{"schema_version": 1, "id": "allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 68, "label": "Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ MSA", "slug": "allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:37:06.790053+00:00", "headline": "Allentown's steady 4.1% rate hides a logistics-sector cooldown.", "headline_summary": "Metro unemployment held at 4.1% in July, matching the national rate, even as warehouse pay fell moderately and delivery driver pay dropped significantly in a region where roughly 74,000 workers depend on manufacturing and logistics.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Metro unemployment rate", "value": "4.1%", "context": "July 2026, matches national rate of 4.1%"}, {"label": "Warehouse/fulfillment pay", "value": "$38,448", "context": "Down moderately vs flat national $38,000"}, {"label": "National wage vs. inflation gap", "value": "3.0% vs 3.4%", "context": "Weakest real-wage read since May 2021"}, {"label": "Manufacturing/logistics workforce share", "value": "~74,000 workers", "context": "Up 70.9% since 2010, largest metro sector"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "A flat 4.1% unemployment rate is masking sector-level divergence.", "body": "Health care, education, and leisure/hospitality drove nearly all of Pennsylvania's job growth since August 2025, while government, construction, and trade/transportation lost a combined 13,900 jobs statewide. Allentown's reliance on manufacturing and logistics means the metro may be more exposed to this softness than the headline rate implies."}, {"headline": "Warehouse and delivery pay softening locally bears watching.", "body": "Metro warehouse/fulfillment pay is down moderately and delivery driver pay down significantly, a notable divergence from flat national figures for the same roles. Given logistics' outsized role in the regional economy, this is consistent with cooling demand in goods-movement work rather than a one-off anomaly."}, {"headline": "Technical and skilled-trade wages are rising faster than routine service work.", "body": "Registered nurse, software engineer, HVAC technician, and construction laborer pay all moved up locally this month, echoing the national pattern of healthcare and skilled trades outpacing white-collar administrative and finance work. This may signal where regional investment and training infrastructure deliver the clearest returns right now."}, {"headline": "Labor force participation softness statewide deserves a local read.", "body": "Pennsylvania saw labor force dropouts nearly double from 8,000 to over 15,000 through Q3 2025, a trend tied to reduced market confidence rather than job scarcity alone. Commerce leaders should treat Allentown's modest 11,000-person labor force growth over twelve months as fragile rather than assured."}], "local_conditions": "Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton's unemployment rate held at 4.1% in July 2026, matching the national rate and extending a stretch of labor market stability even as statewide job growth concentrated almost entirely in health care, education, and leisure/hospitality. Manufacturing and logistics remain the metro's largest employment base at roughly 74,000 workers combined, a share that has grown 70.9% since 2010 and now anchors the region's economic identity more than any single new employer announcement.", "implications": "Metro wage data showing upward movement in registered nursing, software engineering, and skilled trades (HVAC, electrician-adjacent construction labor) alongside flat or softening pay in warehouse and delivery roles suggests the local economy is bifurcating along the same white-collar/blue-collar lines visible nationally, with hands-on technical work outpacing routine logistics work. Commerce leaders evaluating expansion or investment timing should weigh that manufacturing and logistics remain the region's employment backbone even as national warehouse-adjacent wage softness and Pennsylvania's construction-sector contraction point to uneven momentum beneath a stable headline rate. Current conditions suggest monitoring sector-level wage divergence locally over the next quarter before drawing conclusions from the metro's flat unemployment figure alone.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected", "body": "September 2026 BLS figures for the Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton MSA are due in early-to-mid October and will be the first clean read on whether the metro's 4.1% rate held, given the national unemployment uptick to 4.2% and a weak 29,000-job September payroll print."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Pennsylvania WARN filings have affected 1,899 workers over 90 days, including a 52-worker logistics filing at Kenco Logistic Services in nearby Northampton. Watch whether logistics-sector WARN activity accelerates given the metro's outsized exposure to goods-movement employment."}, {"category": "Early indicator", "body": "National wage growth fell to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest real-wage picture since 2021. Local wage-vs-inflation tracking over the next two reporting cycles will show whether Allentown's relatively stronger sectors (healthcare, skilled trades) can keep pace locally even as logistics wages soften."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Pennsylvania's House passed a minimum wage increase bill (H.B. 2189) that remains stalled in the Senate. Any movement would have outsized local relevance given the metro's large retail, food service, and logistics workforce currently near the $7.25 floor in advertised entry-level roles."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 25327.25, "metro_p50": 31889.6, "metro_p75": 34519.75, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26550.0, "metro_p50": 31200.0, "metro_p75": 33280.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33021.0, "metro_p50": 38448.2, "metro_p75": 41600.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59280.0, "metro_p50": 79101.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31326.0, "metro_p50": 34216.0, "metro_p75": 37440.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 36356.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 42746.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56448.0, "metro_p50": 65520.0, "metro_p75": 70566.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 43680.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34004.0, "metro_p50": 40965.0, "metro_p75": 44733.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29752.0, "metro_p50": 33113.0, "metro_p75": 34320.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33800.0, "metro_p50": 42640.0, "metro_p75": 45760.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34439.0, "metro_p50": 41600.0, "metro_p75": 47358.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60320.0, "metro_p50": 72800.0, "metro_p75": 76960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 87057.75, "metro_p50": 100069.8, "metro_p75": 109394.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 114625.0, "metro_p50": 154992.0, "metro_p75": 171058.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 97695.0, "metro_p50": 126416.0, "metro_p75": 145151.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59256.0, "metro_p50": 73692.0, "metro_p75": 83200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73950.0, "metro_p50": 97619.0, "metro_p75": 103524.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 58699.5, "metro_p50": 70000.0, "metro_p75": 76711.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53888.0, "metro_p50": 67307.0, "metro_p75": 80000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 74250.0, "metro_p50": 82960.0, "metro_p75": 100017.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35000.0, "metro_p50": 54174.0, "metro_p75": 61457.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 65097.0, "metro_p50": 89066.0, "metro_p75": 110000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52462.0, "metro_p50": 74600.0, "metro_p75": 81500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82222.5, "metro_p50": 103221.8, "metro_p75": 112688.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 57200.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 96590.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 36004.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 47634.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 110444.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 105684.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 60919.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 51741.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 34247.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 70300.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:47:53.931407+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/allentown-bethlehem-easton-pa-nj-msa/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}