{"schema_version": 1, "id": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 60, "label": "AL NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "al-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:21:10.429324+00:00", "headline": "Rural Alabama's jobless rate rises alongside record investment.", "headline_summary": "Alabama's unemployment rate hit 3.5% in September \u2014 the highest in nearly ten years \u2014 even as prime-age labor force participation rose to 79.5% and rural counties pulled in $2 billion in capital investment, led by Georgia-Pacific's $800 million Monroe County mill project.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Alabama unemployment rate", "value": "3.5%", "context": "Up from 2.8% a year ago; highest in ~10 years"}, {"label": "Prime-age labor participation", "value": "79.5%", "context": "Up from 78.4% a year earlier"}, {"label": "Rural capital investment", "value": "$2 billion", "context": "2,011 new job commitments statewide this year"}, {"label": "County unemployment spread", "value": "3.0% to 6.6%", "context": "Shelby/Limestone/Chambers vs. Perry County"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Rising unemployment here reads as labor-supply growth.", "body": "Alabama's jobless rate rose to 3.5% from 2.8% a year earlier, but prime-age labor force participation climbed to 79.5% over the same period and the state added 24,300 wage and salary jobs. That combination is consistent with more residents entering the workforce while employment held firm."}, {"headline": "Georgia-Pacific's $800 million Monroe County project is a bellwether for rural investment.", "body": "Rural Alabama counties pulled in $2 billion in capital investment and over 2,000 new job commitments this year, with the Alabama River Cellulose mill modernization as the largest single driver. Sustained capital flow into nonmetropolitan counties suggests industrial investment decisions are increasingly looking past metro cores."}, {"headline": "County-level unemployment spread is wider than the state average suggests.", "body": "Shelby, Limestone, and Chambers counties sit at 3.0% unemployment while Perry (6.6%), Greene (6.5%), and Monroe (6.4%) run more than double that rate. Any statewide or regional read on labor availability needs a county-level check before informing a location or investment decision."}, {"headline": "Construction and manufacturing wages are setting records even as other sectors lag.", "body": "Alabama construction wages reached $1,432.21 weekly and manufacturing $1,389.75 in July, both records, while the state ranks only 38th nationally in overall average weekly wages. Wage strength is concentrated in specific trade and production sectors within the nonmetropolitan economy."}], "local_conditions": "Alabama's unemployment rate climbed to 3.5% in September \u2014 its highest level in nearly a decade \u2014 yet the increase tracks alongside 24,300 new wage and salary jobs added statewide over the year and a rise in prime-age labor force participation to 79.5%, a combination consistent with more residents entering the job search while job levels held steady. Rural capital investment, including Georgia-Pacific's $800 million modernization of the Alabama River Cellulose mill in Monroe County, anchors nonmetropolitan momentum even as Monroe County itself posts one of the state's higher unemployment rates at 6.4%, underscoring how large single-site investments and broader labor conditions can diverge within the same county.", "implications": "Rising participation alongside rising unemployment points to a labor pool that is growing faster than it is being absorbed, a dynamic that matters more for assessing regional capacity than for reading demand as weak. Commerce leaders evaluating site selection or expansion in nonmetropolitan counties should weigh this against sharp geographic disparity \u2014 Shelby, Limestone, and Chambers counties sit at 3.0% unemployment while Perry and Greene exceed 6.5% \u2014 meaning the same statewide trend line masks very different local conditions on the ground. Current conditions suggest cross-referencing county-level unemployment and participation data before drawing metro-wide conclusions about labor availability for any new investment or expansion decision.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether September's unemployment uptick (3.4% to 3.5%) continues into October data, due from the state November 20. A third consecutive monthly rise would start to separate from the participation-driven explanation and warrant closer scrutiny."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Monroe County's Georgia-Pacific investment is a multi-year build; track whether local unemployment there begins to decline as the project moves from construction to operational hiring phases, a signal for how large single-site investments ripple through rural labor markets."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "Acme Brick's 53-worker WARN filing in Montgomery (Oct. 26) and a string of 2026 rural closures (Legacy Cabinets, Flagstone Foods, Diatherix Laboratories) suggest layoff activity, while modest, is concentrated in manufacturing and food processing. Additional WARN filings in these sectors would reinforce a pattern worth flagging to local economic development offices."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "State-level October unemployment and metro-area data publish November 20 and December 2 respectively; current nonmetropolitan-area reads remain proxied through state figures until then. Commerce leaders making near-term investment calls should treat this month's figures as directional rather than final."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20408.0, "metro_p50": 24705.0, "metro_p75": 29167.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21840.0, "metro_p50": 24663.8, "metro_p75": 26000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29120.0, "metro_p50": 35360.0, "metro_p75": 39000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59454.5, "metro_p50": 80293.0, "metro_p75": 90000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28360.0, "metro_p50": 31621.0, "metro_p75": 33261.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29997.0, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 41945.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55917.0, "metro_p50": 66450.4, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29630.75, "metro_p50": 34376.0, "metro_p75": 37960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30043.5, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 39520.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26276.0, "metro_p50": 28336.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27537.0, "metro_p50": 31869.0, "metro_p75": 35016.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28080.0, "metro_p50": 38336.0, "metro_p75": 41951.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52706.0, "metro_p50": 66857.8, "metro_p75": 75695.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 72800.0, "metro_p50": 85003.4, "metro_p75": 93040.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 104009.75, "metro_p50": 152742.0, "metro_p75": 167542.25, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99161.0, "metro_p50": 140000.0, "metro_p75": 158888.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56169.0, "metro_p50": 68175.0, "metro_p75": 75230.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 64613.0, "metro_p50": 87481.8, "metro_p75": 101387.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50676.0, "metro_p50": 73910.8, "metro_p75": 83633.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 42935.25, "metro_p50": 55000.0, "metro_p75": 67637.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61770.5, "metro_p50": 68467.0, "metro_p75": 71778.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47600.0, "metro_p50": 60758.8, "metro_p75": 65985.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55589.0, "metro_p50": 88258.8, "metro_p75": 110872.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43698.25, "metro_p50": 57387.4, "metro_p75": 77854.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 80000.0, "metro_p50": 96798.4, "metro_p75": 109010.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 65233.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 94249.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 37756.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 59800.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 117500.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 98688.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 81634.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 61360.0, "pay_trend_direction": "stable", "pay_trend_magnitude": "stable", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 29703.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 63882.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Alabama Department of Labor / BLS", "source_url": null, "statement": "Alabama unemployment rose to 3.5% in September 2026, highest in nearly a decade"}, {"source_name": "Alabama Department of Commerce", "source_url": null, "statement": "Georgia-Pacific $800 million Monroe County mill modernization project"}, {"source_name": "Alabama Department of Workforce", "source_url": null, "statement": "Prime-age labor force participation rose to 79.5% from 78.4%"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Construction wages reached $1,432.21 weekly, manufacturing $1,389.75, both records"}, {"source_name": "Alabama Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "County unemployment range from 3.0% (Shelby/Limestone/Chambers) to 6.6% (Perry)"}, {"source_name": "Alabama WARN Notice Tracker", "source_url": null, "statement": "Acme Brick Montgomery WARN filing affecting 53 workers, Oct. 26"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:17:28.557642+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}