{"schema_version": 1, "id": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 60, "label": "AL NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "al-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-09", "public_after": "2026-09-01", "frozen_at": "2026-10-09T13:36:59.879837+00:00", "headline": "Rural Alabama's low jobless rate hides a shrinking workforce.", "headline_summary": "Alabama's unemployment rate held at 3.4% in August, but employment fell by 30,420 workers over the year, while construction and manufacturing wages hit record highs of $1,432 and $1,390 per week respectively.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Alabama unemployment rate", "value": "3.4%", "context": "Unchanged since July, up from 2.8% a year ago"}, {"label": "Year-over-year employment change", "value": "-30,420", "context": "Total employed fell to 2,282,055 statewide"}, {"label": "Nonmetro county unemployment range", "value": "1.6% to 7.0%", "context": "Trussville/Shelby vs. Perry County"}, {"label": "Construction weekly wage (record)", "value": "$1,432.21", "context": "State record, July 2026, vs $1,292 statewide avg"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Nonmetro Alabama's 3.4% unemployment masks deep county-level disparity.", "body": "Trussville and Shelby County post sub-2% unemployment while Perry and Greene counties exceed 6-7%, a gap wider than the national urban-rural divide. Any metro-wide economic narrative needs a county-level caveat before it reaches press or investment decisions."}, {"headline": "Skilled trades pay is rising even as overall employment contracts.", "body": "Construction and manufacturing wages hit record highs statewide while trade/transportation/utilities and construction payrolls both fell in August. That combination is consistent with employers paying more for a shrinking pool of qualified trade workers rather than a broadly expanding construction economy."}, {"headline": "Year-over-year employment decline is the signal to watch, not the headline rate.", "body": "Alabama employment fell by 30,420 workers over the year even as the unemployment rate stayed flat at 3.4%, a divergence that typically reflects workers leaving the labor force rather than genuine labor market tightness. Commerce leaders citing low unemployment as a growth indicator should pair it with this participation context."}, {"headline": "Leisure and hospitality carried the state's job growth, not production sectors.", "body": "Of the 22,100 jobs added statewide over twelve months, 11,100 came from leisure and hospitality, while construction, trade, and transportation all posted monthly declines in August. A recovery concentrated in lower-wage service work has different implications for local tax base and consumer spending than broad-based manufacturing growth would."}], "local_conditions": "Alabama's nonmetropolitan counties show a widening split: unemployment rates range from 1.6% in low-single-digit outliers to above 6% in counties like Perry, Greene, and Monroe, while statewide employment fell 30,420 over the year despite a 3.4% unemployment rate holding steady since July. Manufacturing and construction wages hit record highs statewide ($1,389.75 and $1,432.21 weekly respectively) even as broader nonmetro job counts softened, suggesting pay pressure is concentrated in specific trades rather than reflecting broad-based economic acceleration.", "implications": "Rural Alabama's labor market is stabilizing rather than expanding \u2014 flat prime-age participation at 79.5% and year-over-year employment declines point to a local economy holding its position, not building momentum, which matters for capital investment timing and public revenue forecasting. Wage strength in construction, manufacturing, and skilled trades (electricians, HVAC techs) amid overall job softness suggests any local expansion will be labor-constrained in specific trades well before broader slack disappears. Current conditions suggest economic development and commerce leaders evaluate site-selection and expansion pitches with realistic trade-labor availability assumptions rather than assuming the 3.4% unemployment rate signals overall tightness.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Early indicator", "body": "Watch whether Alabama's year-over-year employment decline (-30,420) persists into the October release; a second consecutive negative reading would suggest a structural rather than seasonal shift in rural labor supply."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Manufacturing and logistics WARN notices (Legacy Cabinets, Resolute Forest Products, Saddle Creek Logistics) have concentrated in 2026 filings; additional notices in these sectors would be the clearest early sign of nonmetro industrial softening."}, {"category": "Potential inflection point", "body": "National wage growth has fallen to 3.0% against 3.4% inflation, the weakest pace since 2021. If that national erosion reaches nonmetro Alabama wage data, it would undercut the record construction and manufacturing wage gains seen through mid-2026."}, {"category": "Expected", "body": "Federal payroll data due in October will clarify whether the national September slowdown (29,000 jobs added, prior two months revised down 60,000) is showing up in Alabama's government and professional services categories, which drove August's state-level gains."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 20921.25, "metro_p50": 25812.0, "metro_p75": 31200.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33325.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 21821.0, "metro_p50": 24556.0, "metro_p75": 26000.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31200.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28934.0, "metro_p50": 34660.4, "metro_p75": 37968.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56799.0, "metro_p50": 78000.0, "metro_p75": 88400.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 78000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28489.0, "metro_p50": 31744.0, "metro_p75": 33517.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34344.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29864.5, "metro_p50": 37440.0, "metro_p75": 42640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 40560.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55566.75, "metro_p50": 67519.0, "metro_p75": 72800.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71404.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29640.0, "metro_p50": 34443.4, "metro_p75": 37901.25, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 31200.0, "metro_p50": 37562.8, "metro_p75": 39548.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 26282.0, "metro_p50": 28439.0, "metro_p75": 31703.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 33756.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27716.0, "metro_p50": 32344.0, "metro_p75": 35283.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41106.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 28080.0, "metro_p50": 38537.0, "metro_p75": 42303.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 43680.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53767.25, "metro_p50": 64719.0, "metro_p75": 74027.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 70720.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73424.0, "metro_p50": 86054.2, "metro_p75": 95641.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 102581.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 107336.0, "metro_p50": 152742.0, "metro_p75": 167823.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 153652.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99179.0, "metro_p50": 141365.2, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 139500.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 57500.0, "metro_p50": 70268.0, "metro_p75": 77633.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72182.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 70219.0, "metro_p50": 89964.0, "metro_p75": 101623.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 94782.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52000.0, "metro_p50": 80425.6, "metro_p75": 85378.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43355.0, "metro_p50": 57093.0, "metro_p75": 69020.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62354.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 60781.0, "metro_p50": 70453.6, "metro_p75": 71779.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 85216.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 47832.5, "metro_p50": 61267.0, "metro_p75": 66149.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 56731.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 55827.0, "metro_p50": 88922.8, "metro_p75": 110247.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 92749.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 49567.75, "metro_p50": 58928.0, "metro_p75": 82500.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 81075.0, "metro_p50": 97500.0, "metro_p75": 110156.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98279.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 67609.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 96730.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 41600.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 60573.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 119399.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 108160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 81418.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 62972.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 30160.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 65023.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "up", "postings_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}], "citations": [], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "October 2026", "files": {"html": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "pdf": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf", "sources_html": "al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-10-09T13:47:46.202987+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/al-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-09.pdf"}