{"schema_version": 1, "id": "anniston-oxford-al-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08", "product": "Labor Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 95, "label": "Anniston-Oxford, AL MSA", "slug": "anniston-oxford-al-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "restaurant_industry", "slug": "restaurant-industry", "label": "Restaurant Industry"}, "period": "2026-08", "public_after": "2026-08-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T16:27:43.187441+00:00", "headline": "Anniston labor pool shrinks as manager pay climbs, entry pay slips.", "headline_summary": "Anniston-Oxford's labor force fell to 49,202 even as unemployment eased to 4.0%, while metro Restaurant Manager pay rose to $57,511 and Server pay slid to $25,767.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.0%", "context": "vs 4.2% July, 3.3% a year ago"}, {"label": "Metro labor force", "value": "49,202", "context": "Down from 50,001 a year earlier"}, {"label": "Alabama tipped minimum wage", "value": "$2.13/hr", "context": "No scheduled increase; federal floor applies"}, {"label": "National restaurant payroll growth", "value": "+59,200 jobs", "context": "Largest monthly gain since January 2023"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Supervisory pay is rising while entry-level pay retreats.", "body": "Metro Restaurant Manager/GM pay rose to a $57,511 median and Shift Manager pay jumped to $29,977, while Server ($25,767) and Crew ($22,770) medians declined. Operators appear to be concentrating retention spend on the roles hardest to backfill, leaving entry-level wage competitiveness exposed in a labor force that has shrunk by roughly 1,800 workers year-over-year."}, {"headline": "A shrinking labor force doesn't mean easier hiring.", "body": "Metro unemployment eased month-over-month to 4.0%, but the civilian labor force is smaller than a year ago, meaning fewer available workers overall. Treating the modest monthly improvement as a hiring tailwind risks overlooking the tighter structural supply underneath."}, {"headline": "Tipped-wage exposure remains a fixed cost, not a market signal.", "body": "Alabama's $2.13 tipped minimum and lack of scheduled increases mean FOH labor cost swings are driven by tip volume and traffic, not local policy \u2014 but with 7 states now barring tip credit entirely and Florida hitting $15 minimum wage September 30, multi-state operators should expect growing pay disparity to complicate regional compensation benchmarking."}, {"headline": "Line Cook pay is falling further behind national levels.", "body": "Metro Line Cook median pay of $26,729 sits nearly $10,000 below the $36,702 national figure and continues trending down moderately. Back-of-house recruitment in this metro may increasingly depend on non-wage levers \u2014 scheduling stability, advancement paths \u2014 given limited room to close the gap through pay alone."}], "local_conditions": "Anniston-Oxford unemployment eased slightly to 4.0% in August from 4.2% in July but remains well above the 3.3% posted a year earlier, and the labor force has shrunk to 49,202 from 50,001 \u2014 a tighter, shallower candidate pool than state averages of 3.4% would suggest. Food preparation and serving roles now account for 10.5% of metro employment even as national restaurant payrolls posted their largest monthly gain since January 2023, pointing to a metro that is adding hospitality jobs against a backdrop of overall workforce contraction rather than expansion.", "implications": "Labor supply is shrinking locally even as unemployment sits above year-ago levels, meaning operators are competing for a smaller pool while national data shows the industry pivoting from hiring to retention \u2014 a signal that turnover cost, not vacancy fill time, should be the primary lens for FOH staffing decisions this quarter. Metro Server and Crew advertised pay both moved down (moderate and significant, respectively) even as Restaurant Manager and Shift Manager pay rose, suggesting compensation budgets are being redirected toward retaining supervisory talent rather than entry-level hourly staff. Consider reviewing whether front-line pay compression against a shrinking labor force is quietly increasing recruitment risk even as headline turnover appears to stabilize nationally.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Whether Anniston's labor force continues contracting through fall hiring season; a further drop would tighten competition for FOH and BOH talent even if the unemployment rate looks stable."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Metro Server and Crew pay are moving down while national figures hold stable \u2014 watch whether this divergence widens and starts showing up in turnover or fill-time data for entry-level shifts."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Leisure and hospitality employment grew 11,100 jobs statewide year-over-year; track whether Anniston's food-service job count follows that state trend or continues to lag given its shrinking overall labor force."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "Florida's minimum wage reaching $15.00 on September 30 will widen pay-differential pressure for any multi-unit or regional operators benchmarking across state lines against Alabama's $7.25 floor."}], "roles": [{"role": "Assistant Restaurant Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26160.0, "metro_p50": 38396.8, "metro_p75": 44723.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 39000.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Catering Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 35296.0, "metro_p50": 46110.0, "metro_p75": 55000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 51585.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Crew", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20800.0, "metro_p50": 22770.0, "metro_p75": 24267.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 29791.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Line Cook", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20800.0, "metro_p50": 26729.0, "metro_p75": 27338.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 36702.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Restaurant Manager/General Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 45000.0, "metro_p50": 57511.0, "metro_p75": 65000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 59762.0, "national_trend_direction": "down", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Server", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20161.0, "metro_p50": 25767.0, "metro_p75": 26634.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34915.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Shift Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26247.0, "metro_p50": 29977.0, "metro_p75": 33800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 32649.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "September 2026", "files": {"html": "anniston-oxford-al-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.html", "pdf": "anniston-oxford-al-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.pdf"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T16:33:05.397243+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/anniston-oxford-al-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/anniston-oxford-al-msa/restaurant-industry/2026-08.pdf"}