{"schema_version": 1, "id": "baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 58, "label": "Baton Rouge, LA MSA", "slug": "baton-rouge-la-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:37:48.284395+00:00", "headline": "Baton Rouge keeps growing as national hiring cools.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment held at 4.2% with claims down 42.7% year-over-year, even as the U.S. added just 29,000 jobs in September and real wages nationally fell behind 3.4% inflation.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.2%", "context": "Unchanged month-over-month, down 0.1pt year-over-year"}, {"label": "Unemployment claims change", "value": "-42.7%", "context": "Year-over-year decline in Baton Rouge claims"}, {"label": "Louisiana wage growth", "value": "6%+", "context": "vs 3.4% national inflation, 3.0% national wage growth"}, {"label": "National September payrolls", "value": "+29,000", "context": "Well below 45k 12-month average, with -60k revisions"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Baton Rouge is outperforming both state and national momentum.", "body": "Metro unemployment at 4.2% with record nonfarm payrolls and a 42.7% drop in claims contrasts with a national September payroll gain of just 29,000 and downward revisions elsewhere. This divergence supports a locally-specific growth narrative rather than one borrowed from national headlines."}, {"headline": "Wage gains here are tracking inflation better than the national picture.", "body": "National wage growth has fallen to 3.0%, trailing 3.4% inflation, while Louisiana wages are up over 6% year-over-year and metro weekly earnings lead the state at $1,254.86. Local purchasing power appears more resilient than the national trend would suggest, a relevant data point for any commentary on consumer spending capacity."}, {"headline": "Labor force participation remains the binding constraint on growth.", "body": "Louisiana's 58.4% participation rate ranks 43rd nationally even as mega-projects \u2014 data centers, LNG facilities, the Hyundai steel mill, SpaceX's Vermilion Parish complex \u2014 promise roughly 90,000 jobs regionally. Capacity to staff this pipeline, not demand for it, looks like the real variable economic development leaders should track."}, {"headline": "Public-sector and healthcare signals diverge from the national pattern.", "body": "Nationally, government employment has shrunk by 216,000 over the past year and financial activities are down 129,000 from peak, but Louisiana's growth has been broad enough to rank the state first in the nation for 12-month payroll percentage gains. Local public-sector stability, paired with Registered Nurse pay up moderately in the metro, suggests the region's institutional employers are not mirroring national contraction."}], "local_conditions": "Baton Rouge metro unemployment held at 4.2% in September, with nonfarm employment having set an all-time high of 438,200 jobs earlier this year and unemployment claims down 42.7% year-over-year, pointing to a labor market still absorbing workers rather than shedding them. Regional wage growth continues to outpace both state and national trends, with metro weekly earnings leading all Louisiana metros, even as statewide labor force participation lags at 58.4%, a structural constraint on how far current momentum can scale.", "implications": "Baton Rouge's combination of record employment, falling claims, and above-state wage growth is consistent with a business climate still expanding, not cooling, which differentiates the metro from the softer national payroll picture reported for September. Persistent labor force participation gaps statewide suggest the ceiling on expansion may be supply-side rather than demand-side, a distinction that matters for how commerce leaders and economic development bodies message growth capacity to prospective employers and investors. Local economic development organizations may want to evaluate workforce participation programs alongside mega-project recruitment efforts, since project pipelines (data centers, LNG, Hyundai steel) could outpace the available local labor pool.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Mega-project construction (Hyundai steel mill, LNG terminals, data centers) is set to accelerate hiring demand across construction and skilled trades over the next two months. Watch whether in-migration or training pipelines close Louisiana's participation gap enough to staff these projects at pace."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "BLS September state and metro unemployment data releases October 20 will confirm whether Baton Rouge's 4.2% rate holds against a softening national backdrop. A divergence from the national 4.2% rate holding locally while national payroll growth slows would reinforce a distinct regional story."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Louisiana WARN filings remain low (16 notices, 1,950 workers statewide through September) with no Baton Rouge-specific layoff events identified this month. Continued absence of local WARN activity would support the metro's outlier status relative to national layoff trackers showing over 313,000 affected workers nationally."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Wage growth concentrated in skilled trades and healthcare (Electrician, HVAC Technician, Registered Nurse all trending up locally) contrasts with declines in warehouse, logistics, and administrative pay. Commerce leaders should monitor whether this bifurcation narrows the base of workers benefiting from the region's growth story."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22285.0, "metro_p50": 29139.8, "metro_p75": 34195.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 22035.0, "metro_p50": 23920.0, "metro_p75": 26003.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29570.0, "metro_p50": 34195.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50863.0, "metro_p50": 70980.0, "metro_p75": 82509.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25748.0, "metro_p50": 30437.0, "metro_p75": 35480.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31466.75, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 38411.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53589.0, "metro_p50": 66156.6, "metro_p75": 72667.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30720.0, "metro_p50": 36011.0, "metro_p75": 39364.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33361.0, "metro_p50": 38886.0, "metro_p75": 41281.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25748.0, "metro_p50": 27369.0, "metro_p75": 29640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28187.0, "metro_p50": 31513.6, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31096.75, "metro_p50": 40558.8, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52500.5, "metro_p50": 65478.0, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 79474.25, "metro_p50": 91208.0, "metro_p75": 99293.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 119395.0, "metro_p50": 153652.0, "metro_p75": 170018.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99248.0, "metro_p50": 145000.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58925.0, "metro_p50": 70802.4, "metro_p75": 78883.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73834.5, "metro_p50": 97813.0, "metro_p75": 105025.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52500.0, "metro_p50": 79897.8, "metro_p75": 85341.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43369.0, "metro_p50": 58291.0, "metro_p75": 70677.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 68658.5, "metro_p50": 88000.0, "metro_p75": 89035.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47000.0, "metro_p50": 60757.0, "metro_p75": 64861.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 62500.0, "metro_p50": 94517.8, "metro_p75": 116350.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 51506.0, "metro_p75": 59133.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80415.0, "metro_p50": 96594.4, "metro_p75": 110000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 85132.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 109719.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 48880.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 62200.5, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 131444.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 109700.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 86742.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 67828.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 30868.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 64926.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:48:29.338788+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/baton-rouge-la-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}