement": "Montana minimum wage rising to $11.20 effective January 1, 2027"}, {"source_name": "Montana workforce research findings", "source_url": null, "statement": "40% of Montana businesses report childcare-related hiring difficulty"}, {"source_name": "Internal Revenue Service", "source_url": null, "statement": "IRS dependent care benefit exclusion corrected to $7,500"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "billings-mt-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "pdf": "billings-mt-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:18:42.985210+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/billings-mt-msa/human-resources/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/billings-mt-msa/human-resources/2026-10.pdf"}