{"schema_version": 1, "id": "ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10", "product": "Metro Job Market Pulse", "metro": {"geography_id": 41, "label": "AK NONMETROPOLITAN AREA", "slug": "ak-nonmetropolitan-area"}, "focus_area": {"key": "general_conditions", "slug": "metro-job-market", "label": "General Market Conditions"}, "period": "2026-10", "public_after": "2026-10-01", "frozen_at": "2026-11-03T07:20:17.366038+00:00", "headline": "Rural Alaska's job market splits sharply by region this season.", "headline_summary": "Nonmetropolitan Alaska's 4.3% statewide unemployment rate hides a range from 2.7% in Anchorage to 18.2% in Kusilvak Census Area, while Registered Nurse pay climbed to a $117,161 metro median.", "key_indicators": [{"label": "Kusilvak Census Area unemployment", "value": "18.2%", "context": "vs 4.3% statewide, 2.7% Anchorage"}, {"label": "Statewide nonfarm job growth", "value": "0.1%", "context": "Sept 2026 YoY, first growth since April"}, {"label": "Federal employment change", "value": "-1,300 jobs", "context": "Statewide YoY, concentrated in rural areas"}, {"label": "Average weekly wage growth", "value": "4.8%", "context": "Q1 2026 YoY, but trailing inflation since Feb"}], "takeaways": [{"headline": "Statewide averages conceal a two-speed rural economy.", "body": "Kusilvak's 18.2% and Bethel's 10.3% unemployment rates sit far above the 4.3% state figure and Anchorage's 2.7%, underscoring that nonmetropolitan Alaska's labor conditions vary by census area more than by season. Commerce leaders assessing a specific community's business climate should treat the statewide rate as a weak proxy."}, {"headline": "Healthcare wages are the clearest signal of local strength.", "body": "Registered Nurse pay rose significantly to a $117,161 metro median and Certified Nursing Assistant pay rose moderately to $60,007, both outpacing national medians. That divergence is consistent with healthcare employment gains cited in state forecasts and suggests the sector is carrying nonmetropolitan economic momentum while others stall."}, {"headline": "Federal and government retrenchment is a structural drag.", "body": "Federal employment statewide fell 1,300 jobs and government overall shed 1,900 jobs year-over-year, with Southeast Alaska specifically flagged for a projected 7% drop in federal jobs. For nonmetropolitan communities dependent on federal payrolls, this looks like an ongoing adjustment."}, {"headline": "Transportation pay softness may track trade and logistics headwinds.", "body": "CDL Truck Driver advertised pay rose significantly locally to $70,006 even as Delivery Driver and Warehouse/Fulfillment pay moved down moderately, a mixed picture consistent with uneven freight and retail demand in remote markets. Local trade groups may want to watch whether this divergence persists as a signal of goods-movement conditions distinct from the broader state economy."}], "local_conditions": "Nonmetropolitan Alaska's labor market shows a wide split this month: statewide nonfarm employment edged up just 0.1% year-over-year in September to 347,000, with private-sector gains of 2,200 jobs offset by government losses of 1,900, while rural census areas carried unemployment rates as high as 18.2% in Kusilvak and 10.3% in Bethel against a 4.3% statewide rate. Federal downsizing and population decline continue to reshape outlying regions even as healthcare, construction, and trade/transportation hold up, producing uneven local conditions that mask the headline stability implied by the state unemployment figure.", "implications": "Wide unemployment variance across census areas signals that nonmetropolitan Alaska's economic health cannot be read from a single statewide number \u2014 commerce leaders evaluating expansion or investment should weight local labor availability and population trends specific to their census area alongside the state aggregate. Wage data showing Registered Nurse pay up significantly (Metro Median $117,161) alongside Certified Nursing Assistant gains (up moderate, $60,007) point to healthcare as the area's clearest growth anchor, even as retail, warehouse, and delivery wages soften. Current conditions suggest local economic development bodies track census-area-level unemployment and sector wage divergence together, alongside statewide releases, when assessing business climate for a given community.", "looking_ahead": [{"category": "Expected release", "body": "State unemployment data for October publishes November 20 and metro-level data December 2 \u2014 both will offer the first full read on whether September's fragile 0.1% job growth held or reversed."}, {"category": "Emerging pressure point", "body": "Southeast Alaska's combination of record job counts and population decline is producing a tightening labor and housing picture; watch whether this dynamic extends to other nonmetropolitan census areas as federal cuts continue."}, {"category": "Worth watching", "body": "Healthcare and construction are the two sectors state forecasters expect to add jobs in 2026 (1,100 and 700 respectively); nonmetropolitan areas with hospitals or active construction projects may be better positioned than those without."}, {"category": "Policy to monitor", "body": "Alaska's minimum wage rises again to $15.00 on July 1, 2027, with annual inflation adjustments starting 2028 \u2014 a bare fact relevant to cost-of-doing-business planning for nonmetropolitan retail and service employers, independent of any policy stance."}], "roles": [{"role": "Retail Sales Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29763.0, "metro_p50": 39494.8, "metro_p75": 43930.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 33340.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Retail Cashier", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 27647.5, "metro_p50": 32393.0, "metro_p75": 35360.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 31268.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 33099.0, "metro_p50": 38072.4, "metro_p75": 41656.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 38480.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "CDL Truck Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 53650.0, "metro_p50": 70006.2, "metro_p75": 83678.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 78872.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Delivery Driver", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29226.0, "metro_p50": 32737.2, "metro_p75": 33322.5, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 34826.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Construction Laborer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35596.0, "metro_p50": 42094.0, "metro_p75": 44720.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 40726.6, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Electrician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 56850.25, "metro_p50": 72941.6, "metro_p75": 80583.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 71835.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 30503.25, "metro_p50": 35919.2, "metro_p75": 37960.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Customer Service Representative", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 35360.0, "metro_p50": 39520.0, "metro_p75": 42880.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 39520.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Food Service Worker", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 29339.5, "metro_p50": 33784.0, "metro_p75": 41090.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 33764.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 40560.0, "metro_p50": 60007.0, "metro_p75": 68640.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 41600.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 34699.0, "metro_p50": 46696.0, "metro_p75": 52240.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 44552.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "HVAC Technician", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 61760.0, "metro_p50": 78412.0, "metro_p75": 86796.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 71406.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Registered Nurse", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 93036.0, "metro_p50": 117161.0, "metro_p75": 137384.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 102252.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Software Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 120254.5, "metro_p50": 155000.0, "metro_p75": 172999.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 154403.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Data Engineer", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 99192.0, "metro_p50": 143500.0, "metro_p75": 159248.0, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 138000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Accountant", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 59565.0, "metro_p50": 70718.0, "metro_p75": 79205.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 72000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Financial Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73168.25, "metro_p50": 96934.2, "metro_p75": 103367.75, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 94646.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "HR Generalist/Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 52250.0, "metro_p50": 81696.6, "metro_p75": 87390.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 74477.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"role": "Marketing Specialist", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 43368.0, "metro_p50": 58052.0, "metro_p75": 70712.5, "metro_trend_direction": "stable", "metro_trend_magnitude": "stable", "national_p50": 62916.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Operations Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 73414.0, "metro_p50": 73956.0, "metro_p75": 79188.0, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 86294.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Elementary/Secondary School Teacher", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 50491.75, "metro_p50": 62313.8, "metro_p75": 67237.25, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 55908.0, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Account Manager", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 63939.0, "metro_p50": 97703.0, "metro_p75": 117874.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 94009.4, "national_trend_direction": "up", "national_trend_magnitude": "moderate"}, {"role": "Warehouse Manager", "data_scope": "state_rollup", "metro_p25": 43753.0, "metro_p50": 43753.0, "metro_p75": 43753.0, "metro_trend_direction": "down", "metro_trend_magnitude": "significant", "national_p50": 75000.0, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}, {"role": "Business Analyst", "data_scope": "metro", "metro_p25": 82163.25, "metro_p50": 97901.0, "metro_p75": 109967.5, "metro_trend_direction": "up", "metro_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "national_p50": 98302.2, "national_trend_direction": "stable", "national_trend_magnitude": "stable"}], "industry_snapshot": [{"sector": "Construction", "median_pay": 89440.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Manufacturing", "median_pay": 116407.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Retail Trade", "median_pay": 79594.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities", "median_pay": 58240.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Information", "median_pay": 134802.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Financial Activities", "median_pay": 101128.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "moderate", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Professional & Business Services", "median_pay": 96216.5, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Education & Health Services", "median_pay": 85697.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Leisure & Hospitality", "median_pay": 35360.0, "pay_trend_direction": "down", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}, {"sector": "Government", "median_pay": 68631.0, "pay_trend_direction": "up", "pay_trend_magnitude": "significant", "postings_trend_direction": "down", "postings_trend_magnitude": "significant"}], "citations": [{"source_name": "Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Kusilvak Census Area unemployment rate of 18.2%, other rural area rates"}, {"source_name": "Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "September nonfarm employment of 347,000, up 0.1% YoY"}, {"source_name": "Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Federal employment dropped 1,300 jobs statewide"}, {"source_name": "Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development", "source_url": null, "statement": "Southeast Alaska federal government jobs forecast to drop 7%"}, {"source_name": "Ballot Measure 1 / Alaska Department of Labor", "source_url": null, "statement": "Alaska minimum wage reaching $15.00 July 1, 2027"}, {"source_name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics", "source_url": null, "statement": "Alaska average weekly wage up 4.8% YoY in Q1 2026, ranked 18th nationally"}], "methodology": "Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay.", "edition_label": "November 2026", "files": {"html": "ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "pdf": "ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf", "sources_html": "ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.sources.html"}, "published_at": "2026-11-03T08:17:24.032219+00:00", "report_html_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.html", "report_pdf_url": "https://reports.wagescape.com/archive/v1/editions/ak-nonmetropolitan-area/metro-job-market/2026-10.pdf"}