{"schema_version": 1, "id": "battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 112, "label": "Battle Creek, MI MSA", "slug": "battle-creek-mi-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:24:07.066914+00:00", "headline": "Battle Creek unemployment falls as pay splits along sector lines.", "headline_summary": "Calhoun County's jobless rate dropped to 4.6% in September, below Michigan's 5.0%, while warehouse pay rose to $38,916 and administrative pay fell, pointing to a labor market improving unevenly across sectors.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Calhoun County unemployment rate", "value": "4.6%", "context": "Down from 5.3% in August; below Michigan's 5.0%"}, {"label": "Michigan labor force participation", "value": "58.5%", "context": "State labor force down 158,000 over past year"}, {"label": "Warehouse/fulfillment pay, metro", "value": "$38,916", "context": "Up significantly; above $38,480 national median"}, {"label": "National wage growth vs. CPI", "value": "1.5% vs 3.5%", "context": "Q3 2026 earnings growth trails inflation, BLS"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Battle Creek's jobless rate outperforms the state for a reason worth checking.", "body": "Calhoun County's 4.6% unemployment rate, down from 5.3% in August, now sits meaningfully below Michigan's 5.0%, a reversal of the pattern seen in most Michigan metros this year. The improvement tracks with seasonal school-year hiring per state labor officials, a pattern worth distinguishing from durable economic gains when briefing press or boards."}, {"headline": "Warehouse and food-service pay are climbing against a flat national backdrop.", "body": "Metro warehouse/fulfillment pay reached $38,916, above the $38,480 national median, and food service pay hit $37,960 against a national median of $33,764 \u2014 both tagged as significant local gains. That combination points to logistics and consumer-facing demand strength specific to this metro, a local trend commerce leaders should confirm before assuming it applies elsewhere."}, {"headline": "Office-based and analytical pay is softening even as unemployment falls.", "body": "Local pay for administrative assistants, customer service representatives, financial analysts, and business analysts all declined this month, several by significant margins, while national medians for the same roles held flat or rose. Falling unemployment paired with declining white-collar pay suggests the local labor market's improvement is concentrated outside office and professional-services work, consistent with the services softness showing up in state-level data."}, {"headline": "Michigan's labor force contraction complicates the state unemployment comparison.", "body": "Michigan's labor force shrank 158,000 over the past year with participation down to 58.5%, meaning the state's stable headline rate partly reflects fewer people counted as job-seekers alongside limited job growth. Battle Creek's improvement looks more favorable by comparison, but local leaders should confirm whether labor force participation is holding locally before treating the gap as a sign of outright local outperformance."}], "local_conditions": "Calhoun County's unemployment rate fell to 4.6% in September, down 0.7 points from August and now running below both the state's 5.0% rate and the prior year's level, a decline Michigan's Department of Technology, Management and Budget attributes largely to seasonal hiring as schools resumed across the region. Local wage movement diverges sharply by sector: warehouse/fulfillment pay rose to a metro median of $38,916 and food service pay climbed to $37,960, both outpacing flat national figures, while administrative, customer service, and financial-analyst pay all declined locally even as national medians for those same roles held steady or rose.", "implications": "Falling unemployment paired with uneven wage movement across job categories points to a labor market tightening in specific pockets \u2014 logistics, food service, nursing \u2014 while white-collar and clerical segments show local softening that mirrors the state's broader services contraction. For commerce leaders evaluating expansion or investment timing, the metro's sub-state unemployment rate and rising pay in warehousing and healthcare suggest real demand in those sectors, while declining pay in administrative, financial-analyst, and business-analyst roles locally may reflect thinner office-based activity than statewide averages imply. Current conditions suggest tracking sector-level pay divergence alongside the headline unemployment number when assessing which parts of the local business base are expanding.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "October's final Battle Creek unemployment figures, due from Michigan DTMB in late November, will show whether the September decline reflects a durable seasonal-hiring pattern or a one-month statistical swing. Press and economic development officials citing the 4.6% figure should flag it as provisional until confirmed."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Statewide services and professional/business-services employment contracted in the third quarter, and local pay declines in administrative, financial-analyst, and business-analyst roles are consistent with that trend reaching Battle Creek. Commerce leaders should watch whether this softness stays contained to office-based roles or spreads to broader local spending."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "National CPI continues to outpace wage growth (3.5-3.7% inflation against 1.5-2.4% earnings growth depending on measure), a gap that erodes household purchasing power even where local pay is rising. Retailers and service businesses in the metro may see this show up in consumer spending patterns before it appears in any employment statistic."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Manufacturing remains one of Battle Creek's strongest sectors locally even as Michigan's 10-year outlook projects the sector shedding jobs statewide. Local economic development officials should monitor whether the metro's manufacturing base diverges from the state trend or begins tracking it over the next two quarters."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 23972.0, "metro_p50": 28259.0, "metro_p75": 30160.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 24960.0, "metro_p50": 29120.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31464.0, "metro_p50": 38916.0, "metro_p75": 41974.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59170.0, "metro_p50": 81208.0, "metro_p75": 92500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29211.0, "metro_p50": 31893.8, "metro_p75": 35634.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32240.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 78404.0, "metro_p50": 80080.0, "metro_p75": 80712.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33280.0, "metro_p50": 36920.0, "metro_p75": 37648.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30490.0, "metro_p50": 37186.0, "metro_p75": 40997.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37960.0, "metro_p75": 42786.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 32221.0, "metro_p50": 37670.0, "metro_p75": 44682.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34472.0, "metro_p50": 38944.0, "metro_p75": 40813.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60042.0, "metro_p50": 62400.0, "metro_p75": 64480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 87893.0, "metro_p50": 106083.4, "metro_p75": 111306.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 108751.5, "metro_p50": 152056.0, "metro_p75": 165025.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 115650.0, "metro_p50": 136328.0, "metro_p75": 136328.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63500.0, "metro_p50": 80971.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 66409.0, "metro_p50": 66803.4, "metro_p75": 68876.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61734.0, "metro_p50": 70070.0, "metro_p75": 75000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43369.0, "metro_p50": 58020.0, "metro_p75": 69000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 75349.0, "metro_p75": 92183.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 41600.0, "metro_p50": 60995.0, "metro_p75": 68020.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60000.0, "metro_p50": 62500.0, "metro_p75": 67500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43753.0, "metro_p50": 65000.0, "metro_p75": 65000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74678.0, "metro_p50": 103824.4, "metro_p75": 107888.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 55120.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 86064.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 34798.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 52000.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 50485.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 45084.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 48902.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 73375.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 30269.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 66135.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:18:33.225920+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/battle-creek-mi-msa/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}